Totally agree, but the HRRR was doing something odd, up here in Hagerstown, where the 850 was still below freezing, but we have like 34 - 35 degrees at the surface at 10AM. We shall see.
I wouldn't put too much stock in that. If you look at the Maryland Chart traffic cams, it looks like snow maybe all the way back towards the west of Cumberland. I know we are still raining here in Hagerstown area.
Model vs Radar is showing a pretty significant difference out west here. Will be interested to see if a more northerly movement starts up in the next couple of hours. I would be happy with it to be done
Looking at the 3k Nam (12Z) and PWS temps, NAM might have been a bit over ambitious on temps rising this morning. Will be interesting to see how to plays out today. At least for the Frederick/Hagerstown area.