weathafella

The 0Z run the night before we got hit with 20+ in PD2 NAM FOUS gave BOS a haircut to 0.5 total qpf. It was the ETA (pronounced AITA) then and was actually useful but always prone to hiccups.

Larry, her best bet imho is taking the train to NYC today and making the jfk flight tomorrow. It’s more work but that is a better bet to make it to ATL tomorrow.

Hi Larry! The big issue is will they cancel the inbound flight that becomes your relative’s outbound. I would think at the very least a delay. If they can leave for Atlanta tomorrow it’s safer.

Thanks John!

Typhoon Tip-what is the url you use for FOUS? Mine doesn’t work for our region anymore. TYIA

I pulled into Costco and fired up 18z NAM and frankly wasn’t surprised. Big bump up in water.

Even this thread which is about Saturday night goes to shit. I used to post among the most frequent. These unreadable threads have made it much less fun.

I think 4-8 as a general rule with some spots picking up 8+. Tuesday night is viable still considering today is 108 hours out still. The VDay system should be juicy. Anyone who stays all snow with that will have a pile by next weekend!

Pike region looks really good for this. May be some nice surprises given mid level look this run.

East or north facing with a orographic boost?

Not exactly. You should read and consult before you give advice. 8 is the MOS number for BOS snow per MEX guidance. It technically means they’re saying 8+(so in that sense you’re right) but I have way less vs the muthufukkas over the years.

How much of that do you need to negate ratter vs subpar? For me (and I obviously get less than you) 30 is subpar but the bottom of non ratter. Anything under is a rat. To me you can only use ratter in the worst winters. And that should stand since I started the use of the term which is variation of “this winter blows dead rats” which we shortened to ratter. The blows dead rats term came from this guy in college who would say things like “this blows dead rats”. I know you probably remember all of this but we have a ton of posters who weren’t around when we started it 15-20 years ago.

And btw…8 muthufukkas!

Look at the euro become the coldest model this morning. GFS is the Euro’s daddy.

Euro too. Super Bowl party but timing of system exit should allow us to show up.

Well that settles it

Based on up to date guidance I’d go 3-5 for mby followed by some pl and ending as drizzle. SWFE playbook.

Get well fast! Sun working magic here so you should get away with not shoveling if you’re on the sunny side.

2.5 will be my final. By the time I get up melting will be in progress.

Measured 1.5, most came in the last hour-legit burst. Back to lighter steady snow.

lol…you’re closing fast.

18Z Gfs looks like snow to mix but decent thump for 2025 standards. Talking pike region and south. Mostly snow nop

Yeah the euro seems extreme but it’s a flag for those expecting a yesterday gfs solution.

Presuming the euro is dead wrong.

Yeah just get it coming down vs dryness.