lee59

The only thing I am confident of, the storm track as by the GFS and Euro give my area rain and I would say just about from start to finish. The good thing, what the track is now will more than likely change.

The storm has been over the Pacific and now that it is approaching the coast, the weather service, (according to Lee Goldberg) has sent planes out to get a better idea how the storm is doing. They can then add this to the computer models. He also feels it may take a track a little more southeast in the coming days because of the arctic air in place. Both models seem to give the D.C. area a nice 4-6 inch dumping to start. So it would seem to me that it won't take much nudging southeast to give at least some of our area the same type of scenario at the start. To me the track is not yet determined but either way it looks like an interesting storm to follow and could be high impact with either rain or snow and wind.

GFS has the low inland with heavy rain for much of the area. Maybe some snow at the onset.

Yea seems some of our coldest weather can be the arctic air that comes right down the Hudson Valley.

12.5 here

Temperature down to 16 here but will probably stop dropping before morning. Already not to far from the zero mark in parts of the mid Hudson Valley.

Final track is anybodies guess but at least there is something to watch.

Good to see Arctic sea ice extent the highest since 2012. Actually above the 2010s average. Of course the question is, will it last.

Lake effect snow machine finally will get into action. Areas to the east of Lake Ontario could get 2 ft and more.

Yea been real cold in Alaska and the arctic sea ice extent is more than its been in years.

It is interesting to see it there at such an intensity but I give it little chance of happening, at this point.

12z GFS still insistent with that hurricane intense like low off the east coast on Friday.

The GFS has a 28.30 low just off the coast on Friday. I know it means very little at this point but that is strong hurricane strength. Meanwhile other models show much weaker low pressure.

Got down to 16 here a little earlier, now 17 degrees.

WWA moved a little more southeast. Down to 17 degrees here, 14 in Syosset.

First up ice and then possibly coldest temperatures in years and hopefully a storm to follow.

That would be interesting.

Currently clear skies, snowpack and lite winds. Temperature down 7 degrees from the high, falling fast at 25 degrees.

The closer we get to Monday night Tuesday arctic blast, the NWS keeps lowering the temps. May not get out of the teens on Tuesday. Not warming up to fast this morning either.

LaGuardia reported 8.4 inches.

The areas of black top and concrete must still be fairly mild in temperature as they seem to have about half of what is on car tops and grass.

Both car tops 8 inches, other areas as low as 6 as high as 8, so I will say 7.5 inches here. Nassau never got changed to a winter storm warning as far as I know.

Looks like a true arctic blast could come in around Tuesday of next week.

I'm thinking 4-8 for long Island