lee59
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Everything posted by lee59
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Where I am, I am expecting the winds to be the biggest factor in this storm.
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I guess one big question is how hard does it snow at the onset. If you are in an area that has even 3 hours of snow, is it possible you could get a quick 3-5 inches.
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If you compare NYC to Catskills and Syracuse it is a lousy place for snow. Compare it to Ocean City Md. or Cape May N.J. and it isn't so bad. Depends on perspective and if you like snow or not.
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Interesting that the GFS went more east this morning. Went from near Philly to near Atlantic City, just what lee Goldberg was mentioning yesterday. Not saying it will happen or giving him credit because it has not happened, just saying.
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Sounds good but I figure he might want to be in civilization with some motels.
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Kingston N.Y.
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D.C. area got screwed so many times when we were getting double digit snows over the past 15 years, they are due.
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Yes but says those numbers could change and be higher at the coast.
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Lee Goldberg still thinks the path will be adjusted more southeast and could give significant snow even at the coast. It looks to me the path of the GFS is a little strange with the north and then east and then north. I think you can straighten that path out and bring it closer to the coast.
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The only thing I am confident of, the storm track as by the GFS and Euro give my area rain and I would say just about from start to finish. The good thing, what the track is now will more than likely change.
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The storm has been over the Pacific and now that it is approaching the coast, the weather service, (according to Lee Goldberg) has sent planes out to get a better idea how the storm is doing. They can then add this to the computer models. He also feels it may take a track a little more southeast in the coming days because of the arctic air in place. Both models seem to give the D.C. area a nice 4-6 inch dumping to start. So it would seem to me that it won't take much nudging southeast to give at least some of our area the same type of scenario at the start. To me the track is not yet determined but either way it looks like an interesting storm to follow and could be high impact with either rain or snow and wind.
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GFS has the low inland with heavy rain for much of the area. Maybe some snow at the onset.
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Yea seems some of our coldest weather can be the arctic air that comes right down the Hudson Valley.
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12.5 here
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Temperature down to 16 here but will probably stop dropping before morning. Already not to far from the zero mark in parts of the mid Hudson Valley.
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Final track is anybodies guess but at least there is something to watch.
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Good to see Arctic sea ice extent the highest since 2012. Actually above the 2010s average. Of course the question is, will it last.
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Lake effect snow machine finally will get into action. Areas to the east of Lake Ontario could get 2 ft and more.
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Yea been real cold in Alaska and the arctic sea ice extent is more than its been in years.
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It is interesting to see it there at such an intensity but I give it little chance of happening, at this point.
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12z GFS still insistent with that hurricane intense like low off the east coast on Friday.
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The GFS has a 28.30 low just off the coast on Friday. I know it means very little at this point but that is strong hurricane strength. Meanwhile other models show much weaker low pressure.
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Got down to 16 here a little earlier, now 17 degrees.
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WWA moved a little more southeast. Down to 17 degrees here, 14 in Syosset.
