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Carvers Gap

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Everything posted by Carvers Gap

  1. Carvers Gap
    The 18z AIGFS has completely abandoned its amped solution - almost a pure slider now w/ even a secondary wave of over-running right behind it. And right behind that...a clipper.
  2. Carvers Gap
    In fact, this could be a very different run of the 12z Euro.
  3. Carvers Gap
    12z Euro presses the high into place by 111. This thing isn't coming north.
  4. Carvers Gap
    Not a major cutter. Significant changes w/ surface pressure anomalies. Much colder run, and less punch through middle TN. TRI doesn't even get above freezing during the event. 6-10 degrees colder over much of E TN. Major move.
  5. Carvers Gap
    The 12z AIFS just moved off its mark. Much stronger high presence.
  6. Carvers Gap
    Buckle up, ya'll!
  7. Carvers Gap
    Then AIFS might be just a bit different.....
  8. Carvers Gap
    Where did you find that?
  9. Carvers Gap
    I feel like the shields are about to go up in KPT, @Holston_River_Rambler.
  10. Carvers Gap
    Indeed. The GFS and 6z AIFS have the same deal. And very, very cold temps w/ that second one.
  11. Carvers Gap
    AIFS late?
  12. Carvers Gap
    I hope they aren't riding w/ the lowest verification score, right? I think the GFS is about to be badly wrong.
  13. Carvers Gap
    What are you changing your tune to?
  14. Carvers Gap
    "Nothing to see here...move right along."
  15. Carvers Gap
    FWIW, the 12z GFS is absolutely burying your area.
  16. Carvers Gap
    Maybe we better start looking at the QPF trends? I have to think a 1040+ hp sitting to the north of this is a big problem, especially since it is well west of the Apps into the Midwest or plains.
  17. Carvers Gap
    The NBM ticking up is concerning on a lot of levels.
  18. Carvers Gap
    Remind me what that is?
  19. Carvers Gap
    That is telling. Takes how long to include the 12z data?
  20. Carvers Gap
    What is crazy is the UKMET trended strongly towards the slider camp. The GEM trended strongly towards the AIFS camp. They almost swapped spots. The AIGFS trended strongly towards the slider camp.
  21. Carvers Gap
    Does that UKMET accumulation map include ice? That map is insanity.
  22. Carvers Gap
    The 12z UKMET absolutely buries most of the forum.
  23. Carvers Gap
    It was a strong cutter at 0z. Did it also trend south?
  24. Carvers Gap
    The bad thing about the CMC is it follows that ice w/ near record cold.
  25. Carvers Gap
    19 degrees colder in Chattanooga at 132 compared to 6z for the AIGFS and 15 degrees colder at TRI.
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