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Carvers Gap

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  1. Carvers Gap
    Roan Mountain is a TN watershed and WhiteTop in Damascus is Virginia. When Helene came through this morning it dropped a lot of rain right on the west slopes. Those rivers were already slammed and there was very little downsloping this morning. It was the straw that broke the camels back. Those 4-6” of rain here (on very dry ground) caused a lot of problems on their own before the NC waters got here. For example, we already had flooding in Kingsport on Wednesday and Thursday. When Helen came through today it set up shop NE of I-26z. With rivers already full in TN...the NC waters of the Watauga, Nolichucky, and French Broad were hitting greased skids. The Holston watershed is out of its banks due to the North Fork and South Forks originating in Virginia. These were loaded NC rivers hitting streams which already were flooding due to the PRE, and then they got hit again this morning with more rain. So, really three events (Weds/Thurs TN PRE rains, NC torrential rains, and TS rains in TN today) along with high winds hampering water rescues...created the tempest today.
  2. Carvers Gap
    Yeah, those sites have been great today.
  3. Carvers Gap
    I have no idea. They basically said the dam is working correctly. My guess is they opened the gates when they thought the dam was in trouble. I can only imagine how that information would have been received downstream in the form of lots of water! Interstate 40 is pretty beat up. Gonna take a while to fix that.
  4. Carvers Gap
    Looks like Damascus, Virginia, has had water rescues today as well. The dam at Waterville did not fail. There was some confusion between reporting parties in conjunction with a crap ton of water coming down the Pigeon River gorge. The river did wash out a good portion of I-40. However, Waterville opened the gates, and that might be where the confusion lies. It serves as a good reminder that there can be a lot of confusion when widespread weather events like this occur. Again, I doubt we have heard all of the stories which occurred today. I have worked both Hurricane Andrew and Hugo relief. Both of those hurricanes caused extensive damage. When communications and transportation are knocked out simultaneously, sometimes it takes a while to find out which communities have been hit hardest. Plus, a lot of stuff is happening at the same time.
  5. Carvers Gap
    Per MRX and there has been some confusion as two lanes of I-40 hav been washed out. There is no longer a risk of an imminent dam failure for Walters Dam on the Pigeon River. Major flooding continues, however. Continue to heed evacuation orders from local emergency management and law enforcement. Do not drive into flooded or closed roads.
  6. Carvers Gap
    National Weather Service Morristown TN 420 PM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Saturday) Issued at 306 PM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024 Key Messages: 1. Rain is coming to an end but historic and catastrophic flooding continues across the region. 2. Winds will remain quite gusty into the evening hours but will be write around the advisory/warning cutoff. Discussion: The remnants of Helene are lifting northward away from the region at a fast clip this afternoon. We will continue to have some shower activity develop through the afternoon hours but it should be light to moderate rainfall. Depending on the location, any showers may further exacerbate ongoing flooding issues, of which there are many. The concern would be, given the circulation around the system, that banded precip would stream over the same area, like band of precip that is ongoing from Cocke county northward into Virginia. If something like that sets up any further east we could have additional flooding problems. Current plan is to continue the numerous flash flood warnings through later this afternoon and evening to accommodate ongoing water rescues, recovery, etc. Wind wise, we`ve dropped the tropical storm warnings in our NC counties this afternoon and replaced them with wind advisories that go through the overnight hours. Elsewhere, the low level wind field has switched to a southeasterly direction across the Appalachians and subsequently the higher terrain has finally ramped up in winds. In general, outside of the mountains, we`re not seeing winds that are techinically hitting warning criteria. But from an impacts perspective we`re certainly seeing downed trees and power outages and such, and it`s also been very close at several locations throughout the day. So, have decided to let the warning outside of the mountains ride until the original 8pm expiration time. For the mountains, indications are that the winds will continue to be near warning criteria at least for the Smoky Mountains and nearby areas so will carry that through 12z tomorrow morning. Can reevaluate that later this evening and see if changes need to be made.
  7. Carvers Gap
    Flooded. Erwin and Unicoi are a mess. If you have FB, check those pages above.
  8. Carvers Gap
    With Roan Mountain blocked, I-26 closed, and I-40 cut....many of the major road arteries between TN and NC have been cut or are blocked.
  9. Carvers Gap
    We are finally starting to get a little better scope of the damage done by Helene. It is vast, and widespread in portions of NE TN and SW VA. The downslope today was less than expected, and that meant more rain into rivers which were well past flood stage. The Euro and RGEM were pretty accurate that the rains would cross the spine of the Apps. If you have Facebook, Scannerfood is the page to follow along with Tri-Cities Weather and Alert Crew. Rescues in these communities are ongoing. Their photos are pretty incredible. Helene just didn't weaken as it traveled quickly overnight into the Southern Apps. Really from Damascus, VA, down to Harmons Den(TN/NC line on I-40), the damage has been widespread in mountain communities. I am not trying to leave out the North Carolina crew. They have a very informative thread in the SE forum. This is a historic event for both sides of the Apps.
  10. Carvers Gap
    Hearing a section of I-40 in the mountains has lost all of the lanes on one side - washed into the river.
  11. Carvers Gap
    Very surreal to see the images coming to of the communities in the foothills and mountains. Helene will be remembered a long time. For many, this story is still unfolding. Thanks to @tnweathernutfor those photos. @fountainguy97, how is your crew doing?
  12. Carvers Gap
    Pretty rough situation unfolding in Erwin. People(around 60) are trapped on a hospital roof. https://www.wcyb.com/news/local/patients-and-staff-stranded-on-roof-of-unicoi-county-hospital#
  13. Carvers Gap
    The situation in Erwin is ongoing with National Guard being called in...
  14. Carvers Gap
    Here is one thing I have learned about TS and hurricane damage. It takes 24-48hrs to find out who has been hit the worst. Why? They have no comms and can’t travel. I doubt we know the worst of this yet. Either someone flies over it or someone drives/walks out. Stone Age type of communication stuff.
  15. Carvers Gap
    I can’t even imagine. That is a mind boggling number. Thanks for letting us know.
  16. Carvers Gap
    Photos and videos of Erwin are pretty devastating - flooding.
  17. Carvers Gap
    Just tagging onto Jeff's post...
  18. Carvers Gap
    Power outage update from WJHL...lots of people without power at the moment. https://www.wjhl.com/news/local/heavy-rain-storms-cause-power-outages-across-the-tri-cities/ BrightRidge Austin Springs – 248 outages Blackley Creek – 138 outages Boones Creek – 28 outages Bowmantown – 88 outages Cherokee – 211 outages Colonial Heights – 53 outages Fall Branch – 25 outages Fordtown – 136 outages Gray – 102 outages Harmony – 35 outages Jonesborough – 617 outages Lamar – 237 outages Limestone – 158 outages Northeast Johnson City – 179 outages Northwest Johnson City – 180 outages Piney Flats – 76 outages Southeast Johnson City and Pinecrest – 1,144 outages Southwest Johnson City – 358 outages Sulphur Springs – 107 outages Telford – 294outages Appalachian Power Hawkins County, Tennessee – 950 outages Sullivan County, Tennessee – 14,854 outages Washington County, Tennessee – Fewer than 5 outages Buchanan County, Virginia – 844 outages Dickenson County, Virginia – 771 outages Russell County, Virginia – 7,539 outages Scott County, Virginia – 8,307 outages Smyth County, Virginia – 5,186 outages Washington County, Virginia – 9,325 outages Wise County, Virginia – 203 outages Greeneville Energy Authority Andrew Johnson – 1 outage Caney Branch – 5 outages Chucky Doak – 65 outages Court House- 2 outages Cross Anchor – 36 outages Flag Branch – 44 outages Forest Hills – 164 outages Glenwood – 2 outages Greystone – 6 outages Hardins – 52 outages Highland Roby – 1 outage Jockey – 121 outages Lost Mountain – 42 outages McDonald – 1 outage Midway – 1 outage Mohawk – 131 outages Mosheim – 17 outages Mt. Carmel – 70 outages Mt. Pleasant – 14 outages Newmansville – 40 outages Orebank – 1 outage South Greene – 3 outages Sunnyside – 70 outage Tusculum Corp – 52 outages Tusculum North – 23 outages Tusculum South – 89 outages Tusculum View – 21 outages Union Temple – 7 outages West Pines -109 outages Woodlawn – 302 outages Holston Electric Cooperative Hawkins County – 17,179 outages Holston Electric Cooperative reported they are actively working to resolve the widespread outages from Church Hill to Morristown. LG&E and KU Energy Dickenson County, Virginia – 324 outages Lee County, Virginia – 1,756 outages Russell County, Virginia – 78 outages Scott County, Virginia – 33 outages Wise County, Virginia – 4,729 outages Mountain Electric Cooperative Mountain Electric Cooperative is experiencing a “tremendous amount of outages” throughout its system, according to a post on social media. Powell Valley Electric Cooperative Lee County, Virginia – 3,400 outages Scott County, Virginia – 178 outages Wise County, Virginia – 12 outages Hawkins County, Tennessee – 18 outages Bristol Tennessee Essential Services Power outages are reported throughout the coverage area, according to a post on social media. Bristol Virginia Utilities 546 outages Erwin Utilities Buffalo Valley – 22 outages Chesota – 21 outages Fishery Loop – 12 outages Harris Hollow – 6 outages Jonesborough Road – 11 outages Limestone Cove – 434 outages Scioto – 3 outages Temple Hill – 156 outages Unicoi – 35 outages Upper Rock Creek – 56 outages
  19. Carvers Gap
    One thing that is interesting, the forecasted downsloping did not verify in some areas. Again, draw a line along I-26, and points to the NE along the mountains got hit with some decent rain this morning. It may be the downslope saved them from much worse. If any of the North Carolina mountain folks swing by this thread, we would definitely be interested in your precip totals. Stay safe, everyone.
  20. Carvers Gap
    Great share. Modeling had been really stubborn with bringing the eye right over MRX. Most modeling last night was well east of the NHC track. That modeling verified - GFS, NAM, RGEM, and I think the HRRR all had that. The GFS and NAM were far too strong with wind gusts. The RGEM looked like it did really well for the even - just like it does in the winter.
  21. Carvers Gap
    Some of these totals are mind boggling...
  22. Carvers Gap
  23. Carvers Gap
    Also seeing some power outages downtown. Here in a few hours, I may be hauling a generator over to my wife's office to keep a fridge with expensive stuff running. I can almost draw a line down I-26, and everything to the east is worse than the west.
  24. Carvers Gap
    Looks like MRX reported a gust to 52mph. Things are starting to settle down a bit here. Still getting gusts, but sustained winds are slightly less.
  25. Carvers Gap
    Yep. Good catch. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Morristown TN 1002 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024 ...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR EMBREEVILLE... The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Central Carter County in east Tennessee... Northwestern Unicoi County in east Tennessee... Washington County in east Tennessee... * Until 100 PM EDT. * At 1002 AM EDT, emergency management reported flash flooding. Water rescues are ongoing in Embreeville. Flash flooding is already occurring. This is a FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY for Embreeville. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing flash flooding. SOURCE...Emergency management reported. IMPACT...This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! Life threatening flash flooding of low water crossings, small creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Johnson City, Elizabethton, Erwin, Jonesborough, Pine Crest, Midway, Central, Unicoi, Watauga, Milligan College, Avondale, Embreeville, Leesburg, Telford, Hunter, Limestone and Sadie. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Move to higher ground now! This is an extremely dangerous and life-threatening situation. Do not attempt to travel unless you are fleeing an area subject to flooding or under an evacuation order. Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.
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