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Carvers Gap

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  1. Power outage update from WJHL...lots of people without power at the moment. https://www.wjhl.com/news/local/heavy-rain-storms-cause-power-outages-across-the-tri-cities/ BrightRidge Austin Springs – 248 outages Blackley Creek – 138 outages Boones Creek – 28 outages Bowmantown – 88 outages Cherokee – 211 outages Colonial Heights – 53 outages Fall Branch – 25 outages Fordtown – 136 outages Gray – 102 outages Harmony – 35 outages Jonesborough – 617 outages Lamar – 237 outages Limestone – 158 outages Northeast Johnson City – 179 outages Northwest Johnson City – 180 outages Piney Flats – 76 outages Southeast Johnson City and Pinecrest – 1,144 outages Southwest Johnson City – 358 outages Sulphur Springs – 107 outages Telford – 294outages Appalachian Power Hawkins County, Tennessee – 950 outages Sullivan County, Tennessee – 14,854 outages Washington County, Tennessee – Fewer than 5 outages Buchanan County, Virginia – 844 outages Dickenson County, Virginia – 771 outages Russell County, Virginia – 7,539 outages Scott County, Virginia – 8,307 outages Smyth County, Virginia – 5,186 outages Washington County, Virginia – 9,325 outages Wise County, Virginia – 203 outages Greeneville Energy Authority Andrew Johnson – 1 outage Caney Branch – 5 outages Chucky Doak – 65 outages Court House- 2 outages Cross Anchor – 36 outages Flag Branch – 44 outages Forest Hills – 164 outages Glenwood – 2 outages Greystone – 6 outages Hardins – 52 outages Highland Roby – 1 outage Jockey – 121 outages Lost Mountain – 42 outages McDonald – 1 outage Midway – 1 outage Mohawk – 131 outages Mosheim – 17 outages Mt. Carmel – 70 outages Mt. Pleasant – 14 outages Newmansville – 40 outages Orebank – 1 outage South Greene – 3 outages Sunnyside – 70 outage Tusculum Corp – 52 outages Tusculum North – 23 outages Tusculum South – 89 outages Tusculum View – 21 outages Union Temple – 7 outages West Pines -109 outages Woodlawn – 302 outages Holston Electric Cooperative Hawkins County – 17,179 outages Holston Electric Cooperative reported they are actively working to resolve the widespread outages from Church Hill to Morristown. LG&E and KU Energy Dickenson County, Virginia – 324 outages Lee County, Virginia – 1,756 outages Russell County, Virginia – 78 outages Scott County, Virginia – 33 outages Wise County, Virginia – 4,729 outages Mountain Electric Cooperative Mountain Electric Cooperative is experiencing a “tremendous amount of outages” throughout its system, according to a post on social media. Powell Valley Electric Cooperative Lee County, Virginia – 3,400 outages Scott County, Virginia – 178 outages Wise County, Virginia – 12 outages Hawkins County, Tennessee – 18 outages Bristol Tennessee Essential Services Power outages are reported throughout the coverage area, according to a post on social media. Bristol Virginia Utilities 546 outages Erwin Utilities Buffalo Valley – 22 outages Chesota – 21 outages Fishery Loop – 12 outages Harris Hollow – 6 outages Jonesborough Road – 11 outages Limestone Cove – 434 outages Scioto – 3 outages Temple Hill – 156 outages Unicoi – 35 outages Upper Rock Creek – 56 outages
  2. One thing that is interesting, the forecasted downsloping did not verify in some areas. Again, draw a line along I-26, and points to the NE along the mountains got hit with some decent rain this morning. It may be the downslope saved them from much worse. If any of the North Carolina mountain folks swing by this thread, we would definitely be interested in your precip totals. Stay safe, everyone.
  3. Great share. Modeling had been really stubborn with bringing the eye right over MRX. Most modeling last night was well east of the NHC track. That modeling verified - GFS, NAM, RGEM, and I think the HRRR all had that. The GFS and NAM were far too strong with wind gusts. The RGEM looked like it did really well for the even - just like it does in the winter.
  4. Also seeing some power outages downtown. Here in a few hours, I may be hauling a generator over to my wife's office to keep a fridge with expensive stuff running. I can almost draw a line down I-26, and everything to the east is worse than the west.
  5. Looks like MRX reported a gust to 52mph. Things are starting to settle down a bit here. Still getting gusts, but sustained winds are slightly less.
  6. Yep. Good catch. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Morristown TN 1002 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024 ...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR EMBREEVILLE... The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Central Carter County in east Tennessee... Northwestern Unicoi County in east Tennessee... Washington County in east Tennessee... * Until 100 PM EDT. * At 1002 AM EDT, emergency management reported flash flooding. Water rescues are ongoing in Embreeville. Flash flooding is already occurring. This is a FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY for Embreeville. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing flash flooding. SOURCE...Emergency management reported. IMPACT...This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! Life threatening flash flooding of low water crossings, small creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Johnson City, Elizabethton, Erwin, Jonesborough, Pine Crest, Midway, Central, Unicoi, Watauga, Milligan College, Avondale, Embreeville, Leesburg, Telford, Hunter, Limestone and Sadie. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Move to higher ground now! This is an extremely dangerous and life-threatening situation. Do not attempt to travel unless you are fleeing an area subject to flooding or under an evacuation order. Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.
  7. Reading some reports that Bristol has a lot of trees down, especially the Virginia side.
  8. Hearing of power outages on the east side of town. I think east of I-126 is getting hammered. Looks like the mountain communities of Boone, Roan Mountain, Mountain City, maybe Elizabethton, and Butler....getting it pretty good.
  9. The National Hurricane Center has this remaining as a tropical storm as it passes into Tennessee. Looks like some areas of E TN will have the "eye" pass over.
  10. Yeah, it is ripping on the west side of town.
  11. Just to update Jeff's post w/ the Christmas tree of lit advisories....and also to document wind gusts as much of NE TN is beginning to feel the early affects of the wind. I can hear a few transformers blowing in the distance, but so far, so good.
  12. Looks like a flood advisory has been posted for Nashville and section east of the city.
  13. It was kind of odd as it rolled in. Before we got any wind working its way down, you could hear a steady hum just above the tree tops. Winds have increased over the past thirty minutes. It is similar to a really windy day after a front comes through, but the worst is still approaching from the southeast. Winds are out of the east, gusting to 30-35mph so far. It just comes in waves. Power is blinking on and off. I will be really surprised if it stays on......
  14. National Weather Service Morristown TN 956 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 943 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024 Key Messages: 1. Flooding risk remains overnight and into Friday morning. There is an increased risk for flash flooding near Hamilton, Marion, and Sequatchie Counties where a heavier band of rainfall is expected to train. 2. Strong 40+ mph wind gusts expected area-wide. Wind gusts over 60 mph will be possible in the Knoxville metro area and to the northeast across the Tri-Cities region and southwest Virginia. Higher elevations of the mountains and foothills may see wind gusts over 80 mph. 3. These strong winds, when combined with saturated soils, will likely result in widespread downed trees and power outages. Be prepared for prolonged power outages. Discussion: This is a historic setup for the Southern Appalachians that we haven`t seen in decades. Major Hurricane Helene will make landfall over the next couple of hours along the Big Bend region of Florida. Helene will quickly move inland and weaken, but its remnants will enter our forecast area only about 12 hours after landfall because of the quick forward speed. That means the strong pressure gradient and associated wind field will still be very intense across portions of the Tennessee Valley and Southern Appalachians. Due to the extratropical transition, the strongest winds will be on the eastern side of the track. This means the highest probability of 60+ mph wind gusts will be near the Knoxville metro and to the northeast. Even valley locations around Knoxville, Morristown, and the Tri- Cities may see wind gusts of 60 to 70 mph on Friday morning through the early afternoon. Locations near the low pressure center track that don`t see the strong 60+ mph wind gusts will likely still see wind gusts of at least 40 mph. Ridge tops will likely see the strongest wind gusts. Combine these winds with saturated soils with trees full of leaves, and widespread downed trees are expected. Widespread power outages will likely be the result with the potential for prolonged power outages. In addition to high winds, PW values are over 2.0 inches across the southern valley and southern plateau. There is a convergent region around Chattanooga that will result in heavy rain late tonight through Friday morning with a band of up to 3 to 6 inches of rain in a 6 hour period. Where this band sets up will have the potential for flash flooding on Friday morning. The flooding and river flooding risk continues area-wide with several rivers at flood stage or forecast to rise to flood stage overnight and into Friday.
  15. The lates 0z NAM is holding to pretty big wind gusts for TRI as does the HRRR. The NAM is far worse FWIW. For now, it is just degrees of bad.
  16. Per Hunter Ward on FB re: Asheville and the French Broad: NOAA is now projecting the second highest crest of the French Broad River ever recorded in the Asheville area. It is projected tomorrow morning to be at 19.4', less than 4' off the record crest of 1916. Please move to higher ground if you live near the French Broad River. See image 2 for impacts projected with a crest of 19'.
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