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Carvers Gap

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  1. I read that during a brief search for earliest snowfalls in the Smokies. It seemed off as soon as I posted it! It is an interesting question of how early they have seen snow greater than or equal to 1".
  2. I should add that records began during the late 1980s at that location. I feel almost certain snow has probably fallen earlier at 6000'. Still, that is an early start!
  3. Mt Leconte had its first snow at almost the exact time last year! They had 4" of snow on Oct 16th. Last year was the second earliest reported there. So, I guess this makes today the second earliest reported there.
  4. MRX listing snow chances for the Apps from 2:00PM today to 8:00AM tomorrow morning. Just tagging onto @fountainguy97's post.
  5. I pretty much take the photo, and then max out the saturation. That first image....I was looking up and saw the sky get really light, and realized it was the greener hue of the northern lights.
  6. I got up to Roan Mountain yesterday. It is mind boggling the amount of water that came down that mountain. I think the only thing that saved lives there was they had been through similar flooding recently, and the homes at risk then are not there now. The water volume (to me) looked worse this time around. The roads that windspeed shared above...that is what it looks like in the narrow valleys of that area. I looked down to check directions once, and looked up to see my lane completely missing.
  7. Water conservation orders for NE TN were posted last night.... Our thoughts and prayers remain with our fellow Tennesseans dealing with the severity of damage caused by the storm,” said TDEC Commissioner David Salyers. “In this critical time of limited resources clean water is essential for recovery and we call upon all citizens in these affected areas to conserve as much water as is possible.” The counties where mandatory water conservation orders are in place for the entirety of the county are Sullivan, Carter, Johnson, Greene, Unicoi, and Washington. Parts of the following counties are under the mandatory water conservation order: Cocke (Newport Utilities), Sevier (Webb Utility District), and Jefferson (Dandridge). The call is for citizens to conserve any water that is for non-essential use. Examples of non-essential use of water are clothes washing, running dishwashers, landscaping irrigation, or washing cars.
  8. In terms of a colder pattern, it looks like a two step forward, one step back....step down pattern for October. Meaning, it looks progressively colder with each week.
  9. Great photos, fountain. Looks like a pretty big cool down is beginning to show up on modeling - sooner than later. I think Helene might well have broken the summer pattern.
  10. Man, the South Fork in Kingsport has been sort of off-and-on muddy since this event started, but was running reasonably (and oddly) clear yesterday. Even the water at Warriors' Path was normal. Whew. Not today - at least in Kingsport (haven't been to Warriors'). The water is maybe as muddy as I have seen it. It looks like the North Fork on a bad day - coffee creamer brown. I am guessing the clear water was TVA just clearing water in advance of the floodwaters. I am guessing that today, the waters from the Watauga have made it into the Holston system. Sometimes it takes a few days for muddy water to traverse through Wilbur, Watauga, Boone, and then Patric Henry lakes.
  11. @Holston_River_Rambler, want to take a guess at what occurred in September of 1989(the record we just broke)? Hurricane Hugo. Pretty good post you had a few pages ago. Money.
  12. The number of missing has increased drastically today in both NC and E TN. My heart goes out to their families. I can’t even begin to understand or imagine, Aid is streaming into the area right now. Thank you to the folks who are working this. We saw a convoy of medical personnel this evening. They were headed east on 26.
  13. @Holston_River_Ramblera blend of Hugo and Opal was indeed the accurate comparison I think. The RGEM was incredibly accurate.
  14. I think we are only just now scratching the surface in terms of knowing how bad this was for the people of both sides of the Apps. 33 people are now listed as missing in Erwin/Unicoi. That water came up so fast. https://www.wjhl.com/news/local/ema-director-33-missing-in-unicoi-county-no-confirmed-deaths/
  15. DT always warns that modeling likes to erroneously repeat big storms. That said, the pattern supports GOM storms right now it appears.
  16. The other thing I don't know is if railroad service has been disrupted by bridge issues as well. If it all gets moved to road, gonna be crazy busy....detours on top of detours. I bet I-81 here in TRI is gonna be nuts. Did RR bridges survive the flooding?
  17. I think the area around Damascus/Taylor's Valley were hit pretty hard as Whitetop Creek got out of its banks. I know it was shared by Matt last night. I just don't think we are hearing much from that area due to limited communications. I worry that is true for many mountain communities in NC and TN. I think they are still working to get people out via helicopter today.
  18. Here is some drone footage which shows the scope of the damage in Unicoi an Erwin. Entirely new river patterns were cut. https://www.facebook.com/johnsoncityaerialphotography Johnson City Aerial Photography LLC
  19. Thanks to @fountainguy97and @tnweathernutfor the updates by the way. I know that can't be easy. Is that bridge clear to cross?
  20. The Jackson Love Bridge in those photos may well be the only bridge in Tennessee over the Nolichucky for miles and miles and miles. Hopefully they get that squared away. That is the lone lifeline to civilization for everyone on the east bank.
  21. East Tennessee Storm Tracker has a file of 68 photos(looks like from this morning) of the damage to Erwin. https://www.facebook.com/groups/358799077811159/user/100064076527896/
  22. Anyone know anything new about the Nolichuckey dam failure possibility (see WJHL)? They had listed failure as imminent late last night. I haven’t seen an update....
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