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Carvers Gap

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Everything posted by Carvers Gap

  1. Carvers Gap
    This run is a bit warmer through 90. Tells me it is digging and is further north.
  2. Carvers Gap
    Track should be about 20-30 miles further north by 84. That will likely allow a bit more of the warm nose downstream. Still could change even on this run.
  3. Carvers Gap
    Slowed down a hair at 78 I think. Might allow for more spacing with the first system. Might allow it to track a bit further north without the 50/50 to hold it in place. As Holston notes, looks super similar.
  4. Carvers Gap
    Slightly less digging at 66 and a split hair faster. Would imply maybe a less amped solution downstream, but not by much.
  5. Carvers Gap
    That is what I like to call the "school car line" snow - meaning from forty miles away I can see Roan Mtn and snow from the school car line. LOL.
  6. Carvers Gap
    Somewhere about right now a poster from Georgia is saying something about phase 7 being the best time for snow in Atlanta. @John1122, that is uncanny.
  7. Carvers Gap
    What was on all three global ensembles is a major winter storm. No idea if that holds or if it trends west more, but that is a big storm.
  8. Carvers Gap
    Clown map. With the storm trending strong, would very much suspect the west side of the Apps would get much more. Honestly, the hourly precip type maps look great.
  9. Carvers Gap
    Here is a three slide sequence. 12z is on the left. 0z is on the right, hours 126-132-138. BIG move...
  10. Carvers Gap
    That storm is 977 over Delmarva at 144. That is a big storm models are eyeing this weekend. Chances are, they are not done seeing how strong it is. Good to have the Euro just a hair to the east.
  11. Carvers Gap
    Very sharp cutoff from 75/81 westward. As @TellicoWx notes, that is right where we want it. Room to move. That was a massive shift northwest.
  12. Carvers Gap
    12z Euro is definitely northwest. Snow along the northern shield from Alabama, Georgia, and E TN. Chattanooga now officially has a storm to track.
  13. Carvers Gap
    At 117, here she goes. Snow along the northern shield in MS, Alabama, Georgia, and southern TN.
  14. Carvers Gap
    At 96 Pivotal has a low sitting over Mobile, Alabama.
  15. Carvers Gap
    At 96, the trend to dig more to the west-southwest is evident.
  16. Carvers Gap
    At 84, the Euro is indeed allowing the system to dig a bit more. Much more organized.
  17. Carvers Gap
    Through 75, the Euro looks a lot like the GFS on the 500 sort maps. Much stronger than its last full run at 0z.
  18. Carvers Gap
    At 57, is a bit quicker and better organized. FWIW, Pivotal is going to have this first. I am watching WxBell. Pivotal is releasing in 24 hour increments. Just looking for trends on the WxBell site.
  19. Carvers Gap
    The system is coming in along the Washington St coastline at 48. Looks a hair south and certainly a bit stronger.
  20. Carvers Gap
    The 12z Euro has initialized.......
  21. Carvers Gap
    The 12z GEFS is going to have a massive snow mean for some areas.
  22. Carvers Gap
    We need one of those @Stovepipe "The Euro is Rolling" trucks in a moment.
  23. Carvers Gap
    Yeah, it is worth post if nothing more for posterity. 57" in West Virginia on that run. Not sure I have seen that in the East for a run.
  24. Carvers Gap
    Somewhere in West Virginia had 57" of snow modeled on that run(Kuchera). Our mountains only had like 33-36."
  25. Carvers Gap
    The snow map for the 12z GFS run is going be pretty stout.
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