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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. I wonder if the cmc and icon are underdoing the amount of dry air involved. Regardless, we’re in the euro and gfs’ world rn aka the important models.
  2. Yea it’s the new normal here. Looks like the sun might pop back out at least.
  3. I don’t think I’ll be playing outdoor basketball on Sunday
  4. Looks like Frederick has an opportunity to make up ground from the last few years. Curious where in MoCo will be the dividing line. Seems like Gaithersburg to Columbia is often times the battleground for these fall line setups.
  5. Seems like solutions are converging on at least several inches to start, so the first step in this competitive sport seems to be nearing completion. Next step is where the primary low ends up.
  6. Dec 09 also was modest until the coastal took over. Different systems but two-part systems are pretty common here.
  7. I know…I don’t even feel like watching the rest of the runs lol. We basically have a bowling ball Pacific low colliding with an Arctic dome. That was one of the best gfs runs I have ever seen for this area irt the shear size of this system.
  8. Surface map is honestly kind of majestic. Still a few days out, but it’s a classic setup, assuming it holds and stuff.
  9. Jet dynamics are mostly carbon copy of 6z. This is gonna be a wrecking.
  10. I can’t be the only that hasn’t loved the look at h5. I’m used to seeing a closed low south of us for the biggies. But science Is science and a snowstorm is a snowstorm. Just makes me pause a bit until all the Euro and GFS really start to converge.
  11. Growing up in Silver Spring, sleet was usually the price to be paid for a juiced up EC storm. Less worried about that scenario in Frederick (unless this system cuts like Feb 94) and looks like everyone closer to the fall line gets an overrunning thump anyway. We’re in the Euro’s money range. Today’s runs will be important.
  12. Yea, it’s one of the more wild storm outputs I’ve seen lol.
  13. So per my storage unit company (which just sent out a notice about the storm), this winter storm is called Fern. Oy vay.
  14. True. Sleet might be underrated. Big FZRA storms I can do without, though.
  15. Crippling ice storm. Gas stations will be closed for days as well. Trees and power lines down. Hard pass.
  16. Yea ice storms are garbage. Zero interest in them. I can go ice skating if I desire ice lol.
  17. Aka the most important signal for us northern tier folks.
  18. Oh yea Dec 09 was tier 2 compared to Feb 10.
  19. You’re not wrong, but I have a hunch the cold air is overdone. The better gfs runs show ~1040 high instead of near 1050. Chicken egg thing…is that causing the Baja low to spin itself out or is the low shearing out allowing the hp to overwhelm. I’ll let you know next Monday.
  20. Hecs’ are just different. It requires cars to be barely visible.
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