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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. 87storms
    I like that look more than any other model I’ve seen. Most of them have Frederick on the western envelope of the goods.
  2. 87storms
    It’s gonna take the battle of the century, but it appears Frederick might actually get peeks of sun before the day is out.
  3. 87storms
    Yea I’m not impressed with the trend here at all. The rest of the guidance has been for more of a coastal impact. Temps are also a problem even more so for that crew. At this point, we gotta start taking the euro seriously.
  4. 87storms
    Gfs seems to be trending slightly east just about every run since yesterday.
  5. 87storms
    Mother Nature > reverse psychology
  6. 87storms
    Cold chasing precip, increasing sun angle, a rapid developing coastal that’s 100 miles east of OC, and a reliance on an IVT/Norlun…just our kinda storm.
  7. 87storms
    Old rag is legit. At least a 1/3 of it is a rock scramble. Plan accordingly.
  8. 87storms
    It’s a bowl with character
  9. 87storms
    Frederick has a snow allergy during La Niña. Chasing is tempting, though.
  10. 87storms
    Some of the model output is wild. 966 lp at our latitude on the Canadian. There will be watches up by tomorrow night for the Eastern shore at this rate.
  11. 87storms
    Only if someone sits next to me when it’s empty
  12. 87storms
    He’s not wrong though lol. At this point I might be able to run errands on Sunday while oc gets a blizzard.
  13. 87storms
    There’s consensus for a coastal but the difference is the gfs wants the impacts to be on land which makes it seem like it’s a lot more different than it is lol
  14. 87storms
    Chase worthy storm to OC. They got rocked.
  15. 87storms
    Still a healthy vort pass, just convoluted like millerwx alluded to.
  16. 87storms
    I’m not sure how much ai would help short term forecasts. Seems like ai has more potential to handle long term chaos. Also, the term ai is so bloated. It’s basically just machine learning that we now have enough computing power to handle big data. When I think of ai I think of robots, not weather models lol.
  17. 87storms
    It was awesome. I stayed up to watch it…it came in like a wall right off the Atlantic. The models were on vacation.
  18. 87storms
    You must not have been here for that one lol. Light snow was predicted at the 5pm newscasts. 6-10” was on the ground by the morning.
  19. 87storms
    The weekend rule is a force of nature.
  20. 87storms
    Think I’m gonna end up with over 0.5” today. Gonna put a little dent on the remaining snow mounds.
  21. 87storms
    The whole setup is pretty weird. Must be a traffic jam forming with all those vorts flying around. One of them is even moving nnw from Wisconsin to Canada lol.
  22. 87storms
    Yea, this run was a half step towards other guidance. Let’s face it, the euro model suite is all that matters at this range. Need that to shift west very soon.
  23. 87storms
    Seems like every model wants to pop a legit coastal. The problem is gfs is like 150 miles west of the consensus.
  24. 87storms
    Temps have been busting low it seems all week.
  25. 87storms
    It’s too late in the season for wimpy snowstorms. Mecs or above is the only option.
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