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cbmclean

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Everything posted by cbmclean

  1. It will be interesting to see how much of a recovery we get, if any, once the PDO flips back. But even then I'm not sure how much impact the PDO has on the prevalence of Pac Puke as opposed to -PNA.
  2. The hypothesis is that the hadley cell expansion is an effect of...you know.
  3. Assuming the "Hadley cell jet steroid" hypothesis is correct (seems very plausible but years of research would be needed and not sure any PHD candidates are working on it), getting mad at the Hadley cell for Pac Puke is like force-feeding your kid caffeine and then getting mad when they act wild.
  4. I actually can't tell, are you being overdramatic a la Ji,?
  5. Wait a minute...has your level of knowledge evolved to a point where you can shut off snow when you are out of the area?
  6. Man gotta love that quadrifecta (tetrafecta?) of -PNA, +NAO, +AO, +EPO around 1/25. Other than that teleconnections are great!
  7. As usual, Wikipedia has a detailed write-up, perhaps too detailed. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem
  8. I wonder in today's base state would such a burger even work anymore?
  9. I have to admit the upcoming Sh!t the blinds pattern has snuck up on me as I was being lazy and not looking at the LR while I have been enjoying the cold. Alas, here we are.. Skipping over the grim 6-10 there does appear to be come hope of renewed -EPO afterword which at least would help with the cold. Not sure where we're going to get the moisture though.
  10. Has the STJ been unusually dormant for a Nino? My understanding is that STJ systems are the Nino bread and butter but seems less fruitful than hoped so far.
  11. Technically they weren't burning water per se, just the layer of pollution on TOP of the water. https://www.sciencehistory.org/stories/distillations-pod/the-myth-of-the-cuyahoga-river-fire/
  12. That doesn't really satisfy me. An index, any index, be it NAO, AO, EPO, PNA or whatever is a description of an observed pattern of measurements. It is not, in and of itself a mechanistic explanation of WHY the observed pattern is occurring, or why it has certain consequences. And saying that heights in the SW are low because the -PDO is tautological. It's like saying that something is hot because the thermometer has high readings.
  13. Is it really cherry picking? More like turd scooping.
  14. The blue line is the 540 dm height line, and not the better known 540 dm thickness line. The 540 thickness line is well known to approximate line for where it is cold enough to snow, but I have no idea what the 540 height line represents. Anybody else know.
  15. I know you are currently frolicking in VT, but any idea if you got any on MT PsU today?
  16. Optimism and pessimism aside, what are our chances of getting some of that to come east? The -NAO would argue for it, but I'll wait until Chuck approves. I have heard that the EPS is looking nice after MLK day.
  17. Sadly I have none to offer, and I haven't heard anyone else offer a convincing one.
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