
jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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Yep, lots of confluence. North of I-84 might be a nice weekend for once.
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Yep, not looking forward to another crappy weekend, whether we get 1” or 0.1” mist. Definitely enjoying the sun/low 70s while it’s here.
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Anything would be a bonanza after last “winter”.
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If you’re a DC snow weenie absolutely.
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
jm1220 replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
I can see all the Ray Donovan memes when that’s the Nino STJ juiced monster that buries the megalopolis. -
My Winter Outlook for 2023-24
jm1220 replied to raindancewx's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Well I hope you’re wrong but very nice write up. And you did quite well this past “winter”. -
All comes down to where the blocking and resulting confluence sets up. Would be a nail biter if this was winter. Although it doesn’t really interest me now-light/mod rain vs mist is still another ruined weekend.
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Not sure a windy mist storm would be that much better outcome. Blocking/confluence doing work on that map with the ESE precip cutoff like that.
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If that raging jet stays, doesn’t matter how strong any Nino might be, we still have the perma-Nina state. Maybe it’s a good thing we’re getting this over with now? PDO is still very negative which reinforces that jet.
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The primary hanging on too long/Lake cutters are Nina features. Hopefully as we go into winter we get rid of those. That map would be heavy rain for the city/coast even in late January.
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Beautiful in Long Beach, smoke cleared out thankfully. A COC day as they put it in the New England forum. The beach took a rough hit and possibly more to come @wdrag
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Beaches here are rough too. Glad to see the sun finally, no smoke here thankfully.
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Lido Blvd was horrendous, Laurelton where I grew up surprisingly wasn’t that bad from what I heard but many basements flooded. I grew up near Laurelton/W Fulton. The Dec nor’easter flooding was bad there.
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The Aug 2011 flood before Irene will always be memorable in Long Beach. Irene of course was bad too. This one ranks right up there. Finally some sun trying to come out. But this rain wasn’t “unprecedented” and we’ll see this again within a few years, so whatever the city has to do in order to prepare, should make that happen.
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You should send your total to Upton if you didn’t already.
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Tracking The 3”+ Heavy Rainfall Events Since 2010
jm1220 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Yep, where to even start with yesterday/today’s event. -
Right up there with Aug 2011’s event pre-Irene that had 10” in Lido Beach. And probably add a half inch to that from the rain this morning.
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Massively overdeveloped in a catastrophe waiting to happen when there's the Cat 5 they're due for.
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And if Northport got 4.27", must have been 5" or more here.
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Highest in the area looks to be Valley Stream. @uofmiami you should send your Syosset total in. I would think Hewlett would be higher than East Rockaway. If the radar estimate matters, Atlantic Beach/Lawrence/Inwood probably had over 10" then.
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