jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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NW of the city was a bust on the modeling like you said. They almost all showed the heaviest snow up there but they were skunked.
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I’ll be in Long Beach for this one. For once that might be a good thing.
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They also had 7” of snow I think in the last storm. Deep deep winter in that area.
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There was definitely a nice glaze on trees here but I wouldn’t say we were near 0.25” which is warning criteria ice. I would say 0.1” or so actually accreted. When temps are just below freezing a good amount of the rain just runs off. When temps get down to 28-29 it becomes a lot more dangerous when there’s steady rain.
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Maybe today we’ll see the bump north we usually get with these systems. Let’s see what the other models have to say. If we get a little less confluence and slightly better S/W it can happen. Won’t be a major event but a 3-5” type outcome isn’t off the table.
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I’m not sure if they count freezing rain as any precip that fell at 32 or below or they measure the glaze on a surface. I’d say here there was at least 0.1” considering the glaze on surfaces. Trees have a nice glaze on them for sure. Not close to a warning amount but it got quite icy. Thankfully a lot fell when it was 30-31 so the pavements didn’t get bad.
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Austin TX got down to 15 I think. And that’s a place where there are lots of palm trees around (the western variety that are more cold tolerant)
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We’re well below average for snow so far this winter but Nino winters usually are best in late Jan into Feb so there’s a decent enough chance at a turnaround. There’s nothing big on the horizon for now but hopefully in Feb we can reload the pattern and time cold air with a big storm. But if not, averages and eventually we need to pay the piper for all the big snow years. It sucks and I don’t like it either but it’s how it is.
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We had the bonanza years with multiple KU’s up until 2018, got lucky again in 2020-21 and now we’re seeing the opposite side of it. Averages are what they are and our latitude is something else we can’t change. I’m not happy either that this appears to be going the wrong way but at least we have something outside right now and cold for a few days.
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15 here. Brrr.
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Nice wintry look outside finally and as expected everything’s frozen into cement. All that was really expected from this storm. Glad I’m not staring at brown ground anymore.
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If we have that 1040 high for it to ram into, game on for at least a good front ender.
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I’m up to maybe 3.5”. Yep-pretty lame. Still have some hope this can amp up to a 3-5” deal.
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Temp starting to drop, I’m down to 29 with light freezing rain. Decent glaze on trees/my car. Pavement thankfully is wet.
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Having snow on snow for the first time since Feb 2021 will be a treat. And definitely some upside potential with a few NW ticks.
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If we’re getting any flip back to snow, this batch in E NJ should clip most of the island and hopefully a wintry ending.
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Yep, here comes the crash.
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Curious to see if we get a brief flip back to snow later. Since winds never turned easterly we didn’t warm up. Not a fan of this lighter precip which will accrete better.
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I have about 2.5”. Temp still stuck at 30-31 which I’m thinking is about as high as I’ll get.
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If we can get snow on snow to build up a snowpack it would be great. Hopefully the late NW trends can benefit for a change.
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It’s also lighter rain so it’s accreting more efficiently. Heavier rain would run off.
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Yep. Honestly it may not get any higher at all and we’re accreting. Models have temps dropping starting around 1pm.
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Even Long Beach on the extreme S Shore of Nassau still at 32 so no melting and maybe some accreting. We have a few hours before the crash begins.
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Usually the story with models-underestimate mid level warmth and overestimate surface warmth. On a NE wind we won’t budge. The freezing rain releases some warmth into the air through the droplets freezing but without WAA at the surface we’d just get up to 33. Roads later will be awful.
