jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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Might end up another DC to Baltimore storm.
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Looks if anything like snow is trending south even more. North of Sandy Hook be happy if it’s more than 1”. Just isn’t able to do it against the confluence. Of course we finally have a south trend/ more confluence leading into an event.
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My “time to be concerned if we don’t see a turnaround” window is around now and not encouraging to see these signs of the Pacific going on another rampage. If snow is out of the question I’m fine with it warming into the 40s-50s again. Screw these cold periods with nothing to show for it. If it’ll be another total fail “winter” the worst is useless cold.
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Time to take it behind the horse barn.
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NAM looks lousy/south.
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Also keep in mind as Don said ratios may be above 10-1, so 0.2 of precip may be 2.5” snow.
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It’s disappointing but we have snow on the ground and will get more tomorrow to freshen it up. Hopefully the NWS is right in it being more aggressive.
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RGEM looks like dung but the WRF models look pretty amped/wet.
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I drove through my neighborhood last night and the ice was definitely noticeable in the trees. Very wintry scene. Not to the point branches were drooping but much more and there could’ve been power issues. I’m near Jericho Turnpike so the sound doesn’t affect my area. Down to 17 here, may get down to the low teens.
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Good trend, let’s see if other models pick up on it. Hopefully we’re at the range where NAM can’t be totally trashed.
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NW of the city was a bust on the modeling like you said. They almost all showed the heaviest snow up there but they were skunked.
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I’ll be in Long Beach for this one. For once that might be a good thing.
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They also had 7” of snow I think in the last storm. Deep deep winter in that area.
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There was definitely a nice glaze on trees here but I wouldn’t say we were near 0.25” which is warning criteria ice. I would say 0.1” or so actually accreted. When temps are just below freezing a good amount of the rain just runs off. When temps get down to 28-29 it becomes a lot more dangerous when there’s steady rain.
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Maybe today we’ll see the bump north we usually get with these systems. Let’s see what the other models have to say. If we get a little less confluence and slightly better S/W it can happen. Won’t be a major event but a 3-5” type outcome isn’t off the table.
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I’m not sure if they count freezing rain as any precip that fell at 32 or below or they measure the glaze on a surface. I’d say here there was at least 0.1” considering the glaze on surfaces. Trees have a nice glaze on them for sure. Not close to a warning amount but it got quite icy. Thankfully a lot fell when it was 30-31 so the pavements didn’t get bad.
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Austin TX got down to 15 I think. And that’s a place where there are lots of palm trees around (the western variety that are more cold tolerant)
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We’re well below average for snow so far this winter but Nino winters usually are best in late Jan into Feb so there’s a decent enough chance at a turnaround. There’s nothing big on the horizon for now but hopefully in Feb we can reload the pattern and time cold air with a big storm. But if not, averages and eventually we need to pay the piper for all the big snow years. It sucks and I don’t like it either but it’s how it is.
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We had the bonanza years with multiple KU’s up until 2018, got lucky again in 2020-21 and now we’re seeing the opposite side of it. Averages are what they are and our latitude is something else we can’t change. I’m not happy either that this appears to be going the wrong way but at least we have something outside right now and cold for a few days.
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15 here. Brrr.
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Nice wintry look outside finally and as expected everything’s frozen into cement. All that was really expected from this storm. Glad I’m not staring at brown ground anymore.
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If we have that 1040 high for it to ram into, game on for at least a good front ender.
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I’m up to maybe 3.5”. Yep-pretty lame. Still have some hope this can amp up to a 3-5” deal.
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Temp starting to drop, I’m down to 29 with light freezing rain. Decent glaze on trees/my car. Pavement thankfully is wet.
