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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. 11 here. WAA started overnight which kept us from hitting zero.
  2. Lots of mid to upper single digits in my area.
  3. When the pattern turns back to cutters they'll come through like clockwork. They sure did in December.
  4. Down to 9 here. Since the last 2 nights got down to mid single digits here, wonder if I make a run at 0 tonight.
  5. Pretty sure there will be more chances, but the window obviously slams shut when we go back to a cutters pattern and dominant SE ridge. Given the lack of chances for the next 10 days in climo snowiest part of the winter, the likelihood is high we end up well below average for snow again despite the colder conditions. Unless of course we get a miracle turnaround in Feb. But we need something to slow the pattern down and allow for amplification while holding in enough cold air, and we haven’t seen any hint of that this winter whatsoever.
  6. Nice that we just had our snow event and it’s a lot better than brown ground, but ending on 4” snow in my case for Jan would still be lousy. In Feb hopefully we have more chances but if we revert to the normal Nina warm Feb, good chance we end the winter under 15” in NYC which given the average of 25-30” I would still rate an F.
  7. When it clears out overnight here temps will drop like a rock.
  8. And their high tomorrow is only 32 so it will stick around for a while. Wonder if there’s been this kind of snow there since they’ve even been a city.
  9. Wonder if this will be considered a KU? Are these only for NE storms? I know there’s a near miss category but this isn’t a near miss. For that swath from Houston to Cape Hatteras this would be a Cat 6 winter storm lol.
  10. The drunken snowball fights in the French Quarter tonight will be epic.
  11. In Feb we tend to see the jet stream start to come back north and more surges of moisture into the colder air. Hopefully we can time one or two correctly.
  12. Looks like it got down to 3 IMBY.
  13. 5 here. The calmer winds helped radiate. Looks like 10-11 in the city and on the shore.
  14. Gonna be a cold one. Down to 17 already.
  15. We can’t keep blaming “bad luck” for why we can’t produce anything during favorable pattern windows. There’s a reason these turd in the punchbowls show up and ruin setups for big storms. The prevalence of all these confluence/kicker etc shortwaves is because the Pacific jet is so chaotic and fast. It also knocks down the big ridges and troughs that can generate the bigger storms, and can push them into bad alignments and locations, ie make them positively tilted.
  16. Pathetic. Wonder how many Gulf coast cities will have more for the season than Central Park in 24-48 hours? Not enough for Memphis and Little Rock of course. Nice event generally and we take, but snow wise this is still one of our lamest winters.
  17. If we can maintain the cold into Feb, we should have some chances as moisture comes back north to attack the cold air. We usually have our better storms when that happens. Amazing the lack of SE ridge this year, maybe that will be good to keep the SWFEs at bay. The Pacific slowing down and flinging less crap towards us that interfere with our bigger threats would be great.
  18. Islip got 2.3". Up to a whopping 4.8" on the season there, still under half of average to date. I probably should be at 10-11" at this point and have 8".
  19. On the low end of expectations generally but a nice event. It was clear yesterday AM that other than the places hit by the 700mb/mid-level band it wouldn't live up to the higher expectations since this was a disorganized system that couldn't really drive in the Atlantic moisture. 3.5-4" around this area, can't complain.
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