jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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Ugh, radar break over I-287 fill in. That’ll be the sleet line charge north. This is awesome so far.
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1” in Long Beach. Paste bomb so far.
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When the choppy echos get here is when the sleet line will really surge north. For now still a pasting here.
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Sleet line getting knocked back a little. I know it’ll surge through here sooner or later but heavy rates doing work.
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Snow mixed back in, car tops covered.
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Can see a sleet line starting to form between Allentown and Long Branch roughly.
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It should, temps will wetbulb down and heavier rates should bring snow down to the surface.
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Long Beach-Sleet is here!
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On CC radar sleet is pinned right around ABE and not advancing yet.
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Dewpoints are in the low 20s so we’ll wetbulb down, but we still have an onshore wind so that will try to raise temps. Then of course we have the strong mid level WAA at 750mb.
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Reading the central PA forum pretty much everyone is starting as then pounding sleet. Hopefully around Allentown we see the cold air make a better stand, otherwise from I-80 on south we probably just start as a pellet fest.
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I do like that it looks like a solid heavy slug of precip in PA. Hopefully it can hold the warm air back a little. And sleet pounding into it will just make it heavier and longer lasting. I don’t really mind mixing with sleet if we have a few inches down first (not what I’m expecting on the south shore but maybe at home on the north shore).
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Well-I’m in Long Beach tonight so I’ll do my old job to warn everyone the sleet’s on its way. The Paul Revere of sleetfests over the years.
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Sleet having a bit of a hard time getting N that far of I-80 in PA which might be a good sign for us. But if the precip is delayed we have less time in any cold air aloft. I’d love to believe the HRRR but it easily might just be on crack.
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Yep, ice storm warning there. I guess their elevated location is closer to the mid level warm nose, so the precip can’t refreeze in time to form sleet.
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I’ll be interested in what happens along I-78/Allentown area, if that snows for a while that’s a good sign for us.
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Sleet line is just N of I-80 in PA. State College will likely get nailed with sleet for a few hours.
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The PV is too far west which makes the trough axis too far west. When that happens we get a cutter or SWFE.
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I’ve been done. Like I said, wake me up when we have something within 72 hours. Couldn’t care less about pretty ensemble maps with 1000”.
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Looking to see how the precip shield evolves. We want it to race east quickly while we can take advantage of cold enough air and a solid wall.
