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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    I saw pics from Long Beach in the early morning and it looked like an inch or so. There were good radar echos in southern Nassau Mon night so I would think some people there had 2-3”.
  2. jm1220
    The pattern and evolution were very obvious. This was never going to be a NYC snowstorm barring a miracle from the developing upper low like Xmas 2002. The initial S flow ruined the mid levels, the coastal low developed very close to us and drove in mild surface air, the initial airmass sucked, and we had to rely on what we could get from the low pulling away. We had a burst of snow from it but nuisance amounts. That too blew up for SNE and especially coastal Mass.
  3. jm1220
    I missed that storm (lived in TX at the time-still a really sore topic with me lol) but the pics from Long Beach and areas from then make me think at least 2 feet fell and maybe close to 30”. I’ve never seen snow that deep there maybe ever.
  4. jm1220
    There are patterns and evolutions that you see and know how they will play out 90-95% of the time. As soon as models stuck on the bowling ball upper low moving south of us, and along with the lousy airmass it was clear that I-90 would get clobbered. I had 12-18” along the worst of it axis, which seems OK but should have been 12-24”. The worst ended up a little north of where I had it (seems like the heaviest amounts were along the NH/MA border) but for days it was clear it wouldn’t be our storm without major changes. The “table scraps” part last night was okay but not one of our pull out a miracle setups like Xmas 2002. It of course worked out in the end for Boston too but they won’t end up with the foot I thought they would. 6-9” looks like the total there. Clearly the short range models yesterday were horrible and way overdid the snow down here at times. I-78 and south clearly had very little but were under warnings.
  5. jm1220
    Central Park officially 1.6”. My backyard a little under 3”, Long Island and NYC generally 1-3”. Was a lousy storm here where we knew we would be on the short end days ago and relying on whatever rotated around the low. But nice start to winter anyway.
  6. jm1220
    It was clear 5 days ago that the storm would evolve in a way that would slam most of SNE (snow holes here and there). Closed off lows like this don’t roll underneath without much of SNE getting buried-this was a classic setup. Boston/coastal MA took its share today as the storm’s leaving and would’ve had 6” more if it was a few degrees colder. The short term models keeping all that offshore this morning were garbage.
  7. jm1220
    No way I would give up on a dynamic system like this tracking south of me. Boston often finds ways to cash in on those. The short range models were complete garbage. There were models giving my area over 10” and others practically none. The radar and common sense were much more useful.
  8. jm1220
    The ground is still warm so it’s probably melting from underneath.
  9. jm1220
    There were good echos over SW Nassau for a while yesterday night. I wonder if Long Beach actually did fairly well.
  10. jm1220
    It was foolish for anyone out there to give up. They’ll probably have 3-5” easy from this part.
  11. jm1220
    Going with 2.5” for round 2 here. Nice wintry look anyway. A little under 3” if you count the slush from Sunday.
  12. jm1220
    I wouldn’t count Boston out yet by any means.
  13. jm1220
    LOoks like another mod-heavy batch might be organizing over S CT and rolling SW.
  14. jm1220
    Close to heavy snow now. Like a snowglobe outside and accumulating fast.
  15. jm1220
    Your chances will come. Before we know it I'll be cursing at my screen watching a blowing up clipper or other system just east of me rolling up into your area, a SWFE that's good for brief slush and pellets in MBY clobber you for hours in the deeper cold air, or another system like this but now the SSTs are cooler and the east winds don't roast you. I doubt this is a Nino type year where suppression is a big deal like 15-16 and we actually have a chance to surpass Boston down here.
  16. jm1220
    I think maybe now the warnings can be dropped for Trenton and central Jersey?
  17. jm1220
    I wouldn't totally give up yet on being clipped by that band for a while. It does come pretty close on some models. Although I agree-I'd be pissed if I lived there. I thought for sure Boston would get at least a decent event from this.
  18. jm1220
    If you're talking about Commack, I highly doubt it. I have a maybe half inch coating here and I'm 2 towns away. Although it is coming down hard now.
  19. jm1220
    Coming down at a good clip now and accumulating nicely. Hopefully this lasts a while-doesn't seem to be in a rush to decay.
  20. jm1220
    You can blame it on me moving here.
  21. jm1220
    And it's STILL coming down heavy around Albany. Some places there (maybe more just SW in the Catskills) will definitely have 25" by the end.
  22. jm1220
    Back to pretty much just flurries.
  23. jm1220
    Coating on all surfaces now and snow close to moderate.
  24. jm1220
    Wonder how it’s been down towards Long Beach/Oceanside, good echos there for a while now. Temps there also down near freezing.
  25. jm1220
    Light snow again here in S Huntington.
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