jm1220

You can just feel that today will be another disgusting humid day.

88/75/98. Wonder if one of these random showers will fire overhead?

Looks like Island Park got drenched. 2.5” pixel there. Long Beach got a good soaking as well. Great-they need all the rain they can in the summer down there.

Well we didn’t have the 5-7+ inch totals over NJ and the Hudson Valley, and the radar clearly showed the storms collapsing as they went east of the city. They essentially rained themselves out over LI. August is typically when we have our higher end rain events likely because the waters are warmest then.

Brief break this weekend hopefully but it’s a Miami-like regime with it being normal now to have 75+ dews and now mixed with 90+ temps.

The 2025-26 ENSO thread covers this quite a bit. I agree and it’s been documented by Bluewave especially how this marine heatwave east of Japan ruins our winter storm setups. And looks like record heat there again. Hoping for an active typhoon season with lots of recurves into that area, maybe that’ll help a little but my hope for winter is very low with that warm water still there. It hypercharges the Pacific Jet which is the opposite of what gets it done here.

Looks like about 0.75" to end it.

About 0.6" so far. Held together a little better than I expected.

Moderate rain. Nice refresher for the lawns/gardens. Looks like a few lucky spots to my north like Cold Spring Harbor and Northport have up to 1.5".

August always seems like our time out here for the more extreme rain events. I guess due to the waters being warmest at that point.

Light to moderate rain, looks to stay that way for another hour or so. Anything heavier is collapsing as expected.

Looks half decent for Nassau, we’ll see what’s left when it gets here. I’ll take a decent moderate rain to replenish the lawns.

We probably get 0.25-0.5” as the marine layer dices and dries it up.

Yep, back to Miami. 87/74.

Yep. Looking forward to seeing NJ/Hudson Valley get nailed again and it hitting the Hudson River brick wall. Sprinklers are staying on.

The crowds are ridiculous these days in town during the summer-September is the best month by far. It wasn’t as crowded before Sandy and all the new construction.

Our options this summer are backdoor gunk or Miami.

Back to Miami on Tuesday. My point and click is 90-92 for the high Tue-Fri and I’m sure mid 70s dewpoints.

I hate to say but it’ll likely take a series of horrendous disasters or deadly heat waves in places where they shouldn’t like in Europe, the Northeast or Northwest before people will care enough to make it a top issue to demand change. People mostly believe it to be real but not serious enough to demand that politicians make policy/legislative changes or they will be bounced out of office. And with the advent of AI and various social media like TikTok that can easily spew propaganda garbage, I’m even more pessimistic. I was in college when Obama was elected and I remember so much optimism that millennials will be the generation that finally drives the change. I’ll believe any of it when I see it. I think it will finally be the markets one day driving it where renewables and nuclear will be an economically better option.

First evening all week I wasn’t a sweaty mess after a 45 minute walk outside.

My hopes are near zero for anything decent around my area until the Pacific meaningfully changes. Boiling warm water east of Japan and the general Perma-Nina/hyper Pacific jet pattern driven by the awful W PAC ruins 99% of the setups in this area. Even worse if it’s possible is that the Nina seems to be basing in the central not east Pacific.

South Jersey Alley for a reason.

Huge PWAT/remnants of Chantal etc pattern-big meh for 95% of us and split screwed. But watch a random warm frontal boundary next month dump 12” for a whole swath of the area.

Split screwed.

Not what I want to see. Should be an early slam the blinds shut for winter again for 25-26. Maybe some miracle like a bunch of recurving typhoons to cool the waters down (which I’d think would be more likely in this regime) can give it some kind of a chance.