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AfewUniversesBelowNormal

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Everything posted by AfewUniversesBelowNormal

  1. It's not raining.. there were 2 wind gusts where I thought there would be showers.
  2. The North Pacific looks very El Ninoish for the next 15 days. Subsurface is cooling. -OLR for the first time in a long time near 180W is going to keep us away from a +north Pacific Hadley cell though, despite neutral/negative ENSO.
  3. Subsurface is Weak La Nina, but the +PNA is stringent. Through the next 15 days, wonder why the disconnect.
  4. ^Its been record cold Stratosphere early in the season Nov-Dec 2017, 2018.
  5. -NAO.. definitely makes a difference *g
  6. We are definitely veering back to -PNA tint though! The GOA Low is a dominant feature days 4-10.
  7. The GOA low is really a force since April 1, El Nino pattern.
  8. The -AO coming up makes me think if we keep this pattern Jun-Aug
  9. I estimate about 3" total here. A popcorn shower over bel air dumped 2", haven't seen that for a while.
  10. Lol more exotic pattern shaping up the globe is moving!
  11. Nice day out today. It could be a rainy pattern I think.
  12. It looks like a -AO period really takes hold in the medium and long range.
  13. Yeah, it didn't seem like it was raining for as much as it was puddleing. This happened last Summer and Fall, and was the first time since the 1990s.
  14. Real nice warming around declining arctic sea ice. (12z wrf). That seems to be the global dominance right now.
  15. -AO pattern taking hold for a while, and developing +PNA which is El Nino strengthening sign
  16. As expected, we're getting this near-surface subsurface warming
  17. Pretty legit -NAO/-AO for the first 10 days of May. Sometimes the May NAO switches from April. Cold in Northern Europe for the first time in a long time in 7-8 days. +PNA has become a common pattern since April 1. I think this is reflective of +ENSO. It may or may not continue.
  18. High pressure, yes. It sometimes displaces the Polar Vortex to the midlatitudes. It works better in a more chaotic system lol
  19. Pretty monster -AO pattern.. we haven't seen anything like this for a while. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSHGTAVGNH_12z/ensloopmref.html
  20. Pretty strong El Nino pattern coming up I think we are still going into El Nino
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