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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    It's still snowing in Dubuque, so Madison appears to be in a pretty decent spot.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    -11 is tame for Dubuque. If you take away the 29th (leap year day), -11 was the mildest February record low in Dubuque. Yesterday's record low is -25. Remember, only two weeks ago, last year, Dubuque hit -31. Dubuque's record low on March 6th is still -11.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    Dubuque was able to set a new record this morning for the same reason. Strangely, while Dubuque's old record for today was only -11º, which seems pretty mild, Cedar Rapids' record today is -27º.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    This morning's UK is the only model that still has anything around here.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    My snow total is 1.7", right in line with what models suggested.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    I considered going out to clean off the wet stuff, because I know it's a real PITA to clean once it freezes. However, I don't feel like going out this late. Plus, I did not notice any real slushy layer, so it may be ok.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    I think I'm going to end up with around an inch, which is what I expected. The temp is quickly falling now... currently 23º. It is going to be rather brutal in the morning when I'm out shoveling (temp near 0º with -20º wind chill). The 2013-14 season had a lot of morning-after cleanups like that.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    Even though it didn't get as warm as expected, the snow here so far has been too light to overcome the marginal ground temp.
  9. hawkeye_wx
    00z Euro
  10. hawkeye_wx
    It's looking like maybe an inch here. Our snow season was well on track for avg to a bit above avg snowfall, but it has kinda petered out. Hopefully, some others can get something decent from the latest sheared-out system.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    You had better love winter if you're going to live in the Ottawa-Montreal-Quebec City corridor.
  12. hawkeye_wx
  13. hawkeye_wx
    Meanwhile, the UK is trending southeast and weaker. It is not really trying to dig the northern stream west at all. It's just a broad, sweeping dig that doesn't allow anything worth a darn to spin up.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    It appears Iowa will need a bit of relaxation of the suppressive flow to get the storm up here.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    A ridiculous band of snow pushed through SD/MN overnight, producing up to 3"/hr. There are totals of 12" in a narrow band through Minnesota, including Mankato, while across the border in South Dakota up to 16" fell. Why can stuff like this never happen here? We are getting rain/sleet this morning.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    12z Euro
  17. hawkeye_wx
    We could definitely use some fresh snow. We are down to a few inches of dirty glacier.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    The Euro has now sunk the heaviest snow band away from MSP and into far northern Iowa. Decorah looks like a sweet spot, with less but still solid snow across Wisconsin. I'm not confident the southern-edge snow will accumulate very well. The surface temp from Cedar Rapids eastward into Illinois will be in the 30s.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    There was some decent spread, but tonight's model runs are converging on the IA/MN border region for the best snow.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    There is some significant model spread. The Euro is north and is the best for MSP. The Canadian is south and is best for Iowa. I even get heavy snow from the Canadian. Other models are in between, but the trend is to drift it south a bit. The latest UK now has the best snow from northern Iowa into southern Wisconsin.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    Models show a potent system streaking into the nw part of the region on Sunday. Southern Minnesota looks like the bulls-eye. The system then weakens as it heads east into the lakes.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    00z Euro... This run has narrowed the main snow band, but added a bit to Chicagoland.
  23. hawkeye_wx
    The central plains wave has been the problem for the models. The GFS, for example, initially had this wave becoming very progressive and badly stretched out. Then, a day or so ago, it suddenly trended toward a much slower, closed-off wave that even allowed good snow to get pulled back into Iowa. That was clearly wrong as well. The other models have been less extreme, but they've all struggled with the details of that wave.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    Definitely game over for Iowa.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    12z UK a major walk-back for Chicagoland. This run has strengthened the final wave for Ohio.
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