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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    Now models are punting the chance of any real snow until mid February. A few more punts are we'll be moving on to spring.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    Our low-water 3" of snow is vanishing quickly today.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    Unsurprisingly, all the snow along the gulf coast is already gone.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    This weak disturbance barely showed up on some models, but it really over-performed across east-central Iowa. It started early this morning and it snowed here all day. My storm total is pretty solid 3.3". The first inch was 10:1 and the next two inches were 20:1.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    This morning's EPS is the first decent-looking run in a long time. In the 10-15 day range, it has a western trough, with snow-producing waves getting ejected into the midwest.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    Another nickel-and-dimer this morning. I've picked up 1.1" so far.. A bit more could fall through this afternoon.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    There are people in New Orleans showing measurements of 12". I have lived in Cedar Rapids for 50 years and I have never measured 12" from any storm.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    I was looking forward to watching heavy snow during the Eagles game, but so far it is rather disappointing. The precip is too scattered.
  9. hawkeye_wx
    It's amazing how stuck the pattern is this winter. It doesn't seem to matter which phase the MJO is in. We just cannot get a trough in the west.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    Man, this winter is really brutal for snow lovers. I can't remember anything like this. An entire winter with little to no hope of anything is astonishing. Day after day, the ensembles out to 15 days are bone dry.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    This is not a snowfall graphic we see very often.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    We way over-performed today, warmed to 53º.
  13. hawkeye_wx
    Houston and New Orleans may get accumulating snow early next week.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    0.9" of snow here this morning.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    Suppression, suppression, suppression... ad infinitum. The 12z deterministic Euro even has a strong deep south snow and ice storm. Ugh.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    Parts of Iowa have still had no measurable snow this winter, and there is little to nothing in sight. Meanwhile, Birmingham and Atlanta are getting 2-3" this morning.
  17. hawkeye_wx
    Models have also really backed off of the extreme cold they were advertising a week ago. Now it just looks like some typical January cold. The latest model runs don't even have any sub-zero lows here.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    The deterministic/op Euro has actually shown a clear south and drier trend from 12z to 18z to 00z today.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    00z GFS.... south on the western end, north on the eastern end. The totals are wildly overdone, but I'm just following the track of the snow path.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    Here's the final Iowa snow map.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    18z Euro is back south a bit.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    I got 1.9" of snow today. I'm pretty happy with that. It's our first 1" snow event of the season.
  23. hawkeye_wx
    We had some long dry stretches again this year, but I finished with 41" of precip, a whopping 16" more than 2023. Two periods that stand out are the very wet July (almost 9") and the 2-week period from late October to early November during which I received 7" of rain.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    This storm has been as locked-in as any big storm gets days ahead of the event. Unfortunately, it's locked in south of Iowa. Northern Missouri should get crushed.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    12z Euro... There is pretty good consensus with four days to go. The storm peaks in northern Missouri, then slowly fades as it heads east or even ese into the less favorable upper flow. That big dry pocket over MN/IA/WI/nIL makes me sad. As the storm organizes in Kansas, that would typically be very favorable for Iowa.
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