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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx
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Spring/Summer '24 Banter and Complaint Thread
hawkeye_wx replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I guess my winter was a B-. We were able to just barely exceed our average snowfall, which included the near record snow week in January. At this point, if it's not going to snow, give me warmth, so I enjoyed the warmth through much of the Dec-Feb period. -
My snow total is 5.9" (in 3 hrs). The liquid total is 0.74". Obviously, I'm delighted I ended up in the bullseye.
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7" is being reported a bit nw of Cedar Rapids. I'll get a measurement when it finishes in about 20 minutes. It's not 7" here, but it's at least 4-5".
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We've been upgrade to a warning (3-8"). I'm at about 2.3" so far, but it won't last long enough to get too much more.
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Three days ago the Euro was consistently showing 2-3" of rain across eastern Iowa from the upcoming big storm. This is what it has devolved into.
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I'm really liking the medium to long range. Ensembles are spitting out widespread 2-3" of precip across the region through 15 days as big troughs eject out of the west and the gulf is wide open.
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Another long-duration light rain event produced 0.45" here. March is up to 1.00".
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We got a much-needed 0.53".
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This was a big ol' dud here. I got 0.02". The late-week system had better pan out.
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Cedar Rapids officially hit 80º this afternoon.
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The temp is up to 78º here, with low 80s across southeast Iowa. While still low, the 47º dewpoint is 15º higher than it was last week when we reached the 70s, so it feels more springy. We REALLY need to start getting some rain. It is very dry here.
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We REALLY need March to be wet. There has been jack squat for precip since the big mid January snow and melt.
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We have a wind chill of -17º this morning.
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The HRRR has 74º here at 2pm, snow showers by midnight, and a -15º wind chill by sunrise Wednesday.
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We are smashing records in Iowa. Cedar Rapids is up to 75º. The February record is 76º, set back in 2017.
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The Euro has suddenly become much more progressive. It now has the pacnw trough completely bypassing the low off the SoCal coast, so, instead of digging and slowing, it races the trough eastward across the country.
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I can't imagine we've had many February afternoons in the low 60s with a northwest wind.
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Winter 2023/24 Medium/Long Range Discussion
hawkeye_wx replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I was looking forward to getting some good rain with storms next week, but the models have trended toward pushing everything to the east too quickly. The Ohio Valley and eastern Lakes get storms, but farther nw we get nothing. -
We are over-performing by several degrees today, now at 56º. It's going to be a very mild week.
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Winter 2023/24 Medium/Long Range Discussion
hawkeye_wx replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The op GFS is really blowtorching the end of the month. It has been showing this for several runs. Frankly, I hope the heat gets dialed back quite a bit as we get closer. It's way too early for that. -
I got 0.18" of rain, the first precip in three weeks. My area is still in extreme drought, so we'll take whatever we can get.
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2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations
hawkeye_wx replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
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It is 65º here and I just heard a rumble of thunder.
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Winter 2023/24 Medium/Long Range Discussion
hawkeye_wx replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The signal is there for a possible storm early next week, but models are all over the place from run to run. The op Euro just shifted from the deep south back to the upper midwest in one run.