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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    We have a hurricane, or close to it. Recon found 991 mb with a dropsonde and 73 kt flight level wind. Given the rotating hot towers in the tiny inner core, I figured it was way lower than the 1007 mb the NHC initiated it with.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    Recon measured about 1003 mb in Nadine's center as it nears landfall in Belize.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    Recon just took off from St. Croix and is headed into Oscar.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    It's not often we see a system trying to build an eyewall before it's even designated a tropical cyclone.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    The NHC slapping a 60% on this system only one hour ago is about as conservative as it gets. This appears to be a rapidly-organizing tropical storm.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    The GFS is popping a brief TD or low-end TS in the nw Caribbean Saturday morning before it moves into Belize. The NHC has raised it to 40%.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    I wonder if it will ever rain again.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    The next six hours is when the Euro continues to insist Milton will make a left hook, moving almost straight north for a few hours. It'll be interesting to see if that is actually correct.
  9. hawkeye_wx
    The latest center dropsonde shows the pressure is up to 914 mb.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    924 mb, per the latest dropsonde.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    The latest dropsonde is back down to 926 mb.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    Latest radar
  13. hawkeye_wx
    And now it's 911 mb. Such an extreme low pressure requires incredible inner core structure. Any disruption will send the pressure back up pretty quickly.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    New dropsonde pressure is 908 mb.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    The pressure is rising now (latest extrap pressure is 909 mb), and this is why. The inner eyewall is finally beginning to break up a bit.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    901 mb and 902 mb per the latest dropsondes from the two planes that just went through the eye.
  17. hawkeye_wx
    Recon is going to make one more pass before it has to fly home.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    The CDO was still a hair ragged in the nw quadrant first thing this morning, but just over the last couple hours it has become significantly more circular and uniform.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    The newest dropsonde says about 947 mb.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    A few spots in northeast Iowa and also western Iowa have bottomed out in the low 30s this morning.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    The recon plane went in one more time and found 976 mb. The track of the center has been south of east during this plane's flight.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    Recon has found no pressure drop over the last 1 hr, 16 min..... still 977 mb. This plane is now done.
  23. hawkeye_wx
    Two separate dropsondes show a pressure drop of 1 mb in the last ten minutes, now 978 mb w/ 12 kt wind.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    New dropsonde says 979 mb w/ 13 kt wind.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    The newest dropsonde says 980 mb.
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