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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    It is likely the very intense hurricane models are organizing the system too quickly in the nw Caribbean. They are predicting a rapidly-strengthening hurricane before it even reaches the gulf. The Euro, on the other hand, has further-delayed the organization over the last two runs. It now has the system only slowly pulling the energy together over the next two days and reaching tropical storm status, 30+ mb weaker than the overzealous hurricane models at the Yucatan Channel.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    The big weekend rain event was a massive bust for much of Iowa. I got 0.09". The airport got 0.00". It will likely be the driest September on record.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    It's too hot and dry. Cedar Rapids hit 91º today, with full sun and no wind. Like Cyclone, we got no rain last night. The Sunday wave is fading on the models, so late Saturday is going to have to deliver.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    Based on the new recon data from the east/southeast side, 90 mph may be generous.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    The final recon pass tonight found ~977 mb with a dropsonde.
  6. hawkeye_wx
  7. hawkeye_wx
    38º in Davenport this morning.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    This wave is fading on models, at least until it reaches the western Caribbean.
  9. hawkeye_wx
    We really needed rain. After nearly 9 inches in July, we had only received an inch in August. Fortunately, Cedar Rapids hit the jackpot overnight. Storms trained over the area for a few hours. I picked up 2.41". Radar suggests 3+" fell on the east side of the city.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    It is currently 94/81/115 here in Cedar Rapids. The NWS has had 98º for our high for a few days, but they are always too hot on the hottest days. It's extremely rare for CR to reach the upper 90s. Frankly, while I'm very glad to have air conditioning, I actually get cold inside so I go outside once in a while. This oppressive heat feels great for a few minutes at a time.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    This summer has not been hot at all. June had seven 90º days, July had two, and August has had zero, with none in sight. The summer high temp was 93º back in mid June.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    I was able to get almost an inch of rain overnight into this morning. It was well-timed because the first two weeks of August were very dry and the next week or two looks dry as well.
  13. hawkeye_wx
    The storm has broadened, so the core is lagging a bit. Recon is finding only tropical storm wind on the west side, and even within the core on the right side. Hurricane-force wind is displaced well east of the center.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    The surface center is still weak and displaced to the wsw of the nice mid-level center we see on radar.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    Last night's line of storms held together better than I expected. I got a nice storm out of it, with rain that totaled 0.58". My final July rain total is 8.66".
  16. hawkeye_wx
    Tonight's big event for my area has kinda been ruined by all the recent action to the southwest. All we have this evening is an outflow-dominated, bubbly line moving through central Iowa. There probably won't be much left when it gets here later.
  17. hawkeye_wx
    The MCS train has not budged from its track through Ottumwa the last few days. Ottumwa has received 6-7" of rain.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    As expected, I only got some light anvil rain like Cyclone... about 0.15". The MCS track has been locked in for the last few days. Ottumwa had been the driest spot in Iowa, getting missed repeatedly over the last couple months, but they've been hit by at least five MCSs this week that have dropped several inches of rain.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    The morning MCS activity across the sw half of Iowa likely ended any chance of storms here until Wednesday night.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    I finished last night with 1.01". It was heavier just south of me where the storms trained. My July total is up to 7.97", which makes this my wettest July since I began keeping records in 2007. This is just one of those months in which we are maxing out every event. We aren't done, either. There may be more MCS activity Tuesday and Wednesday nights.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    One more batch of bubbly showers and storms this morning boosted my rain total to 2.05". My July total is 6.96". This is our wettest July since 2008 and the first wet July since 2017. The last several have been well below average.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    We've had small cells pop up for the last few days. The last two days I only got a tenth or so from each, but we got lucky early this morning when a potent cell blew up over Cedar Rapids. We got vivid lightning, some wind, and very heavy rain that totaled 1.74". My July total is 6.65".
  23. hawkeye_wx
    I got 2.56" of rain (still raining lightly), the most from a single storm in about ten years I think. Unfortunately, the wind blew it against the house for an hour, so it ran down the foundation and into the basement.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    97 mph gust reported just west of Dubuque.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    It is real nasty here. Torrential rain, wind sustained at 40 mph, gusting to 60 mph for the last 10+ minutes.... easily our worst storm since the derecho.
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