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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    0.43" here overnight. My October rain total is 1.58", which is my driest October since 2011.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    So the NHC is going to call it 892 mb at landfall? I'm very skeptical. I understand the 892 mb from recon is their final real data before landfall, but the satellite presentation was clearly better a couple hours ago when recon got that measurement.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    Given some slight degradation on satellite, I don't think this will be still be sub-900 when the center of the eye crosses the coast.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    It had looked like he'd hit the center, but the left hook may leave him just getting into the eastern edge of the eye.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    The eye is actually still hooking left as it moves into the coast. The dead center could end up just a hair west of Josh.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    Josh doesn't do live streams. He should have good video afterward.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    Josh Morgerman is going to hit the center perfectly in Crawford. I hope he gets a sub-900 measurement. That would be quite a trophy.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    Here is a fantastic loop of the radar showing this morning's eyewall merger. You can see the two bands merge, followed by the new single eyewall blow up with red. This is also the point in which the satellite blew up with intense lightning. https://x.com/WxTca/status/1983146321751024008
  9. hawkeye_wx
    New recon pass found ~894 mb from their dropsonde.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    173 kts flight level wind from the new NOAA recon, a new high for the storm, and that isn't even in the right quad.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    It appears the worst will be from Crawford, where Josh supposedly is, to Black River, just to the east.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    Holy cow..... officially 892 mb.
  13. hawkeye_wx
    Recon continues to circle around inside the eye.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    Max wind in se quad is 165 kts at flight level.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    It is clear something favorable happened to the inner core structure in the last two hours. The CDO suddenly appears even stronger, the eye has grown in size, and there has been an explosion of intense lightning surrounding the eye.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    Final recon pass is 902 mb.... not going to get sub-900 for now.
  17. hawkeye_wx
    It does appear recon is going in for one more pass.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    Ugh.... I was hoping for 899 mb on this final recon pass. The FL wind is also 165 kts now.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    Latest Google track
  20. hawkeye_wx
    It hasn't moved in the last 90 minutes.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    It's not 907 mb. The latest recon passes found ~914 mb.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    Latest dropsonde says 913 mb. Max nw side FL wind is 158 kts.
  23. hawkeye_wx
    This afternoon is when models have it taking a fairly sharp right turn.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    Dropsonde says 924 mb
  25. hawkeye_wx
    The next recon plane just took off from Curacao and will be in the eye in a couple hours.
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