hawkeye_wx
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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx
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Got 0.30" of rain overnight. A couple stronger cells with vivid lightning passed just barely north, got a good view.
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A much-needed widespread soaker over the next week.
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The 5-minute obs show that Cedar Rapids did hit 90º today. CR's previous record first 90º day was April 10th, 1930. We smashed it by three weeks. Update: Despite the intra-hour measurements, the official high is showing as 89º as we didn't quite hit 90º. The intra-hour measurements are apparently rounded up.
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We've hit 89º in Cedar Rapids. A couple days ago I think DVN had 72º today. Since then they went to 75º, 80º last night, and 85º this morning.
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Cedar Rapids is 88º. Iowa City is 90º.
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Cedar Rapids is up to 83º at 2pm. Des Moines is 89º.
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Cedar Rapids has risen from 50º to 74º in four hours. We are now a few degrees ahead of the HRRR, which is forecasting 86º in a few hours. It is already 82º in Des Moines.
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The temp has soared way past the NWS forecast. Last night DVN said 55º, then this morning 60º, then at midday 63º. It is now 68º and still rising.
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I took ~90 measurements in a grid across my backyard and came up with 3.0", which seems about right considering the drifts and scoured areas. The gauge caught 0.40", which means the ratio is terrible, as it always is when the wind is strong. The kuchera map predicted a ratio well above 10. This stuff was a major pain to clean up. It's dense, with a layer of either wet snow or ice on the bottom.
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My NWS forecast says 3-7", but as the models have continued to inch eastward, I am only expecting 2-3 inches now.
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06z Euro is southeast with the heavy secondary defo band
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00z Euro - ratio will probably be lower due to wind
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March 23rd on the Euro
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DVN issued a blizzard warning for their entire area. The snow forecast is 4-8", which seems a bit high, plus wind up to 60 mph.
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The 12z Euro bumped up the defo zone and is the most robust of the models.
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
hawkeye_wx replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The Euro has low teens across Iowa Monday afternoon, then 70s by Thursday and 80s Friday. -
The 12z Euro is a big shift back west with the secondary defo band. The previous two runs had almost nothing in eastern Iowa.
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Oddly, I just read the DVN discussion and it talks about a winter storm watch for heavy deformation zone snow, with zero mention of the bone-dry Euro. Other non-GFS models are also trending toward the Euro, so I think DVN will have to start walking back the snow talk.
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The Euro continues to trend in the wrong direction for Iowa. At this point it's non-event except for wind. It barely has a flake of snow falling anywhere in the state. I'm expecting the GFS to cave soon.
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The Euro is the most progressive of the models. It doesn't have much of anything for Iowa, rain or snow.
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Multiple models are hinting at a secondary defo zone blowing up across eastern Iowa and northern Illinois as another piece of energy rounds the base of the trough and lifts ne.
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Yeah, potent cold shot, but the Euro has us back in the 70s by Thursday.
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It's good we got our soaker yesterday morning, because we did not get a drop from the cold front passage.
