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Everything posted by Gravity Wave
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Yup, 4.2" total for the event so far. The models were right (except the super wacky 12/18z HRRR runs from yesterday).
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- heavy rain
- flooding potential
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(and 2 more)
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Starting to wonder if New Jersey might just liquefy and melt away into the Atlantic.
- 886 replies
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- heavy rain
- flooding potential
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Insane monsoon conditions half an hour ago in Midtown. Heaviest rain I've seen since Ida and very loud thunder.
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Hurricane still there on the 12z GFS.
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Right now this summer has a shot to be our most pleasant since 2009. The CFS weeklies say the heat will return for the last third of the month so we'll see.
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HRRR says yes, although in a significantly weakened state.
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My only comment on energy policy is that the continued aversion to nuclear power among large swathes of both environmentalists and the population at large is extremely frustrating.
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If this was winter the meltdown here would be absolutely epic.
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Could the high dews forecast for early July prop up overnight lows enough to compensate for BN highs?
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I didn't notice any smell walking home today around 6:00, but I just stepped out onto the balcony and the smoke smell was very apparent. Wild stuff.
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Our peak severe season is half gone and there are no threats on the horizon. I'm not gonna complain about the lack of heat/humidity but it would have been nice to sneak an event in somewhere.
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Late May-mid June has historically been the best severe window for the northern mid-Atlantic, at least for areas away from the immediate coast.
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Along with things being wetter in general in recent years, it seems we're developing a habit of ending what dry spells we still get with huge rain events.
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Yeah, it's pouring here and the radar looks very unimpressive.
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It's a million times better than the subtropical garbage we're going to get in July and August.
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It definitely feels that way. What's interesting is that most of these stronger recent tornadoes didn't come as part of major severe outbreaks; they were on days where there weren't widespread severe storms. It would be interesting to see what happens if we could get a more large-scale event in the area.
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There was plenty of cold in the West.
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Everyone was saying how tired they were of cool springs, well here you go!
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I'd settle for anything below 65, that used to be possible during the summer.
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That 1985 outbreak is one of the most anomalous weather events in US history based on the number and proportion of violent tornadoes versus where it occurred. I've always wondered if something like that could happen 150 miles east of where it did; the recent uptick in severe weather makes me suspect that it might be possible, if only as a once in 500-year event (I'm referring to a major outbreak of violent tornadoes here, not a singular freak tornado like the Worcester and Windsor Locks events).
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Given how historically awful the PNA was this year I think it's too early to draw conclusions that we need a favorable Pacific to get any snow. Every trough dug down to Baja and then got stuck indefinitely, it was completely absurd.
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2009 is my favorite summer of all time lol.
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Bright and sunny in Manhattan, clouds finally broke here about half an hour ago.