Gravity Wave

This website has a ton of info about every winter storm of any significance to strike this region from 1993-2013. The writeups and snow maps are NJ-focused but there are a ton of other resources (radar imagery, surface maps, pressure/temp maps from various levels, regional station observations) for the storms. Ray's Winter Storm Archive (raymondcmartinjr.com) As for the millennium storm, I've linked that page below and it seems there was a weak, dying low over Lake Erie that transferred to the NC coast. Snow storm, December 30, 2000 - Storm Summary (raymondcmartinjr.com)

The last clipper I remember was in January 2010 right after the New Year when I was still in Allentown. Was supposed to be a 2-4" event, ended up with a dusting.

I had my AC on last night as well.

I'd guess that or February 10-11, 2010.

Let's get this exact same radar image in 10 weeks, please.

I have to say the big short terms busts on rain events aren't filling me with confidence in the models for the winter.

Summer is the worst season by far in NYC, always glad for it to end.

Have had some heavy downpours here but not much left per the radar.

Our best severe outbreaks usually happen under slight risks. I admit this isn't the most favorable setup given the PFT timing.

Interesting, we didn't get any hail up here that I heard.

The entire coast from Cape Hatteras to Cape Cod is overdue for an impactful Hurricane strike (I don't really count Sandy, and definitely don't count Irene). Another stretch like 1938-1955 would be ugly.

A couple nasty looking cells there.

Here we go.

Looks like some action ahead of the main line in SEPA. What could become our MCS is still west of Harrisburg.

The severe indices being forecasted for later in PA are actually quite impressive by this region's standards. 3000 CAPE, -9 LI and EHI 6+ in some places. Lapse rates less noteworthy but still decent.

Still time for those trailing storm currently over SEPA to turn into something but it looks like the rule that our best severe events happen during Slight risks is going to hold.

That's the site I use, here's the link for the Fort Dix radar: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=DIX-N0Q-0-6-100-usa-rad

Pop-up thundershower in Manhattan just now.

Day 2 Enhanced!

I remember tracking storms growing up in eastern PA and dealing with a lack of good radar data once they crossed the Susquehanna until they were almost on top of us in the Lehigh Valley, especially if they were approaching from the NW. It's an underrated radar hole, especially when you consider that the areas impacted are quite populated and growing rapidly.

Yeah you got a little more banding than we did overnight. The final gradient between NENJ/the LHV and eastern Queens/Nassau is going to be dramatic.

Yes, the park has 0.86 LE as of 1:00 so probably 10" there, I'd say we have 8-9" on the East side (due to losing more from melt at the start of the storm). I can't imagine other parts of the city having much less than that.

Approaching an inch here, side streets starting to get covered. Snow has gotten appreciably heavier recently, looks like the frontogenesis and banding is getting a little further west than expected.

A month of great blocking and we couldn't buy a drop of precip. Now the storm train is rolling and there's an express track from NC out into the Atlantic.

Low gets closed off east of the Delmarva Saturday morning. WOW.