This one will be a tough pill to swallow if it doesn't come back. Nothing really look promising on the horizon. 6 inches sounds real good right now. These fantasies chasing 18 inch plus storms get exhausting. There's a reason why they rarely occur yet we try to convince ourselves we live where there suppose to frequently occur. I keep thinking back to right before winter when someone maybe PSU posted that snowfall history in this type of la Nina and there was a massive hole right over our part of the Mid-Atlantic. With that being said still plenty time for a reversal to some extent.
I agree. I don't think this ever had 20 inches plus like a few runs but I think an outcome like today's 12z EURO is plausible. Definitely a little baffled since like you said this isn't a suppressive look.
As of right now I see a lot of similarities to the 1/25-26/1987 NESIS storm. Very cold storm. I lived in Owings Mills then and we got 6. Probably was only around 4 up here where I am now. This upcoming storm looks to have a much broader precipitation field with much less chance for a sharp cutoff like in the 87 storm. Better upside for all involved with next week's storm
Heading out to dinner with the wife for late Valentine's Day right after 18z EURO. Much need 2 hour break from this madness. @North Balti Zen, @Maestrobjwa I'm guaranteeing both of you at least 6 inches a WSW that verifies.
There's does seem to be some added pressure on this storm delivering. The teleconnections on the EURO ensembles don't look so hot. Such a quick reversal on all the important indices starting around the 19th/20th. Didn't see that coming a week ago. Looked like we were going to be locked in through Mid-March. Not so much anymore.
Still plenty time to trend either way. Always a nail biter though. Still 96 hours from first flakes. There can be drastic changes even in the last 24 hours. Until Monday there will still be ebbs and flows.
Not sure what we got exactly. I was at indoor baseball practice and it turned to sleet and rain by the time practice ended but it looked like at least an inch.
Snowing. Dusting. Another system so close to a nice 3-4 inch thump that isn't quite going to get there. It seems were losing these type of event as well.
Thickening clouds Wednesday after a morning low around 10. Then a high in the low 20's with snow breaking out in the afternoon. Knowing it's going to snow for the next 24 hours with 2ft. on the way. This is why we do this. We need to bring this one home.
Can we get a stall to go a long with the yank? A long event would be welcomed. I would've thought with the sequence of storms we had every few days there would be more of a slowing.