WeatherMonger

This latest snowfall was 50:1 ratios here per the official recording. Might be the best ratioed snowfall I have knowingly experienced. Guess it helps explain the over performance as well.

Allegedly , yet to be determined

Maybe they coordinated this one with LSX and will issue another coordinated with DVN/LOT?

Under a WWA tomorrow night through Monday for 2-5"

Was surprised to wake up to a decent,for this winter, snowfall. Ended up close to 2" and still some fluffy light snow/flurries falling. Airport reported an official total of 1.5" at noon. Wasn't supposed to get much, so a bit of a bonus.

I concede to yet another 6-7 day forecast that got my hopes up. At this point I'd rather see enough of a lapse in Winter to wash my truck. Car washes are all shut down with the deep cold, could use a run through two or three timea

From the ILX FB page, a bit early on the call maybe? I know they lean rather heavily on WPC but, 5 days out....

WPC Day 5 snow probs and their model choice via extended forecast discussion The WPC medium-range forecast package was derived from a composite blend of the 12Z ECMWF/EC ensemble mean, the 18Z GFS/GEFS, together with a smaller contribution from the 12Z CMC/CMC mean and the 01Z NBM. Mostly ensemble means were used on Days 6 and 7 given the increasing model uncertainties.

Snowing again, but doubt much is gained from it.

Guessing an inch hear. It picked up just as I was getting busy at work. Was surprised at how mich had accumulated on the busier roads on the drive home Longest duration of a snowpack in quite some time, only about 2" or so deep so nothing to write home about.

Not changing anything either. Has me for 1-2", been light snow/flurries all day but nothing more than a dusting.

Looked at that one and was in the 30-50:1, don't think it is the one I am thinking of. I joined Accuwx in January of 2010 so would have been after that. I know Skilling had a mention of it but can't find it via google. Did find one of his Q&A's where he confirms a different 90+:1 ratio event, but on a smaller level snow wise. It would have had to have been between early 2010 and probably 2015. I remember you specifically mentioning the ratios afterwards and Skilling had a brief blog about it as well, hence my searching for him mentioning it. Wish Jesse would have archived accuwx forums rather than taking them down completely. https://books.google.com/books?id=7pPoBAAAQBAJ&pg=PT12&lpg=PT12&dq=Tom+skilling+high+snow+ratio&source=bl&ots=_Z7jZUOJhN&sig=ACfU3U36yifZgJrkopcYsKbFge1sOicHqg&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwj7_4zW1dvuAhWDVs0KHUtJBXY4ChDoATAHegQICBAC#v=onepage&q=Tom skilling high snow ratio&f=false

There was an event several years ago, I'm sure @Chicago Storm remembers it and may even know the exact date, but Chicago got 8-10 inches on something in the I want to say 90's:1 SLR. It was back when he still frequented the Accuwx forums. Was a crazy ratio and one of the times I was truly weather jealous of the northerners

ILX late morning update .UPDATE... Issued at 1036 AM CST Mon Feb 8 2021 Increased PoPs in the western third of CWA over the next few hours as snow moves in. The current forecast snow/liquid ratios of 19:1 in the northern part of our CWA may be too low, as precip reports from last night`s snow indicate snow/liquid ratios of 25:1 or greater. May increase the ratios, especially over the northern half of the CWA, resulting in incrementally higher snow totals, but that won`t change the thinking that a broad 1" of fluffy snow occurs with this system, with 1-2" south of the I-70 corridor where higher QPF is expected. Monitoring our far southeastern counties for the potential of light freezing drizzle around midnight this evening. No changes to the forecast yet, but model sounding suggest profiles may lose ice crystals around that time. However, ascent will be very weak, reducing confidence in the likelihood of any freezing drizzle occuring

Have picked up a solid 1/2" maybe closer to 3/4" and still snowing.

Official tally goes down as .9" on .06" QPF for a 15:1 ratio. Think I have a tad more than that IMBY but unless it's a sharp cut off usually go with the airport recording as only a few miles away.

36 hours out please

Probably right at an inch, maybe a hair over. Considering how things panned out elsewhere I'll take it. It will at least look as cold as it feels when looking out the windows. might be able to make it to 1.5" be tough though.

Lightly traveled streets amd sidewalks with a coating, doesn't contrasts with the grass enough to see it on yards. Stesdy light snow currently

Flurries just started here, wish it were a bigger event

13 and 14Z HRRR bumped me to 2". Just can't fall for any of the other threads yet, I'll wait until they each come into HRRR range and save myself the disappointment

9Z SREF plume back to reality. 1.5" at KSPI.

St. Louis to Paducah if we don't cash in by Tuesday. Mother Nature does not play reverse psychology games, she simply punishes a few over and over each year, every year.

12Z top 0Z bottom. Not wetter, maybe better ratios