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andyhb

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Everything posted by andyhb

  1. andyhb
    7 deaths in Bowling Green KY per scanner.
  2. andyhb
    Large tornado just west of Nashville coming into the northern part of the metro, my god.
  3. andyhb
    I really, really hope this is a case of lost in translation.
  4. andyhb
    Another likely strong tornado from the Bowling Green storm.
  5. andyhb
    Debris to 35k feet on that Mayfield storm. Easily an EF4 or EF5.
  6. andyhb
    TBSS from the debris in that Mayfield tornado. Oh my f*cking god.
  7. andyhb
    Going to go again here and it's going to be big.
  8. andyhb
    Just a massive tornado, has finally occluded from the looks of it, but I doubt that supercell is done.
  9. andyhb
    Holy sh*t.
  10. andyhb
    Ugly reports starting to come in from NE AR.
  11. andyhb
    TORE for the Bootheel tornado.
  12. andyhb
    Now just spiked well over 200 kts GTG. Violent, violent tornado.
  13. andyhb
    That long-tracker that just crossed into the Bootheel is just an absolute monster. 170 kts GTG currently and has been stronger with an enormous TDS.
  14. andyhb
    So that 16z HRRR is probably nudging towards territory that would warrant pink in the convective outlook. Multiple pre-frontal supercells in highly volatile shear/sufficient low-level buoyancy environment.
  15. andyhb
    Td of 69˚F at Memphis before 10 AM in December is pretty much absurd.
  16. andyhb
    Have some 2/28/2017 vibes from that 12z HRRR run. We are dealing with some pretty incredible moisture for December (or any cold season month, really) and it should get pretty far north given the lack of morning convection.
  17. andyhb
    They considered a moderate risk, wouldn't be surprised to see one later given the size of that 10 hatched in the newest D1.
  18. andyhb
    The 12z Euro is probably an outbreak from MO and S IL southward given verbatim.
  19. andyhb
    Period around next weekend has potential (that will probably be squandered). Certainly cold air available and a substantial baroclinic zone if we do indeed get a wave ejecting around that time.
  20. andyhb
    So the October measurement for the PDO via NCDC was -3.06, which is extremely strong. Last time it was that strong per that calculation was 1955 (precursor to a major drought year on the Plains). Not sure what Mantua's calculation has, but we've clearly transitioned out of the predominantly positive phase that was present since 2013 or so.
  21. andyhb
    Nothing about what raindance posted suggested the La Nina is dead.
  22. andyhb
    Major tornado damage being reported north of Fredericktown and in St. Mary MO.
  23. andyhb
    MO maybe into W IL also looks interesting on Sunday, especially closer to the triple point/warm front.
  24. andyhb
    That's a nasty looking setup for MO/IA/IL next Tuesday on the 12z GFS, big change from earlier runs.
  25. andyhb
    Meanwhile the 12z Euro says nada. Not much of a trough ejection.
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