buckeye

punt'n Jan?

Amen

from cosgrove: see what I mean about all of that "Phase 8" nonsense that was the talk of the internet?). Remind yourself that for an MJO cold influence in North America, the lead impulse should be between Phases 6 and 1, be very strong, and have at least some connection to the polar westerlies. I always thought phases 3-6 correlated for warmth in our area

solidly negative pna for the foreseeable. If the mjo heads back into the COD and exits into 4,5 then the only hope will be a herculean block to develop and that may only partially save the easterners. Other than that we might end up going full blown torch. I'm going to Hawaii in Feb. Hmmmm, last time I went to Hawaii was January 2012 #Forch #Morch

I got rid of my snowblower this past summer. I was sick and tired of having to reset the tires on the rims every fall and struggle with getting it to start. For the last several winters I think I used it once or twice, other than that it took up garage space and collected dust. Of course now we've had two snowfalls in the last few weeks that I could have used it already.

I suspect the winterstorm watch will be dropped to an advisory vs. upgraded to a warning. I was kind of surprised to see them hoist that headline yesterday when there really isn't much model support for a warning criteria snow out of this. We never even had a single nam run that nam'd us either. Looks like a general 2-4" event with maybe a few getting under some heavier banding that could go to 5"+. Looking forward to the thaw! Early December cold/snow almost always ensures a brown Christmas, that's why I wasn't too excited about it happening so early. Of course 1989 was wall to wall frigid the whole month of December and then when the calendar turned to January winter never returned.

well this thread was unlucky last year. Maybe this is it's year, typos and all!

Looks like the airport picked up 5 even. Seems about right, I measured 5.5 on the ground this morning. The only explanation I can come up with for this early season....rare as of late...December snowfall, is the fact that I finally got rid of my snowblower last spring. The crap this morning was way more heavy/wet than I expected too... so of course I was missing that snowblower. In all honesty, this snow was more of a stressor than an enjoyment. We have so much unfinished work to do, we do outdoor lighting. Congrats on your 2-hitter in Dayton. That first one for us was a total dud. Literally 5 minutes of flurries. It's like the snow hit a wall between Dayton and Columbus. Pretty damn impressive for folks in Ohio outside of the lake belt or far nw to get snow on snow in late NOV/ early DEC. I guess the only question is if this early season bout is going to be winter's biggest blow or a taste of things to come.

I'm telling you, when we get enhanced or higher it's the kiss of disappointment. CMH is always on the eastern edge of every threat with the timing almost always during the overnight hours. I'm not holding my breath for anything too crazy locally tomorrow / tomorrow night. We shall see.

For a March snowstorm its lasting effect was solid. It got brutal cold for a couple weeks on its heels and the deep cover stuck around unusually long for the time of year. As far as blizzard criteria, probably about an hour at the end the wind really kicked up and we had white out conditions…. But it didn’t last long.

17 years ago and I lived under that 20” bullseye. still paying the price for that one

We’re north of 2” here imby already. I think between the rest of the synoptic and maybe some squalls later 3-5” on the ground by night is easily reachable

Made no sense to me when ILN left their northern tier counties off the wwa. Pretty rough out there right now just like every model was showing yesterday.

36 hours ago several models were big dog’n Chicago thru Detroit. Now it looks like Chicago won’t see crap and Detroit will get a run of the mill advisory snow. If you can’t trust models 2 days out, wtf is the point? Crazy

I literally just saw this on a news feed and it was like 10 days ago. Ganahl was the goat of cmh weather. He moved to Columbus from Iowa during the infamous late 70s winters. I followed and watched him for nearly 45years from when I was in junior high school to becoming a grandpa. He was a huge snow weenie too, loved cold and snow. That’s why it was fun to watch him. RIP Jym, May the blizzards be plentiful in heaven!