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Radtechwxman

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  1. Radtechwxman
    Well this has been underwhelming thus far. Most models had an intense wing of WAA precip here this morning with heavy mixed precip. Temps were marginal to start this morning and are already above freezing. Also the precip was more scattered and showery in nature. Needed that convective nature to help with dynamic cooling. Models show a bigger blow up of precip later but with temps warming quickly probably will be rain. Would love to be in that frontogenic band up north
  2. Radtechwxman
    It definitely was intense. Just didn't last long at all. It was racing. But a nice few hours of snow globe effect
  3. Radtechwxman
    Models have handled this horribly. This moved through incredibly fast and there really isn't anything filling in behind it
  4. Radtechwxman
    Have had absolute rippage a few hours here. Nice fat flakes. Band has been pivoting near IL River. Sadly it looks to be pulling away already. Most models didn't have a huge lull like what radar looks like now from MO into OK. Curious if it will fill back in like what hi res is showing
  5. Radtechwxman
    Nice to see you back man! It's been a min
  6. Radtechwxman
    I think gfs might be on a bit of the dry side as well
  7. Radtechwxman
    I was using COD. I always use COD for HRRR. Loads pretty fast on there. I'm setting my expectations low as well. Lol Yea HRRR seems to be playing catch up this winter. I definitely think it's too low on totals esp given the intensity it had. A lot comes down to this first wave earlier on Wed which looks to be pretty intense. 2nd wave looks more like a long duration light to moderate event
  8. Radtechwxman
    0z hrrr is abysmal on snow totals. A lot of areas would bust bad through MO and IL if it were completely right
  9. Radtechwxman
    GFS has stayed pretty on course today with nw shift and wider swath of snows. Nam has slowly been bumping nw but narrower swath. I see 0z cmc shifted se quite a bit. Curious to see models after we get sampling of this last piece of energy
  10. Radtechwxman
    Well this forum died as quick as it started. Lol
  11. Radtechwxman
    Nam definitely a more thread the needle snow. Could be due to a tight area of strong frontogenesis. Those tend to have brutal cutoffs. Globals seem to have a wider band of heavier snow likely due to how the trough is being handled. Curious to see other 0z guidance
  12. Radtechwxman
    Looks like nam continues to cave to other models. Another step NW. It is a lot narrower with the snow and and has a very small corridor of significant snow with a medium sized area of 2-3in
  13. Radtechwxman
    This shall be an interesting few days of model battles. Lol. GFS certainly took a drastic shift. Nam attempted to but not as drastic and a much narrower band of snow. GFS was more spread the wealth. Lets see what King Euro shows
  14. Radtechwxman
    I mean yeah it can change but trends definitely not going in the right direction as of now
  15. Radtechwxman
    Another winter storm DOA. Is it tornado season yet? This has been the lamest winter for a good wrapped up winter storm
  16. Radtechwxman
    Pretty much the story of winter 2019-2020. Seems like the trend this winter is to look good in the long range then slowly fall apart as we get closer. Hoping we can get at least one decent wave out of this
  17. Radtechwxman
    Man Rockford is in the sweet spot tonight in a training heavy band
  18. Radtechwxman
    Well the last hurrah of this system sure went to crap. For such a pretty system on water vapor, it definitely isn't living up to how it looks. Lol. Lack of cold air ftw
  19. Radtechwxman
    None of the models this morning are initializing well this morning with current low strength and placement. Most of them have a very broad 1012mb low over central IL and as of 1331z there's a 1009mb low just west of STL
  20. Radtechwxman
    Ready to punt this sloppy mess of a storm. What happened to real winter storms? Seems like this last part is pushing more and more ne on model runs
  21. Radtechwxman
    Finally ripping snow here. Nice fat flakes. But doesn't look like this will last super long tonight
  22. Radtechwxman
    Same thing here. Pretty uneventful so far. Feel like Fri night into Sat will be best here
  23. Radtechwxman
    I'm just surprised snowflakes are so tiny. I think my marginal temp now isn't helping. Snow barely accumulating
  24. Radtechwxman
    Snow returns seem to be drying out in Peoria area. Seems like that band is struggling to lift north as well. Flakes are like pixie dust so far
  25. Radtechwxman
    On temperatures? I'm thinking it's advancing the rain snow line west too quickly
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