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Radtechwxman

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Everything posted by Radtechwxman

  1. Radtechwxman
    Compared to globals yes but they have support from both RAP and HRRR
  2. Radtechwxman
    Yeah I have no clue what ILX is looking at. Not only should there be an advisory area wide but they could honestly about bring warnings up to the IL River. ILX loves to do everything last second but this is pretty ridiculous based on current model trends. Looks like this system could give me a bigger snow than the 2nd system now.
  3. Radtechwxman
    Now looking like this 1st system might be my better shot at significant snowfall with models shifting east once again with this system. But wouldn't be shocked to see it trend nw again after this current system passes and models can resolve its snowfall foot print.
  4. Radtechwxman
    0z Canadian looked nice. 0z gfs was a bump east but I'm sure we will see plenty of wobbles especially till after this first system gets resolved and until we get better sampling of the jet responsible. Holding hope this can finally be my best winter storm of the season.
  5. Radtechwxman
    Literally makes 0 sense. Like the snow continues up into our area with similar amounts. HRRR was the driest with 2-3in but other models had 3-5in+. Glad you're getting in on the action finally.
  6. Radtechwxman
    Really confused why ILX didn't extend advisories north. Pretty much all models extend the snow south of advisory criteria well north.
  7. Radtechwxman
    WPC 3-7 day sfc maps definitely seem more in support of Euro and Ukie like solutions with a sfc low very south and east. Curious to see how this evolves. Not sure if it will stay really south following the snowpack from first storm or if it will come more nw with the block to the north backing off somewhat by mid week.
  8. Radtechwxman
    Really won't know till we see what this system does. And where the PV anomaly is by mid week.
  9. Radtechwxman
    Nam's/rap being generous with this wave sun night into Mon. Right now ILX isn't showing accumulating snow in my grids with only 50% pops. Definitely think that needs to be bumped up. Hrrr looks much drier but it also did abysmal with this current wave.
  10. Radtechwxman
    Ended up lucking out with a nice 1.5-2in of arctic fluff. Looks like another band may push through racing east from the MS River.
  11. Radtechwxman
    With these storms ejecting out pretty south how likely is it that this follows the southern fringe of the snow pack that will be left from storm #1? Gfs and gem definitely more on board for a more northerly ejection but euro and ukmet seem to support my idea of a much more suppressed storm albeit weaker.
  12. Radtechwxman
    You and me both man. Is it tornado season yet?
  13. Radtechwxman
    Sounds about right. Dead on arrival. I give up on this winter. Lol
  14. Radtechwxman
    Forever living on the edge
  15. Radtechwxman
    Nice band stalled a few miles north of me. This is not my winter. Lol. Hoping it can build south later.
  16. Radtechwxman
    Hrrr seems very lost today. Rap seems to have better handle on current trends
  17. Radtechwxman
    Sounds fitting for this winter. Curious if we will see other models trend that direction. Nam and gem still showing a decent precip shield into a good chunk of IL.
  18. Radtechwxman
    Whelp euro took a step towards GFS for next week. Barely brings the precip shield into IL except the far east. Curious if globals are underestimating precip on nw side. Higher res like nam suggests more snow pretty far nw. Not holding my breath though. Trend this winter seems to be downward as we get closer.
  19. Radtechwxman
    Hrrr seems to be latched onto the idea of a band forming to our ne and backbuilding sw into us tonight.
  20. Radtechwxman
    I could see this all ending up north of us. Tricky setup for models. Seem splotchy with the snow. Frontogenic band will likely be north.
  21. Radtechwxman
    Long range of nam looks decent. Euro still shows potential. Gfs had a bit more here than it did before. Rgem looked good. Is ukmet reliable? I'm not familiar with it's accuracy
  22. Radtechwxman
    Crazy how sharp the cut offs have been in our county. Esp near I74
  23. Radtechwxman
    Well this has trended to a real dry prune. How depressing. I have barely squeaked out anything from this cold active pattern. Cue Taps with the trumpet.
  24. Radtechwxman
    GFS seems a bit lost per usual. Definitely sad when Oklahoma is going to have a better winter than most of IL. Forecasting 8-12in in their watch there. Shoot at this point I would kill for high end advisory or low end warning amounts. Definitely will hurt if it's a near miss like that. Like either slam me or go far away. Lol
  25. Radtechwxman
    I'm sure it will end up trending completely to GFS because why not. But holding hope we can get some decent snows in the deformation band of the upper level system since the sfc system is way south
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