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Radtechwxman

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Everything posted by Radtechwxman

  1. Radtechwxman
    Definitely lower than I expected. Less qpf and lower ratios. Better ratios were in that weenie band just to my nw. Got the tail end of it. We actually saturated pretty rapidly. System must of came in drier than originally thought.
  2. Radtechwxman
    Got like 1.5-2in here. Definitely think the ratios weren't as good here. Snow was like pixie dust a while. Once we got into a good band towards the last few hours of snow, flake size improved but was a little too late.
  3. Radtechwxman
    The magnitude and longevity of this arctic outbreak is a feat in itself. Can't recall the last time I saw a pattern like this. Like Baum said, predicting low amplitude impulses in this flow is fickle. Hoping we can either get several small events or one decent one next week. It's a battle between cold surging south and moisture surging north. Unfortunately the cold will eventually win out and suppress the storm track. Hopefully we can squeak out a few nice storms before then.
  4. Radtechwxman
    Crazy. Just goes to show you even with very cold temps, crappy ratios are possible if your best omega doesn't line up well with DGZ.
  5. Radtechwxman
    It surprisingly saturated pretty quick. Flake size not great but coming down at a decent clip. A heavier band to my nw is trying to sink se very slowly. Hoping for 1-2in at this point but maybe can luck out with 2-3in if I get into some banding.
  6. Radtechwxman
    Well this is sounding disappointing. Having a feeling the very dry antecedent air mass is a big culprit. Saw where RH wasn't quite ideal in the snow growth zone.
  7. Radtechwxman
    GFS is all over the place with this storm. Wouldn't trust it for now. Every run is drastically different.
  8. Radtechwxman
    A very dry air mass to overcome first. 15/3 here now. Oof. Hoping saturation won't eat up too much of the snow band. Ratios should be nice though once it commences.
  9. Radtechwxman
    As that cold dome really builds south one would think but then it will probably miss me south. Lol. Just not my winter. Oh well. At least there's plenty of snow chances and some extreme cold to follow. I will take what little I can get
  10. Radtechwxman
    Imagine that. Something that favors northern IL. Lol. Now looks like that frontogenic band will bypass here and we only get a narrow west to east band a few hours. Sunday clipper may actually have better potential here
  11. Radtechwxman
    Globals really struggle with these clippers and underestimate what high ratios with minimal moisture can do. Hrrr/rap have been pretty consistent.
  12. Radtechwxman
    The Never Accurate Model strikes again. Issue with nam with amounts seems to be a much narrower snow band so much less duration.
  13. Radtechwxman
    Yea GFS seems lost. Barely shows anything till Mon. And seems to have toned down that as well. 12z RDPS looking pitiful like GFS. Hi res seems to overall be in good consensus for 2-4in
  14. Radtechwxman
    I would definitely start trusting those more over globals at this range. RAP was definitely stronger system. Deeper sfc low and further north.
  15. Radtechwxman
    03z rap a nice spread the wealth storm. Meanwhile GFS is like a dud. Also piddled out the Mon storm. Good thing it's goofus and probably just a whack run.
  16. Radtechwxman
    So are we going to merge threads like RC suggested with so many storms close together? It's hard posting in like 2 or 3 threads now. Ha.
  17. Radtechwxman
    Definitely been a very rough winter down this way. You may luck out later next week when storm track shifts more south with the cold air really sinking south.
  18. Radtechwxman
    One would think so but 2020-2021 winter be like rain you shall get. But this upcoming pattern has the most promise I seen all winter. Hopefully us central IL peeps can luck out
  19. Radtechwxman
    No more north trends please. Lol. Time for I80 south to cash in. Would be awesome to build a snowpack to really enhance this arctic outbreak. Bring on the ice age
  20. Radtechwxman
    Cue that happening because so far this winter everything has missed me north so only logical that next it would miss me south. Lol. Hoping I can squeeze a few nice fluffy snows out of this sustained cold pattern. Would be a waste to not put this quality cold air to work
  21. Radtechwxman
    Is ILX having issues today? Said AFD was out at 223pm but still showing last nights. I personally think IL River and points west should have WWA. Most models showing 1-2in and equally strong winds. Some models have a quicker changeover here. More excited for the next few waves after this one because they actually have potential south of I80!
  22. Radtechwxman
    Trends today seem to be suppressed way south. Big change from previous days which were showing a massive storm and likely blizzard for the upper Midwest. Curious if it trends back towards that or if this system will end up way south like today's model runs show. Euro, gfs, and cmc had been remarkably consistent days prior with something tracking from the southern Plains into the Great Lakes
  23. Radtechwxman
    Gradient setting up very sharply near I74 like forecasted. Currently have a nice band stalled here for now.
  24. Radtechwxman
    Mixing line finally pushed south with some decent bands pivoting over me as the 850mb low that janetjanet998 pointed out nears my area.
  25. Radtechwxman
    Definitely think we will be on very low end of local forecasts. Local Mets saying 1-3in but will be shocked if we even get an inch. Congrats to Chicago folks. Winter of disappointment continues here.
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