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LVblizzard

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Everything posted by LVblizzard

  1. LVblizzard
    Later start time is no bueno…I was hoping for an Eagles game where the field is white for the entire game. Might have to settle for just the second half.
  2. LVblizzard
    The NAM continues to poke random holes in the precip shield like Swiss cheese so it’s hard to take its precip output seriously. The 3km is much more reasonable.
  3. LVblizzard
    0z HRRR has about 3” of snow falling in Philly during tomorrow’s game. Total accumulation is 5-7” for most of the area.
  4. LVblizzard
    I said 4-8” as a first call for the Lehigh Valley yesterday and that’s still looking perfect. I’d be very surprised if ABE ended up outside of that range.
  5. LVblizzard
    Eagles game is gonna be nuts. Just like the 2013 snow bowl where Shady McCoy ran all over the Lions.
  6. LVblizzard
    I’m not buying the late arrival of precip on the NAM. It has been doing some weird stuff with the precip field for the last few runs. The 3km looks much more reasonable.
  7. LVblizzard
    18z HRRR keeps Philly mostly snow tomorrow. 4-8” for the region with the jackpot zone through the ABE area.
  8. LVblizzard
    Euro looks similar to 6z. A little colder for I-95.
  9. LVblizzard
    RGEM finally backed off its insane inland runner solution. Looks like a solid 4-8” from the Philly burbs through the LV, up to 10” in the Poconos.
  10. LVblizzard
    12z NAM + some other mesos are really pushing back the start time of this thing. Some have snow not starting till 2-3 pm.
  11. LVblizzard
    NAMs might be cold but they’re very dry. Less than 6” everywhere in our region.
  12. LVblizzard
    Both NAMs are very cold and don’t get the R/S line anywhere remotely close to Philly.
  13. LVblizzard
    Ensembles are VERY aggressive. Some members have a full on SECS.
  14. LVblizzard
    Euro ensembles honking for Wednesday. Plowable snow to Philly and possibly north. Super high ratio fluff with the sheer amount of cold air in place.
  15. LVblizzard
    Euro nudged NW a little and got wetter. Still no warning level snows except for some areas in Berks and Chesco. It’s getting there though!
  16. LVblizzard
    Dr. No holds steady at 18z with just 2-4” region-wide. Seems like an outlier at this point.
  17. LVblizzard
    It would benefit me but I want a snow game in south Philly just as much damn it!
  18. LVblizzard
    3km keeps the R/S line well SE of Philly while giving all of us moderate-heavy snow. The dream solution.
  19. LVblizzard
    It had the 6” line to the Lehigh Valley at one point. I don’t think 6” got within 100 miles of the area.
  20. LVblizzard
    Don’t look at the HRRR if you’re south of I-78 (aka most people in here)…
  21. LVblizzard
    Just posted my first call on my page. 4-8” for the Lehigh Valley. Even with a weaker storm like the Euro/UKMET, it will be very cold which will help get ratios to 15:1 or better here. I’m not really buying either of the outlier solutions (NAM nearly whiffing, RGEM bringing the low inland).
  22. LVblizzard
    So we have the GFS, Euro, UKMET, ICON, and 3km NAM snowing during the Eagles game. While the CMC/RGEM and RAP rain on Philly. Consensus still seems to favor a snow game.
  23. LVblizzard
    Euro is pretty much exactly the same as 6z with 3-6" area-wide.
  24. LVblizzard
    Take it from someone who lives in the northeast, the UKMET often overdoes the influence of cold and dry high pressure for our storms. I imagine it’s doing something similar in the south for next week.
  25. LVblizzard
    10 inches of snow isn’t as fun when you’re stressing about the R/S line for the entire storm.
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