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LVblizzard

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Everything posted by LVblizzard

  1. LVblizzard
    18z NAM came well north of 12z. Looks like the Euro.
  2. LVblizzard
    If the NAM and GFS come north at 18z it’s time to start getting excited! I’d take another 4-5” in a heartbeat.
  3. LVblizzard
    Some of the GEFS members say Friday night-Saturday could be significant. Ceiling is high-ish with this one but we need a lot to go right. Most likely scenario still seems to be a widespread 1-3”/2-4” event.
  4. LVblizzard
    We have been NAM'd!
  5. LVblizzard
    0z RGEM looking decent for Friday night into Saturday with a region-wide 2-3”.
  6. LVblizzard
    It is actually comical how far off yesterday’s 12z Euro was. Many of the areas in the 2-4” zone got a foot. And most of south Jersey away from Philly got shut out or close to it.
  7. LVblizzard
    Euro came north and now gives the region 1-2” Saturday.
  8. LVblizzard
    I hear tree limbs cracking every few minutes outside my place. Hoping my power stays on here. There aren’t many outages around me yet.
  9. LVblizzard
    Got about 9” with my shoddy measuring technique. Storm is winding down now. Not looking forward to shoveling this cement.
  10. LVblizzard
    I’m at the northern end of that band right now. Coming down hard. 1-2”/hr rates.
  11. LVblizzard
    Yesterday’s 6z and 12z Euro runs busted horribly. It had 3-6” in the Poconos and they’re already approaching a foot.
  12. LVblizzard
    Much colder than modeled leading to higher ratios too. Maybe those 10:1 weenie maps weren’t so far off.
  13. LVblizzard
    Just woke up in Allentown and holy crap, we have half a foot already! And it looks like nothing but straight rippage on the radar for the next 3-4 hours. Could we hit a foot??
  14. LVblizzard
    I mean, I’ve seen snow at 41F plenty of times before. But it’s almost always some flurries from decaying lake effect bands in the fall or spring. At KOP right now every level 850mb and below is above freezing. For now, anyway.
  15. LVblizzard
    It’s raining in Allentown so I highly doubt it’s snowing in KOP.
  16. LVblizzard
    Radar filling in very nicely in MD and central PA. This thing is about to get wild in 3-4 hours!
  17. LVblizzard
    Hi-res RGEM went crazy for the LV and Poconos!
  18. LVblizzard
    I just worry we get dryslotted while the Poconos and Philly burbs both get crushed. It’s happened before and it’s a concern for me with every storm like this. You never know where the banding will set up until it actually does.
  19. LVblizzard
    And the latest RAP brings the heavy bands back into the LV. At this point it’s basically just entertainment looking at these unless there’s some crazy last minute trend.
  20. LVblizzard
    This. This is the model I choose to believe.
  21. LVblizzard
    Latest HRRR ups you to 7.9”!
  22. LVblizzard
    Snow reports in Collegeville and KOP on mPING. Those have to be bogus, right?
  23. LVblizzard
    0z runs so far are not good for the Philly burbs. 3-6” now compared to the 6-12” solutions from earlier today.
  24. LVblizzard
    Here’s the HRRR. The RAP is similar.
  25. LVblizzard
    Latest RAP and HRRR back off quite a bit. I’m getting tired…
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