LongBeachSurfFreak

My buddy’s said Stratton was ruff in the afternoon. Ice everywhere, glad I wasn’t there!

Days one and two this past weekend at Killington. Natural snow was very limited with only a few inches. Being killington there was plenty of man made snow on the trails that were open. The problem was it was packed and by the afternoon the bottle necks were so pushed off that it became a dangerous Ice to moguls mine field. I saw multiple serious injury’s. There were way too many beginners out for those types of conditions and no easy terrain open. I took it easy after my double injury winter last year (broken collar bone followed by shattered wrist).

Interesting, I had 6” in Wantagh. I wonder if it was your proximity to the sound.

Yup! Perfect timing for this first cold shot. It’s not last November but it’s something

Today cannot be good for early season snow making. Anything made already is getting rocked. About as good of a melt scenario as you can get!

Nothing at all in wantagh, car coverer in Long Beach. Interesting snow patterns with that one. Nothing on the north shore hills near the warm sound but a strip of 2” around the LIE

That’s an incredible micro climate spot. I drive past you almost ever weekend over the winter. I always look forward to the climb to see snow differences with elevation!

Ready to do some exploring this winter with the full icon pass. We really need a full scale pattern change to avoid cutters and lots of ice.

Going with a full Icon this year. Based at Stratton as that’s where my house share is. My friends in the house are all on the ski patrol so they aren’t leaving Stratton ever. The good thing for me this winter is I’ll be able to get out and explore. Planning on doing killington a bunch and a late season sugarloaf expedition. That mountain is big on my list of places to ride. I’m also doing my first out west trip to aspen for spring fling in April. Heres to hoping we have an ice free winter!!!

Yeah, that seems about right. The amazing thing about. Swell with periods of 15+ seconds is the amount of energy they contain. Their wave lengths are huge comparatively as is their speed. The start feeling bottom in deep water and bend and refract based on local bathemotry. So some breaks will seem relatively small and closed out, and other that can focus swell bigger. So your 4’ swell at 17 seconds quickly becomes a 10’ breaking wave. Points are the way to go on that type of swell. Lucky for me on of the best on the east coast south of RI happens to be clos

Lorenzo should be a prolific swell producer. Huge size and lots of captured fetch before it fully recurves. Obviously there will be major swell decay but I think this one puts out some big numbers with 16/17 second swell for us next week.

East. Long period swells have the ability to bend and refract some areas will be bigger or smaller then expected. Really comes down to local knowledge in regards to what areas will and will not see bigger waves. If I were up in NE I would be looking for points.

Direction of movement is wrong and fetch size (for us) is relatively small. I wouldn’t call it a prolific swell producer unless that crawl materializes. That Bermuda zone is an excellent swell source for us though. Until it slows it’s going to be a run of the mill moderate swell something like 3.5’ at 11/12 seconds on the buoys

Came pretty close to tropical storm conditions on the beaches of Long Island. Sheets of rain with winds sustained around 30 with gusts to the low 40s. Anyone now what the peak gusts and rain totals were at ACK? The amazing thing about Dorian was the lack of true large surf. The ENE moment meant all the captured fetch was moving away from LI/NE. We have seen much much larger waves with storms out by Bermuda. (Gert 99, Fabian 03 and Bill 08) Those storms were moving towards us before recurving and ejected huge swells due to captured fetch. Takeaway, direction of movement is more important then proximity

Gloria is my first weather memory. Watching LIPA remove the top of the big Norway maple in front of my house after it split and took down the power lines. I would have loved to have been a little older for that one. Probably the strongest winds during my life time with a brief period of 90mph gusts with what was most likely a sting jet caused be extra tropical transition.

This is definitely another Juan, which had some of the most prolific tree damage of any storm in the north east. Probably on par with 1938 in Ct and RI. Once you get over 90mph our trees just fall apart.

NYC bans anyone from entering the water. Including surfers. Canceling a long run body surf competition Saturday during premium conditions. Talk about over reactionary

Not a great swell producer for Long Island and New England. Its an issue of fetch more so then strength. The tiny size just isn’t going to cut it for creating much swell with periods over 12 seconds. Any captured fetch will be aimed towards the SE. I still think we see some swell with sets to maybe 5-6’ for south facing beaches. But with swell periods below 13 seconds beach washovers and erosion seems unlikely.

The real challenge is for cheaper and more effective solar cells. I saw something on solar cells that were super thin like film and this flexible. They could hypothetically be wrapped around pretty much any object. That’s the holy grail of solar technology.

Very true, that’s not cement by any stretch as it would have stayed open. Looking forward to a less injury filled 2019/20!

To be excepted this time of year. The MDR is a shear fest currently. If we can get something into that Hatteras to Bermuda zone this season it’s game time.

Look at that path leading right to NE. Given the right circumstances this could be the year for a big one.

I call red mulch the “Burger King look”

Not a great track for a high end landfall. Trajectory has too much land interaction before landfall. Good for what I assume are poor people living in substandard housing. All of the money in India is in the major city’s with the rest of the country still relatively poor.

Nice to see some positivity. I agree, while it may not be a blockbuster KU I think we get at least one solid warning event sometime between 2/15-3/15