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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Eastern Long Island is going to get smoked. 5”+ type amounts. The city may get rocked later if the stuff down by the Delmarva stays in-tacked
  2. LongBeachSurfFreak
    .76” at the wantagh meso. Very solid for ok of driest sites in the state but missed out on the best action so far, this is far far far from over
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    You have had a few events. South shore nassua has been a real epic Fail. It’s about time we got something. And this batch will probably explode and crush you
  4. LongBeachSurfFreak
    About time, a Nassau county special on the way. This is the day no one escapes rain free. It’s too juiced
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    So I just watered my veggie garden in lynbrook Sw Nassau county. It’s beyond thriving because I water no matter the forecast. My dads veggie garden at the house I grew up in and built, is awful. Because he will not water when there is heavy rains in the forecast. I think we all score tomorrow, maybe all flood. But better save then sorry when it comes to plants.
  6. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Wow, while it’s obviously the standout in the metro I wouldn’t have thought another area would surpass wantagh. I would think the may be a similar situation going on with Lake Ontario. Meanwhile foggy currently at Jones beach with the super high dews.
  7. LongBeachSurfFreak
    At my dads in south wantagh and not a drop. This place is literally the thunderstorm graveyard of the region. Might have the lowest precip total for the month in the entire state at the wantagh masonet sight
  8. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I think it all comes down to wether we get the nino blockbuster. Feb 83, Jan 16. But others 97/98 and 72/73 were fails. One thing that’s almost certain, it will be above normal temp wise
  9. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Nice stationary cell over lower Manhattan, I can see it perfectly from the uws. That’s going to produce some flash flooding
  10. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Suffolk has been doing great. It’s a Nassau thing
  11. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Storm is completely meh rain wise, some good lighting though which I’m currently enjoying
  12. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The south shore of Nassau really is the destroyer of storms. Convection fires everywhere but there. I’m starting to think that the urban heat island may have something to do with it. It’s clearly not the ocean as eastern Suffolk does very well.
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    You need a larger sample size than that. If we we had obs from the 1800s you would see water temps in the low 30s. Ny harbor often froze allowing people to walk to nj. And a fair was held on the east river. All impossible now.
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I posted about the earlier, but it’s a launch pad issue. If your no cooling water temps in the winter, the second full inclination hits it’s off to the races.
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah it’s been incredible. Normally we may get a few days like this in august, but not July. I think the fact that our winter water temps never get that cold anymore is a big factor. Because it’s not like we have had any real heat. At this rate we will make low 80s at some point in august.
  16. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah LI is the hot spot on a west wind. JFK will do crazy numbers with a west wind. We also have by far the lowest soil moisture given the localized drought. So until the sea breeze kicks in, it’s torch land
  17. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Amazing how western Long Island consistently gets jumped. I had a feeling the east end would get crushed. Farmingdale with .26”.
  18. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I mentioned earlier today that someone would be jumped. .10” so far in wantagh. a secondary screw zone seems to be centered around mid town Manhattan. And this is a reoccurring situation. Brooklyn, queens and the Bronx do well while mid town seems to repel convection. I believe it has to do with the extreme urban environment
  19. LongBeachSurfFreak
    That’s going to be our main show. Let’s see if the super warm water temps help hold that together better then what would have happened a couple weeks ago, when similar looking cells went poof. Currently drizzling at Jones beach, still a good amount of people here despite the weather.
  20. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I agree on that being the time for island. Currently partly sunny at Jones beach. I just hope we don’t have one of the instances like we had with the last event where the western half of the island gets jumped. As in, the precip shield re-fires over the twin forks and SE New England
  21. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I’ll take the under for the island. However I could see this being the real deal form the city west. Also, somewhere north of the lie could get one of those stationary dumpers. I hope this event breaks the trend however.
  22. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Exactly. There needs to be organized lift. I think we all get some rain tomorrow with the obvious flooding threat being inland.
  23. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It was a beautiful beach day at Jones beach. Water is incredibly warm and turquoise, I would have to think surface water nearing 80. It’s also super dry here, we really need something to survive to the coast tomorrow
  24. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Haha, has been a while since we talked about anything other than storms dying before they hit the coast
  25. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Only a matter of time until that happens. We need major upgrades to our power System asap. We need to learn from Florida, and even more so the west pack. A cat one in Taiwan is a windy rainy day, throw in Bermuda too. Any power infrastructure above ground is using concrete reinforced poles
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