jayyy

In central MD, for sure. That’s why they dropped the Warning for a 1” advisory (except for the northern tier) That’s MD climo during a Miller b - especially one that doesn’t phase early. A difference of 30 miles means 10” versus 3-4”. Hell, less than 30 miles meant 20” for my son, with half of that here. No worries my friend. Miller A’s are down the pipeline - and the i-95 / I-29 corridor will get its jackpot storm.

For the second threat mid-next week, for sure . The first potential threat next weekend isn’t so cut and dry. It’ll be in the low to mid 40 Thursday through Saturday. Huge cold shot comes overnight Sunday. Forecasted overnight low is 5 degrees in Baltimore city with a high of 19 on Monday. Let’s gets some classic Gulf of Mexico overrunning thrown up here next week and were in business. That snow where .5 of QPF gets you 10”. Mmmm, yes please.

Trend has been in our favor the last 24-48 as far as overall setup in concerned. Let’s see how things evolve once tonight’s biggie is out of the way. 500mb setup indicates we have a pretty decent shot at cyclogenesis off the Atlantic coast late next weekend

Prob not. Next week and beyond has a much better setup to deal with. Miller A’s baby!

It’s going to get downright filthy next weekend into early next week. Snow followed by teens for highs, single digits to 0 for lows.

Called it. 7:15

No worries Mappy ! still have the ULL to get through tonight as well per NAM / Hrrr. Think we’ll catch the southern end of that.

One thing is for sure.... this storm has absolutely beautiful banding structure inside a wall of snow. Beautiful.

Look out the window about 7:15-7:40. Should have some nice banding overhead in Baltimore proper at that time.

Look at that moisture field right over emmitsburg to Gettysburg. Crazy. Someone will hit 20+ up there by the time it’s over.

This is what I’m getting at. For now, the low is spinning bands from our ENE into our area- but as the storm moves East, the precip to our SW will follow suit and come back through the area.

It’ll be a spotty climb from here on out for us though. Maybe an inch or two if we get lucky.

Radar looks meh right now for Carroll over to your area. However, everything to the west/southwest of us will eventually pivot back our way. Think we see one last hoorah around 9-10 before we send her off to finish her annihilation of the nyc - Boston corridor.

Looks like a moisture feed off the bay may clip areas east of 29 with some good banding in the areas in mentioned above.

Rooting for you all in the Baltimore city/county and HoCo area to get in on some of the love.

Nice to see the updated 2-5” call by LWX pan out this evening. Glad I got SOMETHING appreciable today to be able to send some decent snow shots back to my folks up in NY. Theirs are putting mine to shame. I don’t like being out snow- weenied by my parents .

Glad you finally cashed in a bit my friend.

There it is! #deckpic

4” of new snow today. Need under an ” to get to double digits. Come on baby! PS - 19” report in N Frederick County

Don’t look now but.... LWX already has the entire area under a winter storm threat for day 7. Euro dumps 30-40” on the entire area between now and 2/11. Of course, don’t take these amounts literally, but I think this storm may be the beginning of a truly special February for our parts. EPS / GFS long range looks pretty surreal. Hope everybody’s gotten at least some of this second batch and is enjoying a wintry evening! It’s been a hell of a headache to track this thing, but I’m honored to do with you all.

It was no doubt waaaay too generous with snow totals. But... it did sniff out that precip would make its way back into our area with the coastal.

Can confidently call this some rippage... Thank you GFS, for scoring this coup.

PS - next Monday’s forecast: high of 17 low of 1 Going to have lots of cold air and an active jet to work with starting this weekend into next week and beyond.

Remember - for folks in the eastern half of the CWA not seeing much right now - you’ll get some of this on its way out of the area as the storm moves away

DUDE! Nice catch! Wow.