weatherpruf

It's not doing anything in large portions of Eastern NJ either....stopped at1-3 hours ago. And the 3 is being really generous....

My understanding is that you shouldn't bother with models when the storm is underway; since you can see the evolution of the storm, at least according to Steve DiMartini ( I know, he can't hit the side of a barn with his forecasts, but he is a pro met ) right in front of you....I think this storm is done Anthony, but I'm not a met or fortune teller. Perhaps someone will get something else out of this tonight, but it won't be anywhere near me.

You can't ague with success though. On to the next one. Probably be another 60 days.....

You said that all along and stuck to it. Though I wouldn't call it a total non-event, and inch or two during commute coming down fast did have to be respected. However, in years past, a storm of this level would not have been really newsworthy. Certainly when I started working in schools 30 years ago, it would not have merited an early dismissal. Why? We were less sophisticated and didn't have computer models printing up 8-12 all the time, scaring everyone half to death.

Yes, Woodbridge is a snow hole. Wait till it's snowing to beat the band 10 miles west or east and you're looking outside at mediocre snow growth and people here are telling you that you are wrong and just be patient. At 4 pm when I was walking in the park and it began to taper off, I said to myself, I bet this is it. And it was. There has been no significant accums since. But most schools in the region did let out early, avoiding the worst conditions.

If you stuck to 1-3 for a goodportion of the area you nailed it.

Funny if NYC on east ends up getting in on this. As for my area, accumulating snows stopped hours ago. If it's snowing at all now I sure can't tell. My footsteps from 4 pm are still there in the snow uncovered....this is the usual pattern here though. Get a burst or two followed by light stuff for a few hours and then it craps out. Everyone in the neighborhood scratching their heads asking what happened.....

Don't be. We had enough. it's only early Dec. Good times ahead Ant.

Those bands aren't coming to north Jersey Anthony. Perhaps LI?

I don't think the forecast was that bad. I fully expected places north of me at higher elevations to get substantially more snow in this kind of storm. 1-3 was always a good call, and those calling for 3-6, well, a lot of us seem to have gotten to 3. So that's not exactly blown. I do think these new models overdo things; I'd be sitting at 100 inches a year if some of them panned out ( they don't, and thank God ).

Pretty obvious its about done out here. Seen it dozens of times. I took a long walk in Merrill and it was really cool in one of those heavy bands. But I hope the whole season isn't the same level of uncertainty. As I said prior, my area usually struggles anyway. i expected 1-3 and I think it looks like about 3 to me out there. Tapering off now will be a blessing for everyone getting out of work.

Move the blue over to the raritan bay coast off Perth Amboy and Woodbridge; an inch might already have been exceeded there.

Congratulations on your retirement; my wife is also in the research end of the pharma business. I have 31 years at my job as well, but will hang on a little while longer, til my youngest graduates. As you may remember, I'm a practicing MSW with an interest in the social aspects of weather; some here often wonder what the heck that means. I think you are a good example; folks valued your input and want to keep in touch with you, but I suspect it is more than that. I think when you have worked with people for years, you develop bonds, and they want to stay in touch in some way. Best of luck to you, I have always enjoyed your analysis.

I have not waivered from 1-3 for my region and that is what the pros are saying on radio reports. More north and west. But these models have been all over, with the NAM posted now showing a lot of ME with significant snow ( 5-7 inches which is not much to them but I know one grumpy old guy up there who will be complaining about it ). Other maps yesterday had them with nothing. So, pick a map you like, and see what happens, cause anything is still on the table IMHO.

i give up. I have IEP's to write; winter break is coming and I am under pressure to get things done before the break, and I'm sitting here hoping for a snow day which will only make my workload worse. Will see you all when this gets rolling, if it ever does.

You thought I meant the sandwich.....?

Often the case, and yeah that does happen. It can start accumulating quickly, even if there's a lot of rain prior. Seen that lots of times. Makes cleanup interesting.

Its really rare to get a big whopper in my parts this time of year, 3-4 solid inches, even if sloppy, would be a big deal. Go ten miles west its a different story. But not always, Boxing day delivered over 30 here and just a few inches not far west.

That actually shows a significant 4-5 inches northeastern NJ. That would be a decent event for this time of year, but is it counting sleet? and that cutoff looks awfully sharp.

This is exactly at odds with another poster. Since I am not interested in looking at models myself, it makes it kinda confusing to see these reports. How could it be ugly if another poster says it looks further east ( either solution misses me so really don't care, just wondering )

LOL west of me, east of me....someone will get something in some direction away from here. One thing I'll say, there has been no shortage of nasty east winds this fall. More than I can ever remember. Prevailing winds are supposed to be westerly, at least that's what the answer was on the old captain's exam. I remember one ol salt saying yeah, send em down here any afternoon during summer and I'll show em "westerly" winds....

Anthony just west of SI we never saw any snow at all here all day but had a period of sleet. As I went further west it transitioned ( Somerset CTY ) to heavy rain and that's where its been all night. In fact at the Costco people were watching scenes from the game and asking where they were playing at ( a lot of us don't watch football and didn't know it was a home game for Giants? I think...sorry I don't watch sports except for some soccer so I'm not informed on these things ) because there was obvious snow OTG and there was nothing locally.

And not everyone in NE likes snow; many people in the Boston area are there for work and hope for a transfer. And some people think the amount of snow we get in NJ is excessive ( actually a lot of people ). They obviously don't live near me...

Well no one called for more than 1-3 here, and so I don't expect much. I get 3-4 when they call for 8-12....

It's that band that keeps showing up....the one that has my back yard getting nothing while the guy two blocks away gets 3-6. I wonder if is the influence of Raritan Bay or the Arthur Kill. I'm not right on the bay, but a few miles in. We don't think of ourselves as coastal at all, but a hundred years ago Sewaren was a beach resort...