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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    Thank you. Sorry for causing a stir.
  2. Allsnow
    Absolutely. It’s one of the main reasons this winter went down the toilet. The other being the Pv.
  3. Allsnow
    This is a ridiculous post from a member that should be on a daily post limit. The fact that you can’t give examples to your ridiculous claims makes your posts irrelevant.
  4. Allsnow
    Yes it did. The forcing made it into 8-1-2 but the convection firing by Australia muted the response. The roundy plots correctly predicted the 5-6 pass for this month at the end of January. It was laughed out by the usually suspects but again they were proven wrong The eps nailed the RNA pattern for February. It did have a hiccup at the end of January when it had a cold pattern in the 11-15 day. But outside of that it’s been okay. The GEFS have been too cold in the medium range.
  5. Allsnow
    Give examples....what have they been wrong about
  6. Allsnow
    The GEFS are wrong. It doesn’t match any of the roundy plots.
  7. Allsnow
    It’s has its flaws but has been good overall. It’s first to correct in the medium range. The lower hgts moving into Ak is no good for us and has been a theme this winter.
  8. Allsnow
    Eps is ugly. Outside a cold shot next weekend This goose is cooked.
  9. Allsnow
  10. Allsnow
    Getting some impressive gust here. Event of the winter
  11. Allsnow
    February of yore
  12. Allsnow
    Roundy plots have the wave collapsing on the boarder of p6/7. Then by March 1st another wave forms in p2. Phase 2/3 are cold in March but if the Pv is still uber strong along with AO idk how the cold will get here.
  13. Allsnow
    Tornado warning down by Kphl. I don’t think that area has been under a winter storm warning this winter yet lol
  14. Allsnow
    Eps looked horrible over night. -pna and southeast ridge then by the end of the month it’s a zonal flow with lower hgts in Canada.
  15. Allsnow
    High wind warnings issued for the costal counties of NJ.
  16. Allsnow
    Will these winds mix down to the surface?
  17. Allsnow
    2m temps didn’t look bad to me on the weeklies. Yes, not bone chilling but after the 20th temps in sne are normal. We would fight the southeast ridge at times but it looks to get knocked down. Here are a few h5 maps and one that shows the weak -nao in March. Imo better then 6 weeks of the same pattern that was being depicted on Monday. Obviously, this is to be taken with a grain of salt
  18. Allsnow
    Yep. It does have that cold shot next weekend with the boundary moving south of us.
  19. Allsnow
    Weeklies flip to a cold March this run. Looks like some -nao also lol.
  20. Allsnow
    Need the energy to be a strong a possible if you want a snow event Saturday night. The energy diving into the northwest is killing the ridge.
  21. Allsnow
    Still 4 days away but it doesn’t look that impressive currently outside a chance of 1-3. Areas between bwi to phl could do well. As @PB-99 said, going to be a screw zone when the low transfers. Looks to be our area currently
  22. Allsnow
    Definitely a torch alert for next week with the mjo in 5/6. I would expect some serious warmth from the mid Atlantic into southern New England
  23. Allsnow
    Great post. The only issue I have is that we really haven’t had a coherent wave in the cold phases since November. From the start of December it has been all warm phases and movement into 7/8 has been to weak. The pv position and strength has played huge role in this disaster. Just a lot went wrong between the pv and mjo. We did have a coherent wave into the cold phases back in Nov 2019. That was a big reason why that month was so cold.
  24. Allsnow
    Little to no snow and some light ice. It’s mainly a rain event in your area on the euro. Need to be in Albany on north
  25. Allsnow
    Eps mean for Saturday is 2-4 inches for the area. But I’ll believe that when I see it
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