The Polar Vortex gained strength in December then coupled with atmosphere in January. This means all the cold stays locked up by the pole with no way to get in into the conus. That along with a unfavorable mjo (stuck in 5/6) was the nail in the this winters coffin.
Great Memory and maps! Thinking back now 3/21 was probably the coldest one of the bunch down here.
And yes, I would never think this storm would slide underneath us with that look out west.
More often then not he is correct. Let’s not forget how he nailed the uber blocking of March 2018 after the SSW. He has incredible skill in long range forecasting.
If the last two winters have taught us anything it’s that long range is a wild card still. Who really knows what’s going to happen next winter. I think the benefit of a strong Niña would help cool the ocean waters in the warm phases of the mjo. Even if it means a bad winter
It might just be one of those years we don’t get another opportunity. Just incredibly frustrating winter. I just hope we can get one more storm chance before this disaster is over. Still haven’t plowed snow yet this winter. That would be a first for me if we go without one plowable event.