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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Yep, the seasonal models did a great job this winter. They made up for the 2018-2019 blocking -nao fail.
  2. The Polar Vortex gained strength in December then coupled with atmosphere in January. This means all the cold stays locked up by the pole with no way to get in into the conus. That along with a unfavorable mjo (stuck in 5/6) was the nail in the this winters coffin.
  3. Weeklies pretty torchy in that March 7-14 timeframe also.
  4. Weeklies are a torch for mid month! Please be correct
  5. Absolutely gorgeous outside. Feels like a mid April day.
  6. Looks warm after the first few days on the month.
  7. Incorrect. It nailed this two day cold shot and never lost the cold for end of the month/start of March.
  8. Pattern of persistence! This nightmare is over after the 4th
  9. We would get warm with that look verbatim. We can only hope
  10. By the 6th the southeast ridge is back on the eps. Small window for any snow threat
  11. Another southeast snowfall on the euro on 29th lol. The trough is too positive to get it up here.
  12. Great Memory and maps! Thinking back now 3/21 was probably the coldest one of the bunch down here. And yes, I would never think this storm would slide underneath us with that look out west.
  13. More often then not he is correct. Let’s not forget how he nailed the uber blocking of March 2018 after the SSW. He has incredible skill in long range forecasting.
  14. Didn’t the pac improve as we got deeper into March 2018? I remember the first costal at the end of February didn’t have much cold to work with.
  15. Yeah the 16-18 ninas were snow friendly to us. They are normally not that snowy historically. That’s if we go into a two year Niña.
  16. @Isotherm is the best long range forecasters out there. His unbiased outlooks are one of the best attributes. His outlook is the only one that matters
  17. Agree. A weak enso state has not worked well for us the last two years. I believe this year will go down as a nada.
  18. If the last two winters have taught us anything it’s that long range is a wild card still. Who really knows what’s going to happen next winter. I think the benefit of a strong Niña would help cool the ocean waters in the warm phases of the mjo. Even if it means a bad winter
  19. It happens. We have been living a charmed life in the snow department since 2010. Let’s just hope this isn’t the start of another string of ratters.
  20. Only difference was we were colder last winter because the Pv wasn’t as strong.
  21. It might just be one of those years we don’t get another opportunity. Just incredibly frustrating winter. I just hope we can get one more storm chance before this disaster is over. Still haven’t plowed snow yet this winter. That would be a first for me if we go without one plowable event.
  22. Eps hinting at something around the 3/4. The cold air will be around for this event. Snow mean is decent
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