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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Eps definitely not amped up as the op. (Shocking) verbatim weak.
  2. Cmc has it also. Something to keep a eye on.
  3. Models and ensembles hinting at something along the east coast next week.
  4. Interesting. We have had issues with snow measuring in our bigger events at NYC. Most recent example would be 2016. I just was surprised that storm in 2003 was still number one in Boston. Over the past decade we really have raised the bar with these costal snowstorms.
  5. @CoastalWx @ORH_wxman i find it surprising the PD storm of 2003 is still the biggest in Boston. Has this ever been challenged by other storms? (Been so many in recent years) And is that 27.6 legit compared to surrounding areas.
  6. Very low. Great stat as always @bluewave. I read a tweet on when the Ao is this high our biggest snowfall comes in March. This doesn’t mean I’m calling for a big event but 2.6 is a low bar.
  7. Looks like the mjo wil go weakly into 8-1-2-3 on the new roundy maps. This will be bias cold and lines up well with the ensembles. I would think the best chance at snow will be towards the first weekend of March.
  8. Eps mean would make eastern North Carolina snow fans happy lol
  9. I feel like JB hasn’t been correct since 2015. He should probably stop with the outrageous analogs.
  10. Eps snow mean still very meh through the 2nd. Looks way below Avg in that timeframe but dry as of now.
  11. Next weeks cold shot gettting colder on the eps. I would think this might be a problem for early budding trees in the southeast
  12. Yep. Plus as @uncle W detailed we don’t need all the stars to align for snow in March. In March 2019 that snowy weekend was all -epo driven. Initial it looks like we are to deep into the trough but when it relaxes we might get something.
  13. Yep. Definitely TBD on the snow. But I’m confident on the cold shot it has mjo support.
  14. Eps drops the hammer with the cold at the end of February into first week of March
  15. What a stretch on Long Island from 2010 to 2018. Crazy.
  16. Haha. True. Really incredible gradient in our county for that storm. New Brunswick 10 Metuchen 6 Woodbridge 3. At one point we had light rain here as the CCB pounded to our west. We did have thunder snow and 2-3 inch rates when the event started.
  17. Great post. Even last February we had a decent mjo pass in 8-1-2 but we still got a Niña response. I agree, the first week of March is probably are best shot (not saying much) at something. But unfortunately this doesn’t look like a pattern breaker. Convection is once again going to form in 5/6 and we go back to the same look.
  18. Looks like the wave will die in 7 then a kelvin wave forms in 8. By the 11th the roundy plots have a wave forming in 5/6.
  19. Yeah. That snow was decently powdery for a late March event. I think by the end of the following day of the storm I had more snow left from March 7th lol
  20. @bluewave what’s your thoughts on the TPV eventually blowing its top? I would think eventually it has to break down. Perhaps cold April?
  21. March will probably be more of the same IMO. Warm/wet. We might have a window for something during the first week of the month. Just don’t think that pattern lasts long.
  22. You can see on the roundy plots a wave dies in 7 then a kelvin wave takes over in p8. But by the 11th you have a wave in p5/6 which it has been all winter
  23. We would have the mjo briefly in the cold phases and the -epo ridge further East. I don’t think it’s lasts long but perhaps we pull a March 2019 like weekend.
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