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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    Light snow 35
  2. Allsnow
    Not to be taking literally but insane gradient in snowfall the next two weeks
  3. Allsnow
    Would think you are seeing some wet flakes now with those returns on radar by you
  4. Allsnow
    Snowing which is odd because it’s going to be 97 degrees tomorrow
  5. Allsnow
    Absolutely. It’s a gradient pattern. I think last nights eps mean was 3-4 for me and 8-10 for sne. This is for the entire run.
  6. Allsnow
    Best area for snow will be northern Pa into the lower Hudson valley/sne before a change over. I don’t see much snow falling for areas around the city and northern nj.
  7. Allsnow
    Yeah, but now the system for next weekend is in a perfect spot with a weaker cutter. In this pattern you don’t want it perfect 160 hours out. Last nights euro with a stronger cutter the following system went south of us.
  8. Allsnow
    We probably want this system as jacked up as possible so the following wave next Saturday goes under us. At best this is some sleet/ice to rain for the area. Don’t buy into the ggem/Ukmet silliness.
  9. Allsnow
    I tend to agree. I think this is just one of those winters where it won’t snow. My hopes aren’t high for March either. The gfs is going to continue to give false hope with it’s medium range cold and snow bias.
  10. Allsnow
    I think so.....Eric fisher had a interesting tweet about years with a AO this positive the warmth continued into March. I don’t see much help from the mjo after the 15th. The roundy plots keep convection in the warm phases and it collapses there. We would need other help if we want a cold March. I just don’t see help from the Pv or any other area to think that currently. This is a mild/snowless winter from end to end
  11. Allsnow
    It will come down to the pac and epo location. The models are currently backing away from the -pna. So now temperatures are closer to normal with the -epo. The boundary will be close so good luck getting a idea on what’s going to happen this far out.
  12. Allsnow
    I did lol
  13. Allsnow
    February snowfall Knyc 1.2
  14. Allsnow
    On the bright side next winter can’t be any worse lol.
  15. Allsnow
  16. Allsnow
    Yep. H5 set up has completely changed from what it was a few days ago. The trough is further west and the transient blocking is gone. Perhaps we can get something along the boundary closer to the middle of the month.
  17. Allsnow
    My storm is on life support. Sorry bud.
  18. Allsnow
    Our best shot for snow this month is if we can get the boundary south of us for a day. Just thinking back to typical Niña/nada February’s it worked in 2008/2012. Just a typical overrunning event that dumps 2-4/3-5 and by the next day it’s back to 40’s rain.
  19. Allsnow
    I agree 100%. Enso states, analogs, snow cover, and NPAC warm pools are becoming less informative on the coming winter. It’s really all about the Pv and mjo. Stuff that is very hard to predict from months in advance.
  20. Allsnow
    Yeah. With the Mjo going into p4-5-6 I think the response could be pretty warm in mid February.
  21. Allsnow
    Oh well.
  22. Allsnow
    They really have not bought into any type of cold/snowy pattern. They did a good job in sniffing out the dateline ridge in January and rna pattern for February.
  23. Allsnow
    Weeklies basically saying it’s over! We are above normal until mid March. I would welcome a early spring. Yes, we can still snow but any deep winter pattern is definitely trashed.
  24. Allsnow
    We can only hope.....
  25. Allsnow
    Eps snow mean is putrid! Good times lol
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