Allsnow
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Everything posted by Allsnow
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All we are saying is if we get to 1/15 and still not tracking a legit threat or see changes a few days away it’s time to punt this winter . Yes, we can get one storm in February but by that point the chances of a huge cold/snowy winter are over
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I feel like it gets lots of talk when we are in a mild/snowless winter. It’s usually brought up as one last ditch effort to justify a seasonal outlook or snowy turnaround.
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The SSW got a ton of tweets by respectable accounts which kind of surprised me
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Your location will have chances as long as the -pna doesn’t go crazy. Last few years that feature has trended stronger as we have gotten closer. Hopefully this is different
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Thanks. Hopefully improvements out west around mid month once the wave fully enters p3. In the meantime it does look like Canada will finally start to cool off. p3 January
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Hopefully once the mjo works fully into p3 we get the pna to improve
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10 inches of rain and no measurable snow haha -
@bluewave thoughts on the mjo? Looks like p3 to start January so hopefully some pna improvements after the cold dump in the west
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How much rain has NYC received this month?
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Looks like a cold shot around mid month is gaining traction. Hopefully snow comes with it
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Korh will probably end +7 for the month
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Best rain ended up west of the short range models
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Rain looks to be setting up west of us
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Weeklies flip the pattern to a great look around the 15th into February… It’s been showing that look for months now unfortunately
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Korh is +6.7 for December wow
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Wow. Where does +6.7 at ORH rank for warmest December on record? crazy, orh is not forecasted to be below frz until Sunday morning and it will only be 30
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I think we see improvements out west when the mjo get into p3. Unfortunately, that might take until mid month. Second week of January looks like a -pna with cold dumping west
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Probably see improvements out west when the mjo gets into p3.
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Second week looks like a -pna with -nao dumping cold into the west. We very well might get to 1/15 without anything
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First week of January definitely cooked
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First threat or model run of interest will probably start around the 5/6th. I agree, by the 15th if we are still reading posts from metfan about how the pattern is changing this winter is most likely a punt
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Impossible. It’s either cutters or suppression…
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What’s the call for January?
