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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. If this was late January or early February winter would be over.
  2. Hopes for a big season are never high if we punt December.
  3. Yeah, the -ao has become useless along with the -nao without pac help
  4. I remember that storm as an overnight surprise? I believe mostly rain was forecasted?
  5. Yeah, if the mjo is that weak then something else will be the driving factor. Currently, we don’t have any forecasting tool that goes out that far in the future. We can use the weeklys but their accuracy is suspect. If the MJO is indeed that weak to start January it will probably come down to where the low by AK positions itself
  6. Latest OLR maps have strongest convection in p7 to end the month. The overall mjo looks very weak to start January (this can change quickly) so idk how much of a response we will get if we make it into the colder phases
  7. Going to take a while to reverse this awful airmass for the second half of December. If this was the end of January winter might be over
  8. Feels like April outside currently
  9. Careful… I’m a marked man and wolf lurks I knew you would agree…you are very good at reading a pattern in the 11-15 day
  10. Looks like Nina returns next winter which is usually a 3 year run. The snow drought might continue for a while if that happens
  11. @MJO812 you still expecting this wave to race through the warm phases?
  12. Here you can see the slow down in 6/7 like the OLR maps were showing days ago
  13. Weeklies kick the can into January now…
  14. 11-15 day looks spot on the mjo 6-7 for Nino December
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