I just hope we don’t see the pna relax only to see the nao fade at the same time. It’s just seems the last few days the guidance has kicked the can with easing the pna. They have trended strong with the pna/southeast ridge and any changes still stuck at 300 hours
The typhoon really slowed the progression of the mjo. Probably won’t be until the new year we get into p7. Hopefully we can get a pac reshuffle but the ensembles have definitely been can kicking it
Looks good for most of January. Even though blocking breaks down the pv lobe sits near Hudson Bay. By February (way out in time) we go back to the Niña look we have now
Yeah, if we get to mid January and still stuck in the same h5 set up we are probably in trouble. At that point We would probably need a ssw to save us lol. As of now, I don’t think it’s time to Panic
The last cold December in nyc was 2017. The lowest high temperature was 18 and the lowest low was 9. The month final departure was -4
NYE 2017 was -20 for the daily departure