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Everything posted by bluewave
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Has the Euro ever been more amped or tucked than the NAM with a major snowstorm before? Seems like the NAM is usually in the amped up lead like we saw with Jan 2016. The Euro was more suppressed right up until the storm. So maybe the Euro is in error here and the dry slot remains to our east.
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Australia and South America have the biggest reserves. https://www.statista.com/statistics/268790/countries-with-the-largest-lithium-reserves-worldwide/
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The mileage is about 20% less in cold weather per charge. But improvements in range and charging time will make it less of an issue in the future. I think the power grid upgrades and charging station expansion may take a while. But once car makers say they will only produce EVs, then the infrastructure work will have to catch up.
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Yeah, the December 2020 storm was more tucked in than the January 2016 event. So the heaviest snowfall zones were different. But both storms had the record SST warmth to work with.
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It did much better with the December storm than the v15.
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
bluewave replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
This January will be remembered for the warm minimum temperatures across the Northeast. Areas of Maine saw an extreme +14 to +16 minimum temperature departure January. My guess is that this is a result of the warming background pattern and the +EPO pumping mild Pacific air under an extreme south based block. -
Hail in Manhattan Beach and snow in Manhattan a few days later.
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
bluewave replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Especially with the storm expanding snow cover extent from California to the East Coast. -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
bluewave replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Epic snow cover extent volatility continues. -
Yeah, the EV technology and supporting charging infrastructure still have a ways to go before wide adoption by the masses. Then the consumers will get more and better buying options. Prices for entry level vehicles will need to fall to be more affordable.
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
bluewave replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
It’s been a while since we had -20C or colder 850 mb temperatures. -
Looks like it will be a good upgrade.
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
bluewave replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
While the blocking has been more south based during December and January, it still was the 3rd greatest number of days with a -AO. So maybe we will see more -AO winters in the coming years? Notice how the previous top years seemed to cluster together with other -AO winters. -
We will be fine once the battery range goes up and the charging time goes down. That is probably coming over the next 10 years. It may take 10 years or so to begin to build out the charging infrastructure. I actually test drove an EV. The instant acceleration make you feel like you are driving a rocket ship.The one thing that I really had to get used to was how quiet the car was.
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
bluewave replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
This was one of the latest arrivals of significant Arctic air that we have seen here. 2nd latest 12° at HPN just behind last year. 3rd latest drop below 20° in NYC. The 2nd latest 15° at ISP behind last year. Frost/Freeze Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY Each section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date. Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Season Length 2019 03-08 (2019) 12 02-15 (2020) 9 343 2006 01-16 (2006) 11 01-29 (2021) 12 373 Frost/Freeze Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Each section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date. Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Season Length 1931 02-15 (1931) 16 02-16 (1932) 18 365 2001 02-22 (2001) 17 02-05 (2002) 19 347 2012 01-22 (2012) 18 01-29 (2021) 15 365 Frost/Freeze Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY Each section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date. Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Season Length 2019 03-08 (2019) 14 02-15 (2020) 13 343 1994 03-01 (1994) 14 01-29 (2021) 15 333 -
Yeah, their sightings having been going up in recent years. https://www.ecowatch.com/snowy-owls-climate-change-2623954976.html But sightings further south have become more common in North America in recent winters. As the Ottawa Citizen reported this week, sightings of the charismatic owl have soared in Eastern Ontario for the last six years. This "irruption"—an influx of a species to areas they aren't usually found—could be a sign that there's not enough food for the snowies around their usual home. Because of climate change, the Arctic is warming at twice the rateof the rest of the planet, causing dramatic shifts to ecosystems. This warmth has caused the region to become more green. As a result, rodents have more vegetation to graze on, thus increasing the prey base for snowy owls. This abundance in prey, a bird expert suggested to Ottawa Citizen, has resulted in successful breeding seasons for the snowy owls. But with more owls hunting in the same area, the less successful hunters end up traveling south in search of food. "It could be climate change: The Arctic warming up, more vegetation available, so it's producing more rodents," birder Bruce Di Labio told the Ottawa Citizen. "In turn, the snowy owls are being successful (in breeding) every year." The Audobon Society explains that "it's all about food availability: when the birds' rodent prey base either crashes or is in super-abundance, snowy owls push south in winter."
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The most reliable place that I would see them was the Jones Beach West End. They spend the cold season in the dunes around Jones Inlet. Sometimes you get lucky and see them sitting on one of the signs leading into the parking lot. Most of the time you need to scan the dunes and beach with a scope or binoculars to see them. People have been spotting one or two snowy owls down there almost every day this winter.
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They are extremely rare in Central Park. But they spend the cold season along the South Shore.
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It was a rare treat for the birders in Central Park. Most of the the snowy owls spend the winter along the South Shore barrier islands. I would see them all the time near the Jones Beach West End and sometimes in Lido Beach.
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It was good to see people keep their distance.
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Who knows what’s normal anymore with our snowfall patterns.
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That’s only recent since the 18-19 winter. Most people don’t realize that ISP and other parts of LI did much better in snowfall from 09-10 to 17-18 than NYC did. Long Island P-Types are storm track dependent. We had many storms over this period that were mostly snow.
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It seems like the UKMET is one of the more erratic models from run to run with surface low positions that affect us. The only time that I can remember it scoring a coup over the other models was with the 2-5-16 snowstorm that delivered around 10” on parts of Long Island.
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