donsutherland1

Perhaps the area of snow can reach Islip and bring the 0.2” needed to bring its storm total snowfall to 12.0”.

If the rumored 22” depth is accurate, it almost certainly won’t stand. This afternoon, first order stations including Allentown and New York City had seen depth come out between 75% and 80% of total snowfall. Newark’s depth was > 90% of total snowfall. 22” would be around 63% of the 35.1” figure and that was reportedly a morning measurement.

I’m glad there’s quality control. Even considering compression, 35.5” should not have shrunk to 22” under the conditions in place.

The PNS indicated that the measurement was taken by a trained spotter. ...Morris County... Mount Arlington 35.5 in 1230 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter

Parts of the region experienced snow flurries and even some light snow. Seasonal snowfall amounts to date include: Albany: 46.4" (10.3" above normal) Baltimore: 6.1" (5.1" below normal) Binghamton: 77.4" (28.7" above normal) Boston: 24.3" (0.1" below normal) Bridgeport: 28.9" (14.6" above normal) Buffalo: 46.5" (17.2" below normal) Burlington: 44.1" (2.1" below normal) Caribou: 57.9" (4.9" below normal) Harrisburg: 24.5" (8.8" above normal) Islip: 19.5" (6.2" above normal) New York City: 28.0" (14.9" above normal) Newark: 31.1" (16.4" above normal) Philadelphia: 14.7" (3.4" above normal) Portland: 34.5" (1.2" below normal) Providence: 18.4" (1.8" below normal) Washington, DC: 3.5" (5.6" below normal) Somewhat milder air will return to the region in coming days, but its stay won't be long. Another shot of cold air will likely arrive during or after the coming weekend. Prospects of snowfall have diminished. The number of EPS members showing measurable snowfall has fallen over the past two cycles. The operational guidance also suggests that a storm will pass too far to the south and east of the region on Sunday to have much if any impact. Nevertheless, there remains some uncertainty. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around January 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.71°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -1.03°C. La Niña conditions will likely prevail at least through meteorological winter. The SOI was +18.01 today. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -2.762. On February 2 the MJO was in Phase 6 at an amplitude of 2.382 (RMM). The February 1-adjusted amplitude was 2.074. Based on the latest guidance, no significant stratospheric warming event is likely through the middle of the second week of February. The significant December 16-17 snowstorm during what has been a blocky December suggests that seasonal snowfall prospects have increased especially from north of Philadelphia into southern New England. At New York City, there is a high probability based on historic cases that an additional 20" or more snow will accumulate after December. Since January 1, New York City has picked up 17.5" snow.

Here’s one recent paper: https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/abbc93/pdf And one that projects increases in Category 3 and 4 storms (RSI) until mid-century before the frequency declines. https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1029/2018GL079820

Part of the difference is almost certainly a reflection of differing measurement methodologies. However, the frequency of major snowstorms has increased relative to where it was during the 1950s, 1960s, and 1970s when measuring methodologies were essentially the same as they are today. After 1970, New York City has also experienced the emergence of a wetter climate. The same holds true for many of the climate sites in the Northeast.

Great point. Warmer air holds more moisture. The increased tendency for marine heatwaves being driven by climate change creates an increased probability of major snowstorms when synoptic conditions are favorable for storms. These storms can produce far more snowfall than had been the case without the warming/marine heatwaves even if all other variables are held constant.

GGEM at 210 hours: 1060 mb high on the Saskatchewan-Montana border. It’s not often one sees such strong highs in North America, even on the guidance.

Yes. I was focused on significant snowfalls that followed major snowfalls.

954 NOUS41 KOKX 031456 PNSOKX CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-040253- Public Information Statement National Weather Service New York NY 953 AM EST Wed Feb 3 2021 ...PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL SNOW REPORTS RECEIVED DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS FOR RECENT STORM... Location Amount Time/Date Provider ...Connecticut... ...Fairfield County... 4 SSE Sherman 19.0 in 0600 AM 02/03 Trained Spotter Fairfield 16.0 in 0225 PM 02/02 Public Bridgeport Airport 15.8 in 0700 AM 02/03 Official NWS Obs Greenwich 15.2 in 0730 PM 02/02 Public 2 SW Newtown 13.8 in 0900 AM 02/02 Amateur Radio ...New Haven County... 1 WNW Ansonia 13.0 in 1037 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer 1 NNW Guilford 12.6 in 0700 AM 02/03 CO-OP Observer 2 SE West Haven 11.0 in 1131 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter ...New London County... 1 SSE Norwich 8.0 in 1055 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer ...New Jersey... ...Bergen County... Westwood 22.0 in 1200 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Ridgewood 20.1 in 0700 AM 02/03 Trained Spotter 1 W Ho-Ho-Kus 20.1 in 1046 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 N Englewood 19.5 in 1011 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter East Rutherford 19.0 in 1110 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Park Ridge 17.0 in 0225 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Glen Rock 16.7 in 1207 PM 02/02 Public ...Essex County... 1 NNE Livingston 17.0 in 0950 AM 02/02 Public ...Hudson County... Harrison 18.0 in 0700 AM 02/03 CO-OP Observer Hoboken 16.5 in 0515 AM 02/03 Emergency Mngr ...Passaic County... 3 NE West Milford 24.7 in 0930 AM 02/02 Public Wayne 15.0 in 1130 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter ...Union County... Newark Airport 18.2 in 0700 AM 02/03 Official NWS Obs ...New York... ...Bronx County... 1 ENE Harlem 17.8 in 1200 PM 02/02 CO-OP Observer 1 W East Tremont 16.9 in 0300 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter ...Kings County... Bay Ridge 18.2 in 0100 PM 02/02 Emergency Mngr 2 N Crown Heights 17.3 in 1000 AM 02/02 Public ...Nassau County... 1 N Syosset 17.1 in 0700 AM 02/03 Trained Spotter 1 WNW Plainview 15.1 in 0900 AM 02/02 Public 1 WNW Herricks 14.3 in 1150 PM 02/02 Public 1 NE Plandome 13.5 in 0930 AM 02/02 Public Port Washington 12.3 in 0405 PM 02/02 Public 1 S Jericho 11.7 in 1130 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter ...New York County... Central Park 17.4 in 0700 AM 02/03 Official NWS Obs ...Orange County... 2 N Orange Lake 22.3 in 0745 AM 02/03 Trained Spotter Port Jervis 22.0 in 0700 AM 02/03 CO-OP Observer Newburgh 21.2 in 0330 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Monroe 21.0 in 1215 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Middletown 20.4 in 0930 AM 02/02 Fire Dept/Rescue Gardnertown 18.0 in 0230 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter ...Putnam County... Cold Spring 19.5 in 1000 AM 02/02 Amateur Radio Mahopac 18.0 in 1230 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Putnam Valley 17.5 in 0300 PM 02/02 Broadcast Media 2 NW Jefferson Valley 15.0 in 0800 AM 02/03 CO-OP Observer 1 NNE Carmel 13.2 in 0800 AM 02/03 CO-OP Observer ...Queens County... Whitestone 17.5 in 0600 PM 02/02 Public Howard Beach 17.0 in 0900 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter NYC/La Guardia 14.3 in 0700 AM 02/03 Official NWS Obs 1 SSW Elmhurst 14.1 in 0745 PM 02/02 Public NYC/JFK 12.6 in 0700 AM 02/03 Official NWS Obs ...Rockland County... 1 NNW New City 19.0 in 1000 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Pearl River 17.3 in 1100 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 NNW Nanuet 17.0 in 1000 AM 02/02 Amateur Radio ...Suffolk County... Commack 17.0 in 0900 AM 02/03 Public 1 S Centerport 15.1 in 0800 AM 02/03 CO-OP Observer 1 NW Mount Sinai 15.0 in 1055 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer Upton 14.8 in 0700 AM 02/03 Official NWS Obs 3 NNE Calverton 14.8 in 1049 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer 3 WNW Aquebogue 13.0 in 1057 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer Islip Airport 11.8 in 0700 AM 02/03 Official NWS Obs Bridgehampton 4.5 in 1051 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer ...Westchester County... 1 NE Buchanan 21.0 in 0900 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 3 N Mount Kisco 20.5 in 0815 AM 02/03 Public Armonk 19.7 in 0900 AM 02/02 Public 2 SSW Yonkers 17.3 in 1000 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Croton-on-Hudson 16.6 in 0900 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 N Armonk 14.0 in 1000 AM 02/02 Amateur Radio 1 N White Plains 14.0 in 1000 AM 02/02 Amateur Radio New Rochelle 11.5 in 1000 AM 02/02 Amateur Radio &&

Some flurries.

Yes. That’s correct. I didn’t include those storms for NYC, as the earlier storm had less than 10” snow (9”). The second brought 12.8”.

I am not aware of such storms following closely. However, there were two cases where a 10" snowfall was followed less than one week later by another 6" or greater snowfall in New York City: November 26-27, 1898: 10.0" and November 29-30, 1898: 6.0" February 3-4, 1926: 10.4" and February 9-10, 1926: 12.0"

The sun has broken through in Larchmont in southern Westchester County after a coating of snow overnight.

The storm rapidly developed along an Arctic front. Its heaviest snows fell north and east of New York City. Bridgeport likely experienced a localized heavy band within an area of heavy snowfall. Some additional accumulations: New Jersey: Layton (3 NW) in Sussex County: 4.5”; New Brunswick: 10.0”; Newark: 7.5” New York City: 7.6” (Mount Vernon just to the north and east of the City: 11.0”) East of NYC: Connecticut: Bridgeport: 25.5”; Waterbury: 18.0” Long Island: Farmingdale (2 NE): 14.0”; Setauket: 18.1” Much more recently, one saw a roughly similar difference over a somewhat shorter distance: The January 26-28, 2015 storm brought 9.8” to NYC and 6.5” to Newark. Islip received 24.9”.

Morning thoughts... Today will be mostly cloudy and cool. Some areas could still experience a snow flurries or snow showers. Clouds could begin to break during the day. Temperatures will likely top out in the upper 30s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 35° Newark: 36° Philadelphia: 36° Tomorrow will be mostly sunny and a bit milder. In the extended range, there remains a possibility that another storm could impact the region late in the weekend or early next week, though the spread among EPS members has widened since the 2/2 12z cycle.

Thanks.

It did very well with both the December 16-17 and the most recent storm. I am not sure why it didn’t run for the 12z and 18z cycles.

New York City received 7.6”. Bridgeport picked up 25.5”.

000 NOUS41 KPHI 022347 PNSPHI DEZ001>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-070- 071-101>106-031147- Public Information Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 647 PM EST Tue Feb 2 2021 ...SNOWFALL REPORTS... Location Amount Time/Date Provider ...Delaware... ...Kent County... 1 SSE Woodside 6.5 in 0930 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 2 SE Dover 5.0 in 0700 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer 6 NW Andrewsville 5.0 in 0200 PM 02/02 Broadcast Media ...New Castle County... Hockessin 6.0 in 0200 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter New Castle County Airport 4.5 in 0100 PM 02/02 ASOS ...Sussex County... 3 NE Harbeson 4.9 in 0200 PM 02/02 Broadcast Media ...Maryland... ...Caroline County... Henderson 5.7 in 0130 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter ...Kent County... Millington 1.8 in 0700 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter ...Queen Annes County... 2 SW Stevensville 4.0 in 0800 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer ...New Jersey... ...Atlantic County... Mays Landing 5.5 in 0358 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Estell Manor 4.6 in 0130 PM 02/02 CO-OP Observer 1 WSW Hammonton 4.6 in 0800 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer Atlantic City International 1.0 in 0100 PM 02/02 ASOS Somers Point 0.5 in 0930 AM 02/02 Public ...Burlington County... Burlington 11.0 in 0800 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Mount Laurel 10.3 in 1230 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Marlton 10.0 in 0100 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Cooperstown 9.7 in 1100 AM 02/02 NWS Employee Roebling 9.5 in 0900 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer Columbus 9.3 in 0130 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 ENE Westampton Twp 9.3 in 0100 PM 02/02 Official NWS Obs 2 NNW South Jersey Regional 9.1 in 0700 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer Moorestown 9.0 in 0400 PM 02/02 Public 1 SSE Mount Holly 9.0 in 1150 AM 02/02 Public Florence 8.8 in 0115 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Lumberton 8.5 in 1220 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 W South Jersey Regional Ai 8.4 in 0510 PM 02/02 NWS Employee 1 SSE Delran 8.0 in 0750 AM 02/02 Public Hainesport 8.0 in 1000 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Leisuretowne 7.0 in 1238 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 SSE Southampton Twp 4.5 in 0700 AM 02/02 Public ...Camden County... 1 NW Gibbsboro 10.6 in 1204 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 S Springdale 9.8 in 0830 AM 02/02 NWS Employee Blackwood 9.5 in 0700 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer Somerdale 9.5 in 0930 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer Lindenwold 8.2 in 0147 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Haddon Heights 8.1 in 0900 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Gloucester Twp 8.0 in 1240 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Oaklyn 7.9 in 0520 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Gloucester City 7.3 in 0714 AM 02/02 Public 1 NNE Merchantville 7.0 in 0700 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer Bellmawr 6.5 in 1244 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter ...Gloucester County... Pitman 9.8 in 0930 AM 02/02 Public Malaga 9.0 in 0200 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Sewell 8.3 in 0900 AM 02/02 Fire Dept/Rescue Mantua 8.0 in 0825 AM 02/02 Public Williamstown 8.0 in 0945 AM 02/02 Amateur Radio Newfield 4.0 in 0800 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter ...Hunterdon County... Byram 28.0 in 1244 PM 02/02 Public White House Station 20.9 in 1219 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Lebanon 17.2 in 0449 PM 02/02 Public 3 S Cloverhill 17.2 in 0800 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer Readington Twp 16.2 in 0700 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 2 NNE Three Bridges 14.5 in 0700 AM 02/02 Public 3 W Stanton 14.4 in 0700 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer 4 SE Sand Brook 10.0 in 0900 AM 02/02 Public ...Mercer County... Princeton 13.6 in 0330 PM 02/02 Public Lawrenceville 11.5 in 1230 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter 2 E Windsor 11.5 in 0830 AM 02/02 Public 1 WSW East Windsor Twp 10.1 in 0700 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer Ewing 10.0 in 0820 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Hopewell 9.5 in 0845 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter ...Middlesex County... South Plainfield 19.5 in 1229 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Port Reading 18.0 in 1045 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Edison 15.0 in 0436 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter North Brunswick 14.0 in 1023 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter South River 14.0 in 0730 AM 02/02 Public 1 NW South River 13.7 in 0900 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer 1 SSW Plainsboro Township 12.4 in 0700 AM 02/02 NWS Employee Manalapan Twp 12.0 in 0501 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter ...Monmouth County... Lincroft 14.0 in 0343 PM 02/02 Public Colts Neck 13.8 in 1035 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Aberdeen 13.0 in 0443 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 W Middletown Twp 12.0 in 1125 AM 02/02 Public 1 WSW Englishtown 11.0 in 1000 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 SW Long Branch 8.5 in 0700 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer Spring Lake Heights 6.5 in 0700 AM 02/02 Broadcast Media 1 WNW Manasquan 5.0 in 0700 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer ...Morris County... Mount Arlington 35.5 in 1230 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 SSE Chester 31.0 in 1140 AM 02/02 Public Chatham 30.4 in 0405 PM 02/02 Public Budd Lake 29.6 in 0511 PM 02/02 Public Randolph 29.3 in 0617 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Lake Hopatcong 26.2 in 1242 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Marcella 24.0 in 0856 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Denville 20.3 in 0700 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Boonton 19.0 in 0700 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter ...Ocean County... Whiting 8.5 in 0521 PM 02/02 Broadcast Media Manchester Twp 7.9 in 0605 PM 02/02 Public Jackson 7.8 in 1000 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Lakewood 7.5 in 1030 AM 02/02 Public Brick 5.3 in 1040 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter ...Salem County... Pennsville 8.2 in 1157 AM 02/02 Public Pilesgrove Twp 4.3 in 0205 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter ...Somerset County... Somerville 23.0 in 0229 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Bedminster Twp 21.2 in 0852 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Basking Ridge 21.0 in 0551 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter 2 SSW South Bound Brook 20.9 in 0730 AM 02/02 Cocorahs Manville 20.5 in 0200 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Bridgewater 20.2 in 1203 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Hillsborough Twp 20.0 in 0515 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 E Somerset 20.0 in 1200 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Neshanic Station 18.0 in 0330 PM 02/02 Public Belle Mead 16.4 in 0200 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Skillman 11.0 in 0553 PM 02/02 Public ...Sussex County... Montague 33.2 in 0709 AM 02/02 Public Andover 32.0 in 1104 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Stanhope 31.0 in 0200 PM 02/02 Public Sandyston Twp 30.0 in 0512 PM 02/02 Public Hopatcong 27.3 in 1015 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 W Wantage Twp 27.0 in 0940 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 SW Highland Lakes 25.2 in 0800 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer Hardyston Twp 24.0 in 1000 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Stockholm 20.0 in 0800 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter ...Warren County... Oxford 32.0 in 1123 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 NW Hope 31.3 in 0211 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Phillipsburg 26.8 in 0230 PM 02/02 Public Stewartsville 26.3 in 0700 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 3 W Holland Twp 25.5 in 1000 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer Hackettstown 24.8 in 0830 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Hope 24.0 in 1130 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Great Meadows 22.3 in 0600 PM 02/02 Public Harmony Twp 11.0 in 1200 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter ...Pennsylvania... ...Berks County... Mertztown 26.0 in 0230 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Bern Twp 24.5 in 0130 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Laureldale 24.5 in 0100 PM 02/02 Public Huffs Church 24.1 in 0700 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Wernersville 22.0 in 1000 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Spring Twp 19.3 in 0725 AM 02/02 Public 1 S West Wyomissing 18.3 in 0700 AM 02/02 Cocorahs 2 SW Bern Twp 18.0 in 0800 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer Wyomissing 17.8 in 0700 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 SW Hamburg 15.0 in 0700 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer ...Bucks County... 1 ENE Springtown 31.2 in 0800 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer Quakertown 22.0 in 0300 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Trumbauersville 15.0 in 1030 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Langhorne 13.0 in 0300 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 SSW Sellersville 12.7 in 0700 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer Buckingham Twp 11.8 in 1115 AM 02/02 Public Chalfont 11.8 in 0501 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Furlong 11.7 in 1200 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Feasterville-Trevose 10.6 in 1000 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Bensalem 10.0 in 0930 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Warminster 10.0 in 0928 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter New Hope 9.5 in 0700 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Newtown 9.5 in 0700 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Bristol 7.5 in 0400 PM 02/02 Emergency Mngr ...Carbon County... Towamensing Twp 26.0 in 0830 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Albrightsville 24.5 in 1115 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 SE Lehighton 21.0 in 0700 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer Lehighton 20.5 in 1030 AM 02/02 Public Penn Forest Reservoir 20.0 in 0655 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter ...Chester County... East Nantmeal Twp 16.1 in 0813 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Malvern 15.0 in 1200 PM 02/02 Public 1 NE East Vincent Twp 13.5 in 0700 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer East Coventry Twp 12.2 in 1130 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter North Coventry Twp 12.0 in 1150 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Exton 9.5 in 0800 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 2 S Wallace Twp 9.5 in 1155 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 ENE Glenmoore 8.0 in 0800 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer 2 SE Exton 7.5 in 0835 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Jennersville 7.4 in 1100 AM 02/02 Public West Chester 6.5 in 1140 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Lincoln University 6.0 in 0845 AM 02/02 Public 1 WSW New London Twp. 6.0 in 0845 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter ...Delaware County... Upper Darby 9.0 in 0915 AM 02/02 Public Villanova 9.0 in 1000 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Chadds Ford Twp 8.1 in 1200 PM 02/02 Public Broomall 7.6 in 0527 PM 02/02 Public 1 NE Lawrence Park 7.3 in 1040 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Collingdale 6.2 in 1109 AM 02/02 Public Aston Twp. 6.1 in 1242 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Ridley Twp. 5.5 in 0229 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter ...Lehigh County... Coopersburg 31.0 in 0533 PM 02/02 Public 1 ESE Macungie 28.3 in 0800 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Salisbury Twp 28.1 in 1230 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Macungie 28.0 in 0230 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Whitehall Twp 28.0 in 0815 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Lehigh Valley International 27.3 in 0100 PM 02/02 ASOS 1 WSW Macungie 27.0 in 0815 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 2 S Zionsville 26.8 in 0200 PM 02/02 Public Upper Saucon Twp 25.0 in 1000 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Washington Twp 21.1 in 0552 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter New Tripoli 19.5 in 0657 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Germansville 18.7 in 0840 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 SSW Upper Milford Twp 16.0 in 0918 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter ...Monroe County... Bossardsville 27.3 in 0453 PM 02/02 Public 2 NNW Pocono Mountains Munic 27.0 in 1200 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Pocono Pines 27.0 in 0130 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter 2 NNW Pen Argyl 26.0 in 0900 AM 02/02 Broadcast Media Mount Pocono 23.8 in 0526 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Canadensis 23.6 in 0800 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer Effort 22.5 in 0240 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Kresgeville 22.0 in 0101 PM 02/02 Public Pocono Summit 20.3 in 0816 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Stroudsburg 20.3 in 0900 AM 02/02 Cocorahs 1 N East Stroudsburg 20.0 in 1200 PM 02/02 CO-OP Observer Saylorsburg 16.0 in 0134 PM 02/02 Public ...Montgomery County... Trappe 15.0 in 0100 PM 02/02 Public 2 NNE Upper Dublin Twp 15.0 in 1100 AM 02/02 Public Valley Forge 14.7 in 0130 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Skippack Twp 14.5 in 0200 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter King of Prussia 14.2 in 0315 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Salford Twp 14.0 in 0700 AM 02/02 Public Royersford 13.8 in 0300 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Eagleville 13.2 in 1045 AM 02/02 Emergency Mngr Gilbertsville 13.2 in 0522 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter New Hanover Twp 13.2 in 0917 AM 02/02 Public Plymouth Meeting 13.2 in 0721 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Ambler 13.1 in 1100 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 3 N Royersford 13.0 in 0930 AM 02/02 NWS Employee Willow Grove 11.5 in 0820 AM 02/02 Public Pottstown 10.5 in 1115 AM 02/02 Public Harleysville 10.0 in 0900 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Wyncote 9.0 in 1100 AM 02/02 Public 2 W Kulpsville 9.0 in 0902 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Lansdale 8.5 in 1030 AM 02/02 Public North Wales 8.3 in 1030 AM 02/02 Wynnewood 8.0 in 0604 PM 02/02 Broadcast Media ...Northampton County... Nazareth 36.1 in 0437 PM 02/02 Public Forks Twp 32.6 in 0309 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Roseto 30.5 in 0529 PM 02/02 Public Lehigh Twp 30.0 in 0441 PM 02/02 Public North Catasauqua 29.1 in 0530 PM 02/02 Broadcast Media Bushkill Twp 28.9 in 0457 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Hellertown 27.6 in 0445 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Easton 26.8 in 1020 AM 02/02 Public Martins Creek 26.0 in 1151 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Bethlehem 25.0 in 1054 AM 02/02 Public 1 E Pen Argyl 23.8 in 0126 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter Tatamy 23.0 in 0311 PM 02/02 Public Danielsville 22.0 in 1000 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Plainfield Twp 22.0 in 1142 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Bath 21.3 in 0915 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 NW Riegelsville 21.0 in 0819 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Churchville 10.0 in 0513 PM 02/02 Public ...Philadelphia County... Fox Chase 10.0 in 0932 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Manayunk 9.0 in 1158 AM 02/02 1 NNE Stenton 9.0 in 0926 AM 02/02 Broadcast Media Philadelphia International A 7.9 in 0100 PM 02/02 ASOS Philadelphia 7.8 in 0108 PM 02/02 Trained Spotter &&

Following the January 1996 blizzard, New York Times columnist Russell Baker wrote in the January 9, 1996 edition of that newspaper: "Where are the snows of yesteryear?" asked the poet. We can now tell him. The weekend blizzard, like the snows of yesteryear, not only was wonderfully copious but also, like those storms of childhood, brought adventure for almost everybody. Baker continued, "Thomas Mann in 'The Magic Mountain' observed that time slows down when one escapes the normal order and that life becomes more interesting and, because time has slowed, longer." Just over 25 years later, those sentiments ring true again. A large part of northeastern Pennsylvania, northern New Jersey, southeastern New York, including New York City, and southwestern Connecticut are covered by a thick mantle of snow. Although the joy that this most recent snowstorm brought to those who are open to nature's beauty might not prolong one's lifespan, it surely will make life just a little more rewarding. After the snow-starved winter of 2019-20, the region has already witnessed two big snowstorms. If the 0z and 12z runs of the European Model are reasonably accurate, perhaps there will be another such storm in the near-term. While such an outcome is not yet certain, it is among the possibilities that lie ahead. Somewhat milder air will return to the region in coming days, but its stay won't be long. Another shot of cold air is possible during or after the weekend. Moreover, EPS ensemble members are increasingly clustering around February 7-8 for another possible snow event. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around January 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.71°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -1.03°C. La Niña conditions will likely prevail at least through meteorological winter. The SOI was +9.17 today. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was not available. On February 1 the MJO was in Phase 6 at an amplitude of 2.070 (RMM). The January 31-adjusted amplitude was 2.174. Based on the latest guidance, no significant stratospheric warming event is likely through the middle of the second week of February. The significant December 16-17 snowstorm during what has been a blocky December suggests that seasonal snowfall prospects have increased especially from north of Philadelphia into southern New England. At New York City, there is a high probability based on historic cases that an additional 20" or more snow will accumulate after December. Since January 1, New York City has picked up 17.3" snow.

A snow shower dusted the ground.

Some flurries in Larchmont, NY.

At a Zoom meeting. Not sure if this PNS has been posted. Apologies for any redundancy: 288 NOUS41 KOKX 021416 PNSOKX CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-030147- Public Information Statement National Weather Service New York NY 916 AM EST Tue Feb 2 2021 ...STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL REPORTS FROM JANUARY 31, 2021 THROUGH FEBRUARY 2, 2021... Location Amount Time/Date Provider ...Connecticut... ...Fairfield County... Danbury 19.0 in 1000 PM 02/01 Amateur Radio 4 SSE Sherman 17.0 in 0130 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 NE Norwalk 15.9 in 0800 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Bridgeport Airport 15.2 in 0700 PM 02/01 Official NWS Obs Monroe 14.5 in 0640 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 2 ENE New Canaan 14.2 in 1100 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Weston 14.1 in 0755 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 2 NNW Bethel 13.7 in 1200 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Greenwich 13.5 in 0543 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 2 NNE Stamford 13.5 in 0700 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 3 SSE Greenwich 12.0 in 0400 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter New Fairfield 10.5 in 0446 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Newtown 9.2 in 0430 PM 02/01 Public ...Middlesex County... Essex 13.0 in 0700 PM 02/01 Public Clinton 10.9 in 0120 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 2 ENE Clinton 10.4 in 0800 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter ...New Haven County... 4 ENE North Haven 16.5 in 0830 PM 02/01 Public 2 ENE North Haven 16.0 in 0930 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter New Haven 15.2 in 0900 PM 02/01 Public West Haven 15.0 in 0803 PM 02/01 Public 2 NNW East Haven 15.0 in 0920 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Milford 14.4 in 0500 PM 02/01 Public 2 ENE Seymour 14.0 in 0800 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Waterbury 14.0 in 0315 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter North Haven 13.5 in 0650 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Cheshire 1.5 ENE 12.8 in 0800 PM 02/01 COCORAHS 1 WSW Branford 9.4 in 0812 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 2 NE North Haven 9.2 in 0515 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 1 NNW Guilford 8.2 in 0400 PM 02/01 CO-OP Observer ...New London County... 3 SSE Gales Ferry 10.3 in 0605 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Ledyard Center 10.2 in 0500 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter New London 9.2 in 0515 PM 02/01 Public 3 SSE Gales Ferry 8.4 in 0730 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter ...New Jersey... ...Bergen County... 1 ESE Park Ridge 23.0 in 0824 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Closter 22.4 in 0815 PM 02/01 Public Franklin Lakes 20.6 in 1030 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 1 S Washington Townshi 20.5 in 1245 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 SSW Hillsdale 20.5 in 0600 AM 02/02 Public Westwood 20.0 in 0745 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Lyndhurst 19.7 in 0500 AM 02/02 Public Ridgewood 19.4 in 0700 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Garfield 19.2 in 0200 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter mahwah 18.5 in 0620 PM 02/01 Public East Rutherford 18.3 in 0815 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Dumont 17.5 in 0600 PM 02/01 Broadcast Media Northvale 16.5 in 0745 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Fair Lawn 12.5 in 0930 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter ...Essex County... Bloomfield 20.5 in 1055 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Essex Fells 20.0 in 0830 PM 02/01 Public Cedar Grove 19.2 in 1230 AM 02/02 Public 1 W South Orange 18.6 in 1015 PM 02/01 Public Millburn 18.6 in 1017 PM 02/01 Public West Orange 18.2 in 0830 PM 02/01 Public North Caldwell 17.3 in 0800 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Newark 16.2 in 0700 PM 02/01 Official NWS Obs Verona 14.3 in 0415 PM 02/01 Public ...Hudson County... 1 N Harrison 16.5 in 0700 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer 1 N Kearny 16.0 in 1000 PM 02/01 CO-OP Observer Hoboken 15.0 in 0534 AM 02/02 Emergency Mngr ...Passaic County... Bloomingdale 26.2 in 0100 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 3 WSW Ringwood 19.0 in 0800 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter ...Union County... Berkeley Heights 19.0 in 0510 PM 02/01 Public Elizabeth 17.8 in 0750 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Newark Airport 17.6 in 0700 AM 02/02 Official NWS Obs Garwood 17.5 in 0755 AM 02/02 Public Westfield 17.2 in 0400 PM 02/01 Public ...New York... ...Bronx County... East Tremont 19.0 in 0815 PM 02/01 Public 1 S Fordham 14.5 in 0500 PM 02/01 Public ...Kings County... 2 ENE Coney Island 16.0 in 0700 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 2 SSE Flatbush 15.4 in 0930 PM 02/01 Public 2 WNW Crown Heights 15.0 in 0515 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 1 SSW Flatbush 15.0 in 0830 PM 02/01 Broadcast Media 1 NNW Crown Heights 14.0 in 0700 PM 02/01 Emergency Mngr 2 NNW Crown Heights 13.0 in 0740 AM 02/02 Emergency Mngr ...Nassau County... Hicksville 17.6 in 0438 AM 02/02 Public Bellerose 16.6 in 0745 PM 02/01 Public 1 N Syosset 16.2 in 1130 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Glenwood Landing 15.2 in 0735 PM 02/01 Public West Hempstead 14.5 in 0600 PM 02/01 Public 1 NE Plandome 13.4 in 0345 PM 02/01 Public East Williston 13.2 in 0945 PM 02/01 Public Port Washington 13.0 in 0445 PM 02/01 Public 2 E Garden City 12.4 in 0610 PM 02/01 Public Merrick 12.0 in 1100 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter North Wantagh 11.2 in 0400 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Massapequa 11.0 in 0400 PM 02/01 Public ...New York County... Central Park 17.2 in 0700 AM 02/02 Official NWS Obs 1 SE Greenwich Village 13.7 in 0800 AM 02/02 Emergency Mngr 2 N New York 12.3 in 0901 PM 02/01 Emergency Mngr ...Orange County... 3 WNW Warwick 19.2 in 0630 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Highland Mills 18.2 in 0700 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Middletown 18.0 in 0930 PM 02/01 Fire Dept/Rescue Monroe 18.0 in 0700 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 N Orange Lake 17.7 in 1000 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 2 SSW Stewart Airport 17.4 in 1200 AM 02/02 Public 1 SW Cold Spring 17.2 in 0900 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Otisville 16.0 in 0756 PM 02/01 Public Cornwall On Hudson 0.6 NNW 16.0 in 0930 PM 02/01 COCORAHS New Windsor 16.0 in 1000 PM 02/01 Amateur Radio 1 WNW Monroe 15.5 in 0845 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Gardnertown 14.0 in 0548 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Warwick 13.2 in 0440 PM 02/01 Public ...Putnam County... Brewster 15.7 in 1100 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Putnam Valley 15.5 in 1000 PM 02/01 Broadcast Media 1 ENE Cold Spring 14.7 in 1100 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 2 N Mahopac 14.7 in 1214 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 3 N Putnam Valley 14.5 in 0600 PM 02/01 Broadcast Media Mahopac 13.4 in 0820 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter ...Queens County... 1 WSW Bellerose 18.5 in 0530 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 1 SW Jackson Heights 18.0 in 0800 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 2 NNW Kennedy Airport 14.5 in 0859 PM 02/01 Public 1 WSW Lake Success 14.1 in 0600 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 1 N Elmhurst 14.1 in 1155 PM 02/01 Public 1 SSE Whitestone 13.5 in 0700 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter NYC/La Guardia 13.3 in 0700 AM 02/02 Official NWS Obs NYC/JFK 12.6 in 0700 AM 02/02 Official NWS Obs ...Richmond County... Westerleigh 15.0 in 0720 PM 02/01 Public ...Rockland County... Monsey 22.2 in 0730 PM 02/01 Public 1 N Spring Valley 22.0 in 1145 PM 02/01 Public Congers 21.5 in 1000 PM 02/01 Fire Dept/Rescue 1 NW Stony Point 20.6 in 0730 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 S Pearl River 19.0 in 0800 AM 02/02 Public Nanuet 17.5 in 1000 PM 02/01 Amateur Radio Chestnut Ridge 12.0 in 0330 PM 02/01 Public Nyack 12.0 in 0530 PM 02/01 Public ...Suffolk County... 1 NNE East Northport 18.1 in 0730 AM 02/02 Public 1 NNW Smithtown 17.0 in 0815 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Commack 15.9 in 1212 AM 02/02 Public Islip 15.6 in 1030 PM 02/01 Public Mount Sinai 15.0 in 0600 PM 02/01 COOP 1 WNW West Islip 14.5 in 0730 PM 02/01 Public 2 SSE Coram 14.4 in 0830 PM 02/01 Public Saint James 14.3 in 0750 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Stony Brook 14.3 in 0800 AM 02/02 NWS Employee 1 NW Manorville 14.1 in 0620 PM 02/01 Public 1 NE Lake Ronkonkoma 14.1 in 0900 PM 02/01 NWS Employee Shoreham 14.0 in 0500 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Upton 14.0 in 0700 AM 02/02 Official NWS Obs 2 E East Northport 13.7 in 0500 PM 02/01 Public Bay Shore 13.4 in 0600 PM 02/01 Cocorahs 1 SSE Sayville 11.8 in 0400 PM 02/01 NWS Employee 1 WNW Sound Beach 11.5 in 0330 PM 02/01 NWS Employee Center Moriches 11.5 in 0500 PM 02/01 Public Islip Airport 11.4 in 0700 AM 02/02 Official NWS Obs Port Jefferson 11.1 in 0345 PM 02/01 Public Patchogue 1.9 NNW 11.0 in 0500 PM 02/01 COCORAHS 2 NW Peconic River 10.2 in 0429 PM 02/01 NWS Employee East Hampton 7.2 in 0330 PM 02/01 Public 3 ENE Sag Harbor 7.2 in 0330 PM 02/01 Public ...Westchester County... 1 NE Irvington 20.3 in 0915 PM 02/01 Public Montrose 19.0 in 0830 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Mount Kisco 19.0 in 0810 AM 02/02 Public 2 ENE Armonk 18.5 in 0900 PM 02/01 Public 2 ENE Montrose 18.0 in 1000 PM 02/01 Amateur Radio 1 SE Irvington 17.8 in 0830 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Hastings-on-Hudson 17.0 in 0700 PM 02/01 Public 2 NW Woodlawn 16.0 in 0930 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 1 WNW Mount Kisco 14.5 in 0700 PM 02/01 Public Yonkers 14.2 in 0330 PM 02/01 Public 2 SSW Golden's Bridge 14.1 in 0530 PM 02/01 Cocorahs 2 SW Yonkers 13.7 in 0330 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter New Rochelle 12.5 in 1000 PM 02/01 Amateur Radio 2 ENE Golden's Bridge 11.3 in 0500 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter &&