Sucks for us here yet AGAIN according to the Euro .
Actually I rather go frigid and miss all the modeled snow with a threat of suppression.
Same areas that got screwed the last three days get screwed again.
Wondering whether the GFS is over doing the cold intensity and placement, so possibly this results in too much suppression. However, as you mention, it is a Nina so the GFS can not be discounted at this time.
If the afternoon EPS comes in again like last night we will have multiple threats to consider moving towards mid month.
I feel the GFS is not handing Canada well and the evolution of the TPV.
Amy's post looking even better.
Meaning after 60 days the composite will look more like a typical SSW response here in NA , even more in the NE I believe.
BAMWX gets a poor grade .
Severe cold on the way.
Coldest yet. This supports LOWER LATITUDE blizzard ( 38 degrees North to 40.5 North) in upcoming pattern.
Miller A's are at least more predictable, and deliver the goods way more often than Miller B s .
Miller Bs normally favor areas North of us. Like this storm. Miller A totals vary depending on exact track, strength of the low, and other factors.
Tasty animation !
That retro Greenland block is sweet, and the evolution is looking to deliver two potential threats. The end of the 7 day period, and even going out beyond that as well.
That hook has been evident on stratobserve for over a week. Incredible dive South of the Arctic jet. Also on a indices only perspective the time period screams severe winter weather potential in the East.
Think your correct.
What gives? A real busted forecast here. The models were not very good for northern DE.
Will never even achieve warning criteria I think, unless it snows here tonight at least 3 inches.