frd

Not only hotter, but more moist and humid as dew points reach the 90 th percentile, or greater, over a vast area of the US.

Lack of sunshine also leads to other issues such as mildews, various plant and lawn fungus, garden issues, plant blights, etc., and seasonal depression issues for some. Its so old now, I rather have sun and a heat versus a swamp and no sun for weeks. Far less sun versus clouds the last 90 days.

Early AM dog walk with a DP of 71, soupy and misty.

.20 rain last night here.

Incoming line in the distance for the Northern Eastern shore. Should hold together.

What does GFS show. Thought Euro ran several degrees too high, but still we roast.

I expect surf zone temps to be above normal by this time. Good surfing day might be this Friday with left over swell, incoming afternoon high tide and offshore winds, yippee !

This progression might indeed happen, heat mid week, followed by a couple days of relative cooling , then a heat wave next week ( worse North of us ) and then moderation again, matching the global wind progressions. Note the worst of the heat moving back West by days 14 to 15.

.01 of rain last night. Have to water the garden today

Major heat wave odds are increasing for the Mid Atlantic between June 22 nd and June 25 th.

Day to watch would be late day/evening on this Thursday. Mount Holly AFD snippet below A strong cold front will approach and pass through the region late Thursday and Thursday night. This will spark off afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms, some of which may be strong to severe. The Storm Prediction Center has a 15% risk for severe weather across portions of the Northeast and Mid- Atlantic on Thursday.

Last couple days here has been mostly clouds and smoke. Only a trace of rain despite higher odds in the forecast thre last 72 hours. Month-to-date rainfall in Middletown, DE only .76 " The crazy high rainfall totals of May over 6 " unlikely to repeat. Might need to water the garden tomorrow, as the overall soil moisture levels have been declining the last 7 days. Long gone are the values above 32 % , in this area soil moisture has declined back below the 5 and 10 year averages of 26 % The clouds and cool air are masking the recent dryness.

Forcing does appear to be quite strong with the deepening trough, so at this point it does seem plausible for there to be at the very least some strong thunderstorms around Thursday afternoon and evening. This is supported quite well by the machine learning guidance by UCAR/NCAR which has a targeted area of severe weather potential over the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Will continue to monitor for trends in the guidance but regardless, the general idea that a front will bring showers and thunderstorms to the area is consistent with the guidance. Improving weather should return by Friday and into next weekend as high pressure returns.

Same here, low visibility all things considered and a strong smell of smoke. Weekends have had clouds and rain here 11 out of 15 , now add nasty smoke particulates.

Forest fire smoke is so bad here. Special Olympics have been postponed 2 hours.

https://www.mapquest.com/us/delaware/pusey-crossroads-de-283508779#google_vignette SE of Seaford, DE.

At Pusey Crossroads 1.13 "

Rather intense cell in lower DE on a boundary near Crosskeys and Pusey Crossroads https://radar.weather.gov/station/kdox/standard

LOL. feast or famine, .17 go 15 miles and you are at over an inch, but of course this is the typical summer rainfall distribution outside of a solid line of storms. I am sure things will change.

Surf zone temps up again today, reports of 69 up from 60 not too long ago.

Its simply nasty today at this hour. I believe it is the first day that I noticed how uncomfortable it feels outside. 90 here currently, wasn't sure we make it a few days ago.

Still exploring it in beta at this time, an account is free.

Seriously, almost 80 degree DP in certain locations in the Midwest, wow !

Finally it appears we are headed to a normal temp pattern, to at times above normal, with higher humidity levels. Eventually we may have the ingredients for a widespread severe weather threat in the Midwest and Mid Atlantic later in the month. Will post that in the severe thread.

Well, that is interesting, as the Atlantic seems to be warmer closer to the East Coast and the Gulf. Plenty of SST juice if seasonal models are correct , already those areas are above normal. Threats may have shorter lead times and develop closer to the EC and the Gulf, but why does the superblend not indicate that, I am not sure at this time.